TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Mavericks vs. Nets

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Mavericksof Mavericks, Nets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$218,127
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$247,580

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $218,127 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 140 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4c03…0cc1backed Nets0c59,346$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.351,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93ca…d65ebacked Mavericks64c17,587$11,188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,398.8225865.5%169 W · 89 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-1.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb100…6461backed Nets6c17,239$1,097 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,097.0923237.1%86 W · 146 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-24.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5314…910cbacked Nets36c8,623$3,146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,146.2133931.9%108 W · 231 L-28.5wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-37.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Mavericks79c7,349$5,814 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,534.891,19846.8%561 W · 637 L-7.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked Mavericks76c6,084$4,629 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,455.1229957.2%171 W · 128 L+11.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+18.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd3b1…6f55backed Nets43c5,305$2,277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,277.0420238.6%78 W · 124 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9f2…5cbabacked Nets0c5,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103350%0 W · 335 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x00db…80dabacked Nets36c4,855$1,757 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,756.872441.7%10 W · 14 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x221f…6be8backed Nets32c4,000$1,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,28029747.5%141 W · 156 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5523…51e9backed Mavericks73c3,510$2,559 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$950.5761851.6%319 W · 299 L-1.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfcf2…c73bbacked Nets44c3,213$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,399.891442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid+5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f79…1608backed Nets45c3,000$1,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,359.997447.3%35 W · 39 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-13%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb215…b819backed Nets5c2,500$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12526124.1%63 W · 198 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-18.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Nets12c2,484$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.4348046%221 W · 259 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37d8…b6ddbacked Mavericks61c2,472$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$971.7710541%43 W · 62 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x994e…9cf5backed Nets40c2,466$988 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$988.1761345.5%279 W · 334 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2bd…dce0backed Mavericks56c2,308$1,292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,016.6777745%350 W · 427 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Nets41c2,283$944 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$944.166853.4%357 W · 311 L+22.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9a26…410ebacked Mavericks59c2,251$1,328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$923.12653.8%14 W · 12 L+3.8wins+0.15per pick39cpaid+24.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5fe0…d994backed Mavericks59c2,032$1,199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$833.2937448.7%182 W · 192 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x189c…fea3backed Mavericks57c1,740$998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$742.572343.5%10 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1187…cb53backed Nets42c1,617$679 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$679.149836.7%36 W · 62 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+13.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8511…4a6bbacked Mavericks61c1,545$942 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$602.5530351.8%157 W · 146 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0560…d77dbacked Mavericks58c1,493$866 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$627.246346%29 W · 34 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+21.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b88…f405backed Mavericks60c1,325$795 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$529.91241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb5d2…317bbacked Nets40c1,303$518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$518.0918354.1%99 W · 84 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x90b6…1d6bbacked Nets42c1,295$545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$545.4550245.8%230 W · 272 L+2.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12d6…dbbcbacked Mavericks57c1,163$663 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500.0920047%94 W · 106 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Nets43c1,163$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.0937734%128 W · 249 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf62d…d3a0backed Nets44c1,028$449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44929643.2%128 W · 168 L-12.7wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Nets1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,2772.3%29 W · 1,248 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-84%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Mavericks56c1,000$555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$444.881,29044%567 W · 723 L+35.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x520a…ab8abacked Nets42c1,000$423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$423.2651037.5%191 W · 319 L+1.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Nets40c922.27$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367.471,02848.5%499 W · 529 L+27.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x854f…00a7backed Nets14c882.41$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.0347229.4%139 W · 333 L-33.1wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-37.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xef75…5d78backed Nets18c873.07$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.7236751.8%190 W · 177 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Mavericks62c810.03$505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.788053.8%473 W · 407 L+52.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Mavericks61c724.99$442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.7557760.5%349 W · 228 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x830d…3f0ebacked Nets42c714.29$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30016532.1%53 W · 112 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xccf3…8f27backed Nets12c679.98$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.840726%106 W · 301 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97ae…82bdbacked Nets25c648$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.9630826.6%82 W · 226 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Nets44c608.56$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.4985542%359 W · 496 L+10.0wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9139…fbc0backed Mavericks60c600$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2401346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-28.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Nets31c594.36$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.251,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9ee…a887backed Nets14c555.01$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.23296.9%2 W · 27 L-5.2wins-0.18per pick25cpaid-83%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Nets42c537.64$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.4973647.3%348 W · 388 L-12.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Nets40c516.83$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.8456945.3%258 W · 311 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf13b…2257backed Mavericks54c505$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.3666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.21per pick45cpaid+38.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0781…11cdbacked Nets40c500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ccd…62b5backed Mavericks58c491.51$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.432236.4%8 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdafc…dbadbacked Mavericks55c452.64$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.649131.9%29 W · 62 L-5.1wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-28.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4c53…30cdbacked Nets45c442.49$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.121030%3 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-28.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked Nets45c400$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18068642.1%289 W · 397 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7662…356bbacked Nets43c399.96$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.6545743.3%198 W · 259 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x57b9…7726backed Nets39c299.99$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11713138.9%51 W · 80 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99ac…5e6ebacked Nets20c250$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50722.8%2 W · 70 L-12.1wins-0.17per pick20cpaid-85.8%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x224b…d105backed Nets41c243.9$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007169%49 W · 22 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x16d3…d0cbbacked Nets41c243.9$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-45.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Nets42c238.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10089353%473 W · 420 L+1.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcfb3…e68cbacked Mavericks60c235.37$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.1535050.6%177 W · 173 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84db…b24ebacked Nets46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10016129.8%48 W · 113 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Nets40c213.94$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.7487647.5%416 W · 460 L+3.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29ed…962dbacked Nets45c208.31$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.741442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xac90…1882backed Mavericks56c199.99$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$881060%6 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x38a0…16e9backed Nets17c195.82$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3471823.3%167 W · 551 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d3d…82c7backed Mavericks56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.578452.4%44 W · 40 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xca34…8cb1backed Mavericks56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.5711140.5%45 W · 66 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1a4…229ebacked Nets45c153.19$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.94862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+17.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xefaf…26a1backed Nets13c150$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2019535.4%69 W · 126 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb9…d4f3backed Mavericks60c149$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.6650%3 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7685…482cbacked Mavericks63c148.22$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.8422950.7%116 W · 113 L-8.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-6.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7096…e019backed Mavericks76c139.33$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.8630061.7%185 W · 115 L+23.9wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+25.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Nets40c125$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501,16654.4%634 W · 532 L+19.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d9a…4e25backed Mavericks62c120$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.628838.2%110 W · 178 L-18.2wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-14.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe45d…f77ebacked Nets10c120$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1225336.8%93 W · 160 L-10.2wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-15%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Nets40c115$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.4973445.5%334 W · 400 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x69f3…db29backed Nets12c111.11$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.11419.8%4 W · 37 L-0.2wins0.00per pick10cpaid-81.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcbe8…ae5bbacked Nets45c109.56$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.31127.3%3 W · 8 L-3.0wins-0.27per pick55cpaid-40.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2379…9ac8backed Mavericks57c103.3$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.423327.3%9 W · 24 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-33%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeccf…4a73backed Nets43c103.3$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.42333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick57cpaid-47.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x53a3…5642backed Nets45c101.97$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.11060%6 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+27.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f62…0ac2backed Nets45c101.29$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.581136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x43cb…4bccbacked Mavericks60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4029635.8%106 W · 190 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fa9…39a1backed Nets19c100$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.2248741.9%204 W · 283 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5036…416bbacked Nets42c100$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4238845.9%178 W · 210 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1dc3…3febbacked Mavericks75c100$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258373.5%61 W · 22 L+8.9wins+0.11per pick63cpaid+16.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4059…23dabacked Nets12c100$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121234.9%6 W · 117 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick7cpaid+19.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x73f0…3d28backed Nets23c99.99$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.436434.9%127 W · 237 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc91…2083backed Mavericks55c99.33$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.71346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea4f…3463backed Mavericks55c98.6$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.37862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+43.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe5b…9b2fbacked Nets45c94.84$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.681050%5 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x415c…0536backed Mavericks56c94.34$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.51837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee7e…3d93backed Nets46c86.15$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.631258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93b9…7604backed Mavericks55c84.46$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.981450%7 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x20ab…651abacked Mavericks56c83.48$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.731060%6 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37dc…2c06backed Nets46c82.41$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.911233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.9wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-36.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x67cb…11cdbacked Mavericks56c80.71$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.511250%6 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid+7.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4aa6…7721backed Mavericks60c76.67$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.6713236.4%48 W · 84 L-8.6wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-14.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1f19…aec2backed Mavericks63c74$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.0436747.7%175 W · 192 L-0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.