TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spurs vs. Pelicans

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Pelicansof Spurs, Pelicans
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$270,778
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$274,376

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $270,778 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 583 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5314…910cbacked Spurs54c26,753$14,431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,431.3633931.9%108 W · 231 L-28.5wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-37.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2ff0…46e3backed Pelicans42c22,537$9,538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,999.2547656.5%269 W · 207 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40e3…0787backed Pelicans47c17,137$7,998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,138.4134532.8%113 W · 232 L-16.9wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-35.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xafba…e61bbacked Pelicans57c11,558$6,587 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,970.8647848.1%230 W · 248 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1484…cafebacked Pelicans79c10,521$8,261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,259.629738.7%115 W · 182 L-10.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-20.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Spurs51c9,512$4,896 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,895.6149849.4%246 W · 252 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x854f…00a7backed Pelicans32c8,709$2,828 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,880.7947229.4%139 W · 333 L-33.1wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-37.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x58a3…279fbacked Pelicans52c8,432$4,424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,007.727163.4%45 W · 26 L+7.2wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+29.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xa647…64eebacked Spurs52c7,495$3,897 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,897.3219350.3%97 W · 96 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Spurs43c6,885$2,961 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,960.6176249.5%377 W · 385 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Spurs42c5,941$2,495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,495.281,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3078…3e11backed Spurs61c5,838$3,587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,587.2222049.1%108 W · 112 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-14.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd2bd…dce0backed Pelicans56c5,001$2,819 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,181.8277745%350 W · 427 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41b7…f6babacked Pelicans29c5,000$1,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,550.180146.4%372 W · 429 L-1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa67…0ef4backed Spurs1c5,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508016.3%13 W · 67 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick19cpaid-27.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Spurs55c3,900$2,137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,136.565,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Pelicans56c3,875$2,155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,719.931,16449.6%577 W · 587 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdcc9…4534backed Pelicans57c3,300$1,881 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,418.948167.9%55 W · 26 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Spurs43c2,772$1,197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,196.61,45149.7%721 W · 730 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3603…ac36backed Spurs44c2,699$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,20011355.8%63 W · 50 L+10.2wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+18.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x983b…cac5backed Spurs46c2,609$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,200540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Pelicans57c2,157$1,233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$923.891,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked Spurs66c1,936$1,279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,279.2470640.8%288 W · 418 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x73f0…3d28backed Spurs63c1,820$1,144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,143.7736434.9%127 W · 237 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked Spurs66c1,500$995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$995.168642.1%289 W · 397 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3315…937dbacked Pelicans58c1,499$869 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$629.66100%6 W · 0 L+3.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+133.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xb9c3…daecbacked Spurs43c1,497$644 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$643.811127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.6wins-0.24per pick51cpaid-57.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xec5c…ce46backed Spurs67c1,493$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00045135%158 W · 293 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe663…6462backed Spurs71c1,410$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0006747.8%32 W · 35 L-3.7wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1c85…cfecbacked Pelicans57c1,400$798 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$601.99825%2 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-62%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xeefa…d1a2backed Spurs43c1,383$595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$594.531963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.7wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+28.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb5d2…317bbacked Pelicans54c1,380$751 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$629.3818354.1%99 W · 84 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d7…25e9backed Spurs62c1,114$688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$688.3270951.3%364 W · 345 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x248c…d914backed Pelicans49c1,090$534 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$555.916563.6%105 W · 60 L+12.0wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+13.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Spurs53c1,072$567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$566.791,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90b6…1d6bbacked Spurs47c1,045$491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49150245.8%230 W · 272 L+2.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Spurs1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,2772.3%29 W · 1,248 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-84%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x28d9…4ad1backed Spurs40c1,000$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404.71353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+10.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc693…c4e0backed Pelicans57c999.91$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$429.96977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.20per pick58cpaid+22.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9fe8…56a3backed Spurs44c999.49$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439.7732130.2%97 W · 224 L-0.8wins0.00per pick30cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe38e…c29dbacked Spurs43c936$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402.4813560.7%82 W · 53 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Spurs47c905.92$428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$428.393,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x520a…ab8abacked Pelicans56c900$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39651037.5%191 W · 319 L+1.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ec3…799dbacked Pelicans56c890$498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4fcc…ef85backed Spurs44c890$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Spurs65c843.98$546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$545.911,55437.3%579 W · 975 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x27f2…702cbacked Spurs66c841.75$556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$555.569868.4%67 W · 31 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick67cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4132…a5a5backed Pelicans37c816.76$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$516.7620851.4%107 W · 101 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3bdc…3a4ebacked Pelicans57c799.99$456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34419943.7%87 W · 112 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x39dc…8d05backed Spurs44c790.56$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35014051.4%72 W · 68 L+9.4wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+15.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1d80…219abacked Pelicans36c725$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4647851.3%40 W · 38 L+4.8wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2b89…693dbacked Spurs69c709.89$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488.441662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Spurs44c704.99$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.2785542%359 W · 496 L+10.0wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8097…8a5fbacked Pelicans58c692.55$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.8727546.9%129 W · 146 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Spurs75c677.15$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50526934.9%94 W · 175 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb116…940abacked Pelicans57c675.14$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.3112655.6%70 W · 56 L-8.1wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd44c…ab91backed Spurs78c674.85$526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$526.3828347.7%135 W · 148 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Pelicans55c600$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27073051.8%378 W · 352 L-2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Pelicans54c569.69$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.8788053.8%473 W · 407 L+52.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2fd3…7214backed Spurs57c552.1$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.5718632.8%61 W · 125 L-12.2wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-29.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x03cb…4bf9backed Pelicans58c517.24$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.2426640.2%107 W · 159 L+13.7wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+9.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa2d6…9487backed Pelicans46c500$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2702025%5 W · 15 L-2.7wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-44.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x73f7…cc19backed Spurs55c500$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2752133.3%7 W · 14 L-3.1wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-37.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd3ee…c58fbacked Spurs49c500$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2452352.2%12 W · 11 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5810…fa44backed Spurs54c500$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2702532%8 W · 17 L-2.8wins-0.11per pick43cpaid-27.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xde8c…af97backed Pelicans46c500$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2702528%7 W · 18 L-3.0wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-34%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf42f…420fbacked Pelicans49c500$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2552437.5%9 W · 15 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-28.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf08a…29e0backed Spurs49c500$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2452454.2%13 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf44c…57dfbacked Spurs54c500$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2702441.7%10 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x47f9…d9d9backed Pelicans48c500$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2602339.1%9 W · 14 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-22%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc455…d59cbacked Spurs48c500$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2402544%11 W · 14 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-20.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c6b…1318backed Pelicans48c500$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2602138.1%8 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-28.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdf4e…09b7backed Spurs49c500$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2452466.7%16 W · 8 L+3.7wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+28.6%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x8824…7fa6backed Spurs48c500$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2402240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-23.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x32bd…5765backed Pelicans48c500$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2602552%13 W · 12 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x90cd…e97bbacked Spurs49c500$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2452250%11 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x78d1…52cebacked Spurs54c500$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2702352.2%12 W · 11 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba86…94cbbacked Pelicans46c500$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2702240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-22.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf2f2…d8b3backed Pelicans48c500$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2602343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x05e6…aedbbacked Pelicans46c500$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2702540%10 W · 15 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a60…2f6dbacked Spurs54c500$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2702343.5%10 W · 13 L-0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x548f…abd6backed Spurs53c500$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2652564%16 W · 9 L+3.5wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+22.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0ac1…e25ebacked Spurs49c500$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2452433.3%8 W · 16 L-3.5wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-40.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa586…98b7backed Spurs47c500$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2352657.7%15 W · 11 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5cbd…245cbacked Pelicans46c500$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2702128.6%6 W · 15 L-2.3wins-0.11per pick40cpaid-38%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb15d…0b88backed Spurs53c500$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2652352.2%12 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x535f…f7ebbacked Pelicans45c500$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2752128.6%6 W · 15 L-2.4wins-0.11per pick40cpaid-38.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4a7c…4c38backed Pelicans46c500$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2702634.6%9 W · 17 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-22.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5c39…d335backed Pelicans46c500$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2702128.6%6 W · 15 L-3.1wins-0.15per pick43cpaid-44.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2e32…2e01backed Pelicans45c500$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2752556%14 W · 11 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x150d…644fbacked Pelicans46c500$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2702138.1%8 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe2a1…d1eebacked Pelicans48c500$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2602661.5%16 W · 10 L+3.6wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+21.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5ab1…93f4backed Pelicans52c500$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2402763%17 W · 10 L+3.4wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+16.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xdbfb…ec31backed Spurs52c500$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2602343.5%10 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-13.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xacef…4a51backed Spurs52c500$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2602347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x43e0…be7fbacked Spurs54c500$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2702142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-23.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x48e8…20fcbacked Pelicans48c500$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2602360.9%14 W · 9 L+2.4wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+17.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdb42…2ca9backed Pelicans46c500$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2702330.4%7 W · 16 L-3.4wins-0.15per pick45cpaid-41.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0d88…3221backed Pelicans46c500$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2702236.4%8 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-24%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3446…a4a6backed Spurs52c500$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2602540%10 W · 15 L-2.3wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-30.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.