MLB · resolved market
Reds vs. Cubs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6d6f388a856a387f19a5c9db3dda811f8bc3e46f99e050eddebaf3b764c7339c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cubsof Reds, Cubs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $175,549
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $177,812
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $175,549 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 119 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe531…faa5backed Cubs | 61c | 57,491$35,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,421.49 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a5d…b8e7backed Reds | 39c | 50,622$19,743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,742.58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Reds | 35c | 20,090$6,981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,980.86 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Cubs | 63c | 19,969$12,562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,407.04 | 279 | 48.4%135 W · 144 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x762e…4bf0backed Cubs | 63c | 16,976$10,695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,281.26 | 245 | 51.8%127 W · 118 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Reds | 36c | 9,937$3,574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,574.41 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…ec2fbacked Reds | 37c | 7,986$2,955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,954.82 | 140 | 48.6%68 W · 72 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf773…4a03backed Reds | 39c | 6,870$2,679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,679.3 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Reds | 37c | 4,745$1,776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,776.39 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf64a…27c9backed Reds | 36c | 4,587$1,633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,632.55 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Cubs | 63c | 3,893$2,436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,457.16 | 110 | 36.4%40 W · 70 L | -7.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37d8…b6ddbacked Reds | 40c | 3,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.24per pick | 51cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x079e…599dbacked Reds | 41c | 2,645$1,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,084.28 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.28per pick | 42cpaid | -67%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed Cubs | 75c | 2,561$1,913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648.64 | 161 | 51.6%83 W · 78 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Reds | 38c | 2,532$962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$962.21 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb25…ce36backed Reds | 40c | 2,088$835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$835.2 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9244…b955backed Cubs | 61c | 2,011$1,227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$784.29 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7552…320dbacked Reds | 39c | 2,000$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdfb4…0a1dbacked Reds | 40c | 1,850$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Cubs | 67c | 1,609$1,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.37 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08ad…208ebacked Reds | 39c | 1,367$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.3 | 217 | 40.1%87 W · 130 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6f…3838backed Reds | 36c | 1,280$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.98 | 405 | 47.4%192 W · 213 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67b5…9f1ebacked Reds | 27c | 1,200$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.03 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a49…b41bbacked Cubs | 60c | 1,067$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.8 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +3.1wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +82.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x379c…6f54backed Cubs | 60c | 1,021$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.4 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.31per pick | 52cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7093…3431backed Cubs | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Cubs | 75c | 1,000$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Cubs | 61c | 999.99$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 416 | 43.8%182 W · 234 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Reds | 39c | 979.47$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.25 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fae…3488backed Reds | 37c | 949.62$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.36 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Reds | 37c | 948.65$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.94 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8efa…7b51backed Cubs | 60c | 850$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +35%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Cubs | 59c | 848$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.68 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60a1…a8e1backed Reds | 40c | 823$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.24 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe142…86d5backed Cubs | 63c | 799.15$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.15 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Reds | 29c | 789.01$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.81 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Reds | 32c | 743$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.78 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd386…1887backed Reds | 43c | 690.9$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 192 | 33.3%64 W · 128 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Cubs | 60c | 669.53$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.32 | 333 | 49.5%165 W · 168 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Cubs | 60c | 664.38$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.38 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7709…5852backed Reds | 39c | 646.33$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…7d12backed Reds | 40c | 625$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 182 | 47.8%87 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Reds | 40c | 580.25$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.1 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Cubs | 68c | 543.11$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.02 | 917 | 49.9%458 W · 459 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ad1…6d88backed Cubs | 59c | 527.2$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.15 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.8wins | -0.24per pick | 55cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Reds | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Reds | 39c | 471.79$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Reds | 5c | 450$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Cubs | 66c | 328.13$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.85 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Reds | 36c | 300$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe25e…0aa5backed Reds | 33c | 300$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 145 | 49.7%72 W · 73 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1f…1e95backed Reds | 33c | 284.17$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.81 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | +8.6wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Reds | 36c | 283.33$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 239 | 38.5%92 W · 147 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbedb…8687backed Reds | 36c | 275.78$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.28 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61bb…e54bbacked Cubs | 67c | 264.18$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.18 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f5b…6759backed Cubs | 63c | 250$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.5 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ce…bca1backed Cubs | 62c | 242.37$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.37 | 201 | 50.2%101 W · 100 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…3d27backed Reds | 12c | 240.74$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 130 | 21.5%28 W · 102 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c53…c9b0backed Reds | 32c | 215.51$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.96 | 64 | 25%16 W · 48 L | -8.0wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce6…e1b0backed Cubs | 61c | 203.28$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.28 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +24%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69d4…6775backed Cubs | 60c | 202.55$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.57 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Cubs | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Cubs | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 401 | 52.4%210 W · 191 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Reds | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 172 | 39.5%68 W · 104 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Cubs | 62c | 199.97$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.99 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Cubs | 62c | 198$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.24 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d27…f6cfbacked Reds | 7c | 186.86$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.08 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Cubs | 60c | 167.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.89 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Cubs | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Reds | 39c | 161$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.79 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6d…5f97backed Reds | 40c | 150$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Reds | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ad…d11dbacked Reds | 39c | 117.32$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.76 | 140 | 50.7%71 W · 69 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Cubs | 67c | 110.91$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.1 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x792b…0775backed Cubs | 60c | 110$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…1e88backed Reds | 37c | 108.3$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.07 | 544 | 41.2%224 W · 320 L | -22.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0b…f9d6backed Cubs | 62c | 107$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.66 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Reds | 38c | 104.86$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.1 | 525 | 42.5%223 W · 302 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Cubs | 63c | 100.51$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.19 | 1,051 | 50.4%530 W · 521 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Cubs | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Reds | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 242 | 50.8%123 W · 119 L | +14.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5ed5…e9bfbacked Reds | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Reds | 37c | 99.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.99 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ee…373ebacked Cubs | 62c | 96.77$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.77 | 254 | 52.8%134 W · 120 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Reds | 39c | 89.01$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…d681backed Cubs | 62c | 87.51$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.51 | 743 | 56.9%423 W · 320 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Cubs | 76c | 84.93$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.09 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ad…f186backed Cubs | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9228…e41abacked Reds | 33c | 80$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 177 | 32.8%58 W · 119 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7f…7d7fbacked Reds | 39c | 77.74$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 152 | 56.6%86 W · 66 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb97…add3backed Cubs | 67c | 73.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.39 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | -6.4wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x34f3…e75bbacked Cubs | 63c | 71.35$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.65 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Cubs | 62c | 70$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 494 | 50%247 W · 247 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0243…3bc2backed Cubs | 67c | 66.84$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.84 | 58 | 69%40 W · 18 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05be…d651backed Reds | 34c | 64.71$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c90…f36cbacked Cubs | 62c | 64.52$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.52 | 229 | 58.5%134 W · 95 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7db…07f0backed Cubs | 63c | 63.49$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.49 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -4.7wins | -0.17per pick | 60cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9938…c7e8backed Cubs | 66c | 53.36$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.14 | 108 | 58.3%63 W · 45 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Cubs | 80c | 50.04$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.04 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f19…72d9backed Cubs | 59c | 49.99$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 416 | 49%204 W · 212 L | +14.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.