MLB · resolved market
Phillies vs. Astros
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x08f60ad0645015dd3948bc0147bfbd19e2d92b407ae04982909e9884ada4b723
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Astrosof Phillies, Astros
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $168,137
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $186,928
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $168,137 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 142 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6f8b…b3d7backed Phillies | 23c | 31,086$7,123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,122.67 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | -5.6wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1878…6f4abacked Astros | 76c | 17,995$13,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,269.67 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Astros | 78c | 13,499$10,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,019.81 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Astros | 57c | 11,968$6,821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,146.88 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa57a…b574backed Astros | 57c | 9,996$5,698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,298.28 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +93.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd08…db27backed Phillies | 43c | 9,996$4,298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,298.28 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13ff…16a3backed Phillies | 39c | 9,519$3,708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,707.79 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Astros | 78c | 9,185$7,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,019.88 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…6eaebacked Astros | 57c | 7,353$4,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,151.12 | 328 | 52.4%172 W · 156 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Phillies | 34c | 6,443$2,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,198.25 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Phillies | 43c | 5,874$2,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,519.89 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Phillies | 25c | 2,991$738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$738.49 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Phillies | 25c | 2,840$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.09 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bc…e520backed Phillies | 43c | 2,260$969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$969.2 | 279 | 53.4%149 W · 130 L | +16.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Phillies | 44c | 2,222$978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$977.68 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Phillies | 14c | 2,143$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Astros | 59c | 2,034$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$834.09 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Phillies | 42c | 1,816$763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$762.83 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Phillies | 29c | 1,748$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507 | 110 | 36.4%40 W · 70 L | -7.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Astros | 73c | 1,693$1,236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.29 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…9fdabacked Astros | 57c | 1,602$913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688.86 | 313 | 46.6%146 W · 167 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Astros | 65c | 1,567$1,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.28 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9e…8529backed Phillies | 24c | 1,485$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.34 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Astros | 58c | 1,276$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.92 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Phillies | 43c | 1,163$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.09 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Phillies | 22c | 1,091$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.42 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a5b…e79dbacked Phillies | 38c | 1,027$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.45 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Phillies | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Phillies | 38c | 1,000$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.62 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x142d…dd52backed Astros | 57c | 999.93$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.97 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7cee…b72abacked Phillies | 44c | 957.34$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.84 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | +8.8wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Astros | 73c | 889.03$649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.68 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x80b1…f64abacked Phillies | 40c | 881.71$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6f…3838backed Astros | 63c | 785.61$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.56 | 405 | 47.4%192 W · 213 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed Astros | 60c | 750$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 255 | 50.6%129 W · 126 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Phillies | 42c | 720.09$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 394 | 36%142 W · 252 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72cf…69aebacked Astros | 58c | 689.66$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.66 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd73b…70adbacked Astros | 58c | 677.81$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.68 | 144 | 53.5%77 W · 67 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Phillies | 43c | 600$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258 | 338 | 52.1%176 W · 162 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Astros | 58c | 594.99$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.9 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe21e…4d48backed Phillies | 4c | 589.98$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.52 | 248 | 8.9%22 W · 226 L | -17.8wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb142…cd11backed Phillies | 42c | 564.29$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237 | 187 | 48.1%90 W · 97 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x226d…f49ebacked Phillies | 37c | 540.54$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Astros | 58c | 517.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.24 | 384 | 55.7%214 W · 170 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ad…d11dbacked Astros | 57c | 499.96$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.98 | 140 | 50.7%71 W · 69 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Phillies | 43c | 495.58$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.1 | 389 | 49.1%191 W · 198 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c39…b7a6backed Phillies | 43c | 447.91$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.6 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…7d12backed Astros | 58c | 431.03$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.03 | 182 | 47.8%87 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Phillies | 37c | 426.92$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.92 | 387 | 41.1%159 W · 228 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Astros | 56c | 425.27$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.12 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae3f…12fabacked Phillies | 24c | 399.99$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 120 | 25.8%31 W · 89 L | -15.3wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Astros | 72c | 380$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.99 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Phillies | 44c | 378$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.61 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f93…e313backed Phillies | 36c | 377$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.34 | 155 | 43.2%67 W · 88 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf442…ccf8backed Phillies | 43c | 376.74$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 108 | 34.3%37 W · 71 L | -8.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Phillies | 29c | 370$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 277 | 33.6%93 W · 184 L | +13.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Phillies | 33c | 368.1$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.2 | 328 | 32.3%106 W · 222 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabf6…129dbacked Phillies | 44c | 343.55$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 170 | 37.6%64 W · 106 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b2…f6e2backed Astros | 77c | 304.93$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.31 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +3.0wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Phillies | 43c | 300$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…090cbacked Astros | 58c | 275.86$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.86 | 177 | 54.8%97 W · 80 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf002…047fbacked Phillies | 15c | 267.44$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 168 | 51.8%87 W · 81 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Astros | 68c | 233.45$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.37 | 382 | 49.5%189 W · 193 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Phillies | 43c | 233$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.19 | 405 | 48.9%198 W · 207 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Phillies | 6c | 229.17$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa264…e26abacked Phillies | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | -9.8wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Phillies | 40c | 218.12$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.34 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6edc…18cebacked Phillies | 34c | 206.2$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 313 | 56.2%176 W · 137 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Phillies | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Phillies | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Phillies | 42c | 199.96$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.98 | 311 | 45.7%142 W · 169 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd386…1887backed Phillies | 22c | 185.19$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 192 | 33.3%64 W · 128 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84dc…9c02backed Astros | 57c | 177.65$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.22 | 179 | 54.7%98 W · 81 L | +10.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9708…925bbacked Phillies | 41c | 177.07$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.6 | 166 | 43.4%72 W · 94 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x286e…c5fbbacked Astros | 59c | 169.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.86 | 97 | 56.7%55 W · 42 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0fd…95eabacked Phillies | 15c | 166.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51e6…622ebacked Phillies | 43c | 162.79$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -39%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Phillies | 35c | 157.21$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.02 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Phillies | 26c | 156.34$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.31 | 172 | 39.5%68 W · 104 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x238d…e64cbacked Astros | 58c | 152$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Astros | 59c | 146$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.86 | 466 | 31.1%145 W · 321 L | -11.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…4919backed Astros | 58c | 137$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc9…7e5bbacked Phillies | 44c | 136.36$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 189 | 51.3%97 W · 92 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3d2…25afbacked Phillies | 43c | 136$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Phillies | 35c | 124$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Astros | 70c | 119.42$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.77 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Phillies | 45c | 118.29$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.23 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Phillies | 37c | 117$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.29 | 237 | 52.7%125 W · 112 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bbd…606cbacked Phillies | 43c | 116.23$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 92 | 37%34 W · 58 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Phillies | 23c | 113.75$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.3 | 513 | 34.5%177 W · 336 L | -31.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Astros | 58c | 113$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.59 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Phillies | 42c | 112$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.04 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Phillies | 25c | 110.92$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.16 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Phillies | 35c | 106.84$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.08 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x6e35…c89abacked Astros | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Astros | 57c | 98.25$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.25 | 784 | 54.5%427 W · 357 L | +19.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1206…bbc7backed Phillies | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x23f8…d139backed Phillies | 34c | 90.44$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafbc…a8b5backed Astros | 56c | 89.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.28 | 375 | 52.5%197 W · 178 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2173…1cccbacked Phillies | 43c | 88$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.