MLB · resolved market
Mets vs. Padres
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb9d29f1abccf97e6ee95ebb1b352b7e19aefdf0278229a4f19a4c321f47112ef
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Padresof Mets, Padres
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $698,827
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $698,201
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $698,827 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 514 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x02d5…88c7backed Padres | 47c | 511,195$241,927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269,268.37 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Mets | 53c | 340,139$180,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180,084.89 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7abe…b47ebacked Mets | 52c | 76,150$39,598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,598 | 228 | 52.2%119 W · 109 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Mets | 52c | 30,000$15,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,600 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Mets | 52c | 25,000$13,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,000 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7435…a620backed Mets | 42c | 12,947$5,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,420 | 286 | 46.5%133 W · 153 L | -15.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef4…412cbacked Mets | 40c | 12,304$4,930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,929.81 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Mets | 53c | 10,900$5,727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,727 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Padres | 57c | 9,830$5,587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,242.9 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Mets | 54c | 9,292$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcce…136abacked Mets | 32c | 7,813$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Padres | 55c | 7,498$4,137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,361.31 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4dae…f8b2backed Padres | 62c | 7,161$4,446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,715.69 | 133 | 52.6%70 W · 63 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Mets | 54c | 6,000$3,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,240 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Mets | 55c | 5,499$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 167 | 47.9%80 W · 87 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…5432backed Mets | 54c | 5,350$2,889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,889 | 130 | 65.4%85 W · 45 L | +7.7wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Padres | 54c | 5,093$2,746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,347.36 | 384 | 44%169 W · 215 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Padres | 47c | 4,477$2,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,382.22 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Padres | 64c | 3,681$2,359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,322.58 | 338 | 45.9%155 W · 183 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Padres | 45c | 3,485$1,568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,917.01 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Mets | 53c | 3,370$1,769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,769.4 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Mets | 31c | 3,358$1,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,044 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Mets | 36c | 3,254$1,159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,159.5 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Padres | 46c | 2,854$1,313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,540.99 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1331…3d82backed Mets | 52c | 2,767$1,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,429.91 | 149 | 66.4%99 W · 50 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked Padres | 51c | 2,726$1,378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,347.77 | 417 | 47.2%197 W · 220 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed Mets | 46c | 2,600$1,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,196 | 110 | 40.9%45 W · 65 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Mets | 54c | 2,592$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,399.68 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Mets | 56c | 2,534$1,416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,415.8 | 534 | 48.9%261 W · 273 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Padres | 56c | 2,316$1,294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,022.18 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Mets | 54c | 2,276$1,229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,229.1 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…ba09backed Mets | 38c | 1,912$734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$733.9 | 179 | 27.9%50 W · 129 L | -15.3wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb98b…7e18backed Mets | 2c | 1,907$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.9 | 169 | 34.9%59 W · 110 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Padres | 46c | 1,700$782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$917.99 | 382 | 49.5%189 W · 193 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaaef…472abacked Padres | 60c | 1,640$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.18 | 327 | 54.7%179 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6b…47e9backed Padres | 46c | 1,600$736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$864 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2eb…9b76backed Padres | 46c | 1,600$736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$863.99 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x365a…2d70backed Padres | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f75…f4a3backed Mets | 52c | 1,300$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x764d…e977backed Mets | 54c | 1,200$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a90…8dacbacked Mets | 54c | 1,150$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$621 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43ec…240abacked Padres | 46c | 1,100$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Padres | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.83 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9139…fbc0backed Mets | 54c | 950$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5e…7004backed Mets | 40c | 935$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374 | 217 | 67.7%147 W · 70 L | +36.1wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x051a…98b9backed Mets | 54c | 917.2$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf189…4c6bbacked Mets | 54c | 900$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +65.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf674…7fcabacked Mets | 52c | 900$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.26per pick | 48cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Padres | 47c | 829.66$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.72 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x497c…d54ebacked Padres | 47c | 800$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424 | 242 | 48.8%118 W · 124 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x226d…f49ebacked Mets | 40c | 755.82$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.94 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ba…3061backed Mets | 31c | 750$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Mets | 43c | 700.35$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.92 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7322…bb35backed Mets | 54c | 700$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c41…d50bbacked Padres | 48c | 700$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +3.1wins | +0.39per pick | 49cpaid | +90.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…6e98backed Mets | 54c | 689.05$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.09 | 254 | 54.3%138 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Mets | 25c | 660$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.6 | 277 | 33.6%93 W · 184 L | +13.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Mets | 33c | 657.35$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.86 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66cc…d87abacked Padres | 46c | 600$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +3.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe259…b890backed Padres | 60c | 594.4$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.65 | 161 | 62.1%100 W · 61 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6254…d8b7backed Padres | 63c | 566.3$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.33 | 128 | 68%87 W · 41 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd3…1174backed Padres | 60c | 558.59$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.79 | 190 | 52.6%100 W · 90 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Mets | 40c | 557.47$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.7 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x534e…ecfebacked Padres | 61c | 551.61$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.63 | 274 | 58.8%161 W · 113 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9823…02dbbacked Padres | 60c | 525.46$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.14 | 145 | 65.5%95 W · 50 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Mets | 53c | 517.69$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.38 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Mets | 55c | 500$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Mets | 31c | 500$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Mets | 3c | 474.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd99…f375backed Padres | 64c | 458$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.21 | 119 | 63.9%76 W · 43 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…a834backed Padres | 57c | 423$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.53 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +38%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Mets | 51c | 414$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Mets | 54c | 384.35$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.2 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Mets | 54c | 342$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.68 | 432 | 47.2%204 W · 228 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa452…d1efbacked Mets | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Padres | 49c | 321.12$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.47 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5d6…1733backed Mets | 43c | 309.91$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.26 | 129 | 40.3%52 W · 77 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Padres | 47c | 300.09$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.72 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Padres | 47c | 300$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9354…6502backed Padres | 52c | 298.01$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.86 | 115 | 60%69 W · 46 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Mets | 42c | 297.35$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.4 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Mets | 53c | 274.98$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.74 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x762e…4bf0backed Mets | 41c | 270.88$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.06 | 245 | 51.8%127 W · 118 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Padres | 48c | 270.83$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.83 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2719…28ddbacked Padres | 60c | 265.42$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.41 | 253 | 64.4%163 W · 90 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9587…cd8ebacked Padres | 47c | 255.32$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.32 | 312 | 44.2%138 W · 174 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed Padres | 51c | 251.58$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.21 | 244 | 44.3%108 W · 136 L | -8.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Padres | 56c | 250.1$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.1 | 114 | 46.5%53 W · 61 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Padres | 49c | 242.54$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.7 | 401 | 52.4%210 W · 191 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe063…8a04backed Mets | 7c | 241.64$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.6 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Padres | 46c | 220$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.8 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Padres | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Padres | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf8…ba0dbacked Padres | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26e9…4a51backed Padres | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 109 | 40.4%44 W · 65 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7580…cb71backed Padres | 56c | 211$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.84 | 91 | 51.6%47 W · 44 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18f4…8894backed Mets | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf46…d661backed Mets | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb023…4508backed Mets | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04a1…8065backed Mets | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.