MLB · resolved market
Cubs vs. Reds
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2eba11bfb4dffdbd408603a54e5b089404385659cf7857893ecf9382b9070bf8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cubsof Cubs, Reds
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $158,222
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $161,492
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $158,222 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3775…6a6abacked Reds | 45c | 30,240$13,608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,608 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda24…1975backed Cubs | 55c | 30,103$16,557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,546.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Reds | 63c | 28,919$18,284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,283.62 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Cubs | 54c | 20,584$11,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,469.16 | 279 | 48.4%135 W · 144 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Cubs | 37c | 17,645$6,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,175.04 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Reds | 46c | 10,000$4,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,600 | 245 | 53.5%131 W · 114 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Cubs | 31c | 9,393$2,868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,525.3 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x762e…4bf0backed Reds | 58c | 8,340$4,812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,812.1 | 245 | 51.8%127 W · 118 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Reds | 46c | 7,500$3,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,450 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed Cubs | 31c | 7,273$2,238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,035.47 | 161 | 51.6%83 W · 78 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x922f…3baabacked Cubs | 36c | 5,500$1,978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,521.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +178%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd12d…d764backed Reds | 70c | 3,569$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500.3 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -4.5wins | -0.14per pick | 65cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Cubs | 56c | 3,250$1,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,430 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Reds | 46c | 2,594$1,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,195.03 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Cubs | 47c | 2,064$961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,102.69 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfaae…8a95backed Cubs | 53c | 2,005$1,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$942.35 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e9…0501backed Reds | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Cubs | 40c | 1,998$798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,199.85 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Reds | 58c | 1,971$1,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,138.84 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Cubs | 35c | 1,900$665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,235 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a45…24cfbacked Reds | 60c | 1,794$1,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,076.15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Reds | 53c | 1,742$916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$915.64 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Cubs | 59c | 1,237$727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.97 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58d2…46e6backed Cubs | 8c | 1,100$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,012.44 | 309 | 28.5%88 W · 221 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb358…e547backed Reds | 44c | 999.99$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Reds | 37c | 975.68$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x698f…ae41backed Reds | 42c | 866$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.72 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa2…93ccbacked Cubs | 30c | 828.2$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.74 | 248 | 44%109 W · 139 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb26…94ddbacked Cubs | 5c | 650$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.5 | 123 | 14.6%18 W · 105 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +83.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…c2f8backed Cubs | 56c | 637.5$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.5 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Reds | 54c | 573.32$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.18 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Cubs | 31c | 571.74$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.77 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Cubs | 8c | 515.66$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.27 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x134a…9e42backed Reds | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Reds | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Cubs | 46c | 483.54$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.11 | 394 | 36%142 W · 252 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Cubs | 42c | 478.89$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.89 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d27…f6cfbacked Cubs | 12c | 414.6$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.84 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce6…e1b0backed Cubs | 27c | 382.94$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.94 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +24%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb58d…818ebacked Cubs | 51c | 313.04$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.92 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad8c…f563backed Reds | 38c | 300$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 258 | 35.3%91 W · 167 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b35…a749backed Reds | 7c | 222.53$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 22cpaid | -84.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60a1…a8e1backed Cubs | 53c | 201.27$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.61 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x399d…01dabacked Reds | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 117 | 57.3%67 W · 50 L | +9.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d07…0351backed Cubs | 10c | 190.91$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.91 | 126 | 24.6%31 W · 95 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Cubs | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Cubs | 54c | 185.45$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.45 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd386…1887backed Cubs | 24c | 169.78$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.78 | 192 | 33.3%64 W · 128 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76b5…c1cebacked Reds | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 91 | 57.1%52 W · 39 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd78d…60bebacked Cubs | 26c | 149.38$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.14 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x465f…56b5backed Cubs | 55c | 137$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Reds | 47c | 133.39$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.69 | 333 | 49.5%165 W · 168 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Cubs | 51c | 117.15$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.4 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49f7…046bbacked Cubs | 53c | 104.5$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.11 | 237 | 53.2%126 W · 111 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Reds | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Reds | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 242 | 50.8%123 W · 119 L | +14.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Reds | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca2…55e4backed Reds | 47c | 99.99$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.99 | 71 | 54.9%39 W · 32 L | +8.6wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked Cubs | 36c | 98.45$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.92 | 417 | 47.2%197 W · 220 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Cubs | 55c | 93.33$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 173 | 51.4%89 W · 84 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce9…7a2cbacked Reds | 70c | 93$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 206 | 45.1%93 W · 113 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…d681backed Cubs | 54c | 92.69$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.69 | 743 | 56.9%423 W · 320 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05be…d651backed Reds | 45c | 88.89$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Reds | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 238 | 52.9%126 W · 112 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x051d…6980backed Reds | 45c | 81.34$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.5 | 203 | 43.8%89 W · 114 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07b6…fddebacked Cubs | 56c | 71.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.43 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9026…bf0bbacked Reds | 45c | 71.11$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49fa…2193backed Cubs | 54c | 64.81$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.81 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -4.5wins | -0.23per pick | 50cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9228…e41abacked Reds | 40c | 60$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 177 | 32.8%58 W · 119 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Reds | 72c | 55.22$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.76 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Reds | 63c | 52.54$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.11 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Cubs | 56c | 48.21$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.21 | 159 | 49.1%78 W · 81 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Cubs | 48c | 48.13$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 639 | 42.7%273 W · 366 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x638a…49f4backed Cubs | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Cubs | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 944 | 55.3%522 W · 422 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ed5…e9bfbacked Cubs | 65c | 44.54$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.54 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x792b…0775backed Cubs | 53c | 41.51$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.51 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f19…72d9backed Cubs | 52c | 39.98$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.19 | 416 | 49%204 W · 212 L | +14.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Cubs | 55c | 39.52$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.84 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc9…7e5bbacked Reds | 48c | 35.42$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 189 | 51.3%97 W · 92 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed Cubs | 39c | 32.81$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.01 | 432 | 50.7%219 W · 213 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Reds | 54c | 29.75$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.07 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Reds | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 382 | 45.5%174 W · 208 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bf7…cdb7backed Reds | 61c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 457 | 49.7%227 W · 230 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fa9…39a1backed Reds | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.