NHL · resolved market
Predators vs. Penguins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf007e26268220704c0235e7bd7dc271966eff3f5c10be28d3cc2108ffad1437e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Penguinsof Predators, Penguins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,376
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $52,566
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,376 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 120 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Penguins | 48c | 10,856$5,211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,645.1 | 236 | 42.8%101 W · 135 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Predators | 52c | 2,901$1,508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,508.33 | 355 | 45.4%161 W · 194 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Predators | 52c | 2,896$1,506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,505.92 | 73 | 61.6%45 W · 28 L | +7.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc624…106abacked Penguins | 51c | 2,600$1,326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,274 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb307…5c7dbacked Predators | 49c | 2,598$1,273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,273.02 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Predators | 52c | 2,500$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Predators | 51c | 2,395$1,223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,223.44 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Predators | 18c | 1,541$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.73 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Penguins | 48c | 1,076$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.51 | 298 | 47%140 W · 158 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Predators | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Predators | 25c | 662.31$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.2 | 323 | 31.3%101 W · 222 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505c…a066backed Penguins | 66c | 651.53$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.52 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Predators | 35c | 615.6$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.46 | 413 | 40%165 W · 248 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Predators | 52c | 607.99$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.15 | 751 | 55.8%419 W · 332 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Predators | 52c | 576$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.52 | 792 | 51.1%405 W · 387 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Penguins | 47c | 555.78$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.69 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Predators | 52c | 535.79$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.75 | 493 | 51.3%253 W · 240 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Predators | 51c | 504.99$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.31 | 724 | 44.6%323 W · 401 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Predators | 34c | 407.41$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.12 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1f7…c4e5backed Penguins | 43c | 348.84$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.84 | 74 | 59.5%44 W · 30 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Predators | 10c | 329$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.9 | 448 | 48.9%219 W · 229 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Predators | 51c | 321.45$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.56 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x901b…1e79backed Penguins | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1008…5b2abacked Penguins | 48c | 202.09$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Predators | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2235…d67fbacked Penguins | 52c | 192.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.82 | 70 | 62.9%44 W · 26 L | +8.0wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Penguins | 52c | 192.62$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.62 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3189…9409backed Predators | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf00f…711abacked Penguins | 47c | 171.83$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.07 | 137 | 56.2%77 W · 60 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4835…8f59backed Penguins | 66c | 157.58$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.58 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -6.2wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf22a…1697backed Predators | 52c | 149.99$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.54 | 92 | 51.1%47 W · 45 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc93…4249backed Penguins | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Predators | 52c | 144$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.88 | 481 | 49.3%237 W · 244 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Predators | 52c | 144$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.88 | 605 | 49.3%298 W · 307 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1668…ebebbacked Penguins | 49c | 125.25$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.88 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked Predators | 39c | 125$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.75 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacb5…eb0abacked Predators | 53c | 124.64$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.8 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f4…e5f6backed Predators | 52c | 122.73$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.82 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x05a8…92aabacked Penguins | 49c | 122.49$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.17 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e87…a5b0backed Penguins | 48c | 121.69$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.28 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.7wins | +0.19per pick | 49cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3b6a…672bbacked Penguins | 49c | 120.82$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.62 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +3.2wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…1282backed Predators | 53c | 120.17$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.69 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -3.2wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x89ad…e46fbacked Penguins | 49c | 118.88$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.63 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.25per pick | 53cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x73c2…7175backed Predators | 53c | 118.22$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.12 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa15a…58fcbacked Predators | 52c | 115.39$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b23…e7ccbacked Penguins | 50c | 115.12$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.06 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +4.3wins | +0.19per pick | 55cpaid | +38%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf862…e2babacked Predators | 53c | 114$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.42 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d28…b20ebacked Predators | 52c | 113.1$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.81 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.25per pick | 53cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e82…6060backed Predators | 53c | 111.51$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.1 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +3.0wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb861…9a99backed Predators | 54c | 110.65$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.3 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +60.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed Penguins | 48c | 109.95$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.39 | 253 | 40.7%103 W · 150 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc89f…5ea7backed Penguins | 49c | 109.45$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.82 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeba7…f213backed Penguins | 49c | 109.19$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.61 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Predators | 34c | 107.4$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.84 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Penguins | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 508 | 57.7%293 W · 215 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5036…416bbacked Predators | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 276 | 43.5%120 W · 156 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904b…429cbacked Penguins | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 500 | 49.4%247 W · 253 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…1078backed Penguins | 49c | 73.47$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.47 | 459 | 54.2%249 W · 210 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6163…8507backed Penguins | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.08 | 198 | 52.5%104 W · 94 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1984…241ebacked Penguins | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 84 | 45.2%38 W · 46 L | -7.8wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Predators | 53c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 543 | 49.5%269 W · 274 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x823f…5dffbacked Penguins | 49c | 48.31$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.64 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d4e…d045backed Penguins | 48c | 48.28$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +106.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Penguins | 52c | 48.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.17 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3801…e27fbacked Penguins | 49c | 44.86$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.88 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f9f…6a22backed Predators | 52c | 43.75$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.75 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.23per pick | 50cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf140…d073backed Penguins | 48c | 43.25$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.49 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +90.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7903…bd65backed Predators | 52c | 42.31$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb39…8055backed Predators | 52c | 40.53$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76ad…78d3backed Predators | 49c | 39.22$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.21 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf209…5d6dbacked Penguins | 49c | 38.78$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.78 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6977…97b8backed Penguins | 48c | 38.45$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6520…5e84backed Penguins | 48c | 37.21$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.35 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 53cpaid | +53%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd7…c601backed Predators | 52c | 37.21$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9df7…aedcbacked Predators | 49c | 36.23$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.75 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 62cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda60…96b2backed Predators | 52c | 35.51$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.47 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61db…a32abacked Predators | 50c | 35.42$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.71 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda8f…259dbacked Predators | 50c | 34.72$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.36 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30bd…526dbacked Penguins | 50c | 34.72$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.36 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc531…47e5backed Predators | 52c | 34.67$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.03 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32f3…6160backed Penguins | 51c | 34$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.66 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b2a…460abacked Penguins | 65c | 32.38$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.33 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 62cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c76…9d6abacked Predators | 52c | 32.35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98ae…85febacked Predators | 53c | 30.89$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.37 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb28f…35b4backed Penguins | 48c | 30.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f1…83b0backed Penguins | 49c | 30.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.58 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 53cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x962c…3062backed Predators | 49c | 30.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfc…5c86backed Penguins | 48c | 30.12$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.67 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3fe…23abbacked Penguins | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +23%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d3e…aa92backed Penguins | 48c | 29.58$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.38 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x809c…2531backed Predators | 52c | 29.58$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeab1…5b7bbacked Penguins | 51c | 28.82$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae91…8a2abacked Predators | 50c | 28.7$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b5c…2da4backed Penguins | 48c | 28.28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.71 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77e0…9eb2backed Predators | 53c | 28.02$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a70…c87dbacked Penguins | 48c | 27.49$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.29 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d46…ac69backed Penguins | 48c | 27.22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.15 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d59…67fabacked Predators | 53c | 27.19$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf15a…c412backed Penguins | 45c | 26.79$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.73 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e85…1aa5backed Predators | 49c | 26.3$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.