NBA · resolved market
Thunder vs. Grizzlies
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4175b1f3dab26e9c77f5cc76cc696774660c87c9eb73ceaf1b38bb79baf3dc30
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Thunderof Thunder, Grizzlies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $717,882
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $803,267
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $717,882 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 685 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x011f…1122backed Grizzlies | 3c | 54,929$1,577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,576.69 | 464 | 26.1%121 W · 343 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Grizzlies | 1c | 37,814$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.99 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Grizzlies | 28c | 36,580$10,358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,358.41 | 476 | 56.5%269 W · 207 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Grizzlies | 11c | 32,520$3,618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,617.65 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91b0…f0b6backed Grizzlies | 10c | 27,552$2,728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,728.25 | 83 | 37.3%31 W · 52 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Grizzlies | 9c | 15,221$1,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,375 | 500 | 47.2%236 W · 264 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b1…6f55backed Grizzlies | 31c | 11,488$3,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,504.95 | 202 | 38.6%78 W · 124 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Thunder | 75c | 8,888$6,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,222 | 202 | 48%97 W · 105 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Grizzlies | 28c | 8,091$2,265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,265.36 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe626…2fe6backed Thunder | 73c | 7,902$5,785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,117.48 | 95 | 72.6%69 W · 26 L | +8.1wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Grizzlies | 26c | 6,437$1,675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,674.56 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…d994backed Grizzlies | 27c | 5,314$1,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,430.07 | 374 | 48.7%182 W · 192 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Thunder | 74c | 5,196$3,827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,368.95 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25f2…edf8backed Grizzlies | 25c | 4,797$1,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,198.22 | 106 | 43.4%46 W · 60 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Grizzlies | 4c | 4,447$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.47 | 344 | 25.6%88 W · 256 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5faf…a1d1backed Grizzlies | 1c | 4,167$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Grizzlies | 27c | 4,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,079.87 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Thunder | 75c | 3,504$2,628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$875.99 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0712…f71bbacked Grizzlies | 26c | 3,269$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Grizzlies | 24c | 3,254$787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$787.44 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1872…ae0fbacked Thunder | 75c | 3,011$2,258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$752.64 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Grizzlies | 0c | 3,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Grizzlies | 23c | 3,000$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.96 | 406 | 27.8%113 W · 293 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x221f…6be8backed Thunder | 71c | 2,540$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.98 | 297 | 47.5%141 W · 156 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4132…a5a5backed Grizzlies | 17c | 2,527$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 208 | 51.4%107 W · 101 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Grizzlies | 24c | 2,359$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.24 | 736 | 47.3%348 W · 388 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x089b…2193backed Grizzlies | 8c | 2,300$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 277 | 31.4%87 W · 190 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa33…8dbcbacked Grizzlies | 31c | 2,138$665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$664.54 | 294 | 50.3%148 W · 146 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Grizzlies | 23c | 2,110$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.23 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1187…cb53backed Grizzlies | 24c | 2,083$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.92 | 98 | 36.7%36 W · 62 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x670d…0825backed Thunder | 77c | 2,050$1,579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.5 | 77 | 59.7%46 W · 31 L | +9.1wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xad25…7678backed Grizzlies | 25c | 2,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 90 | 38.9%35 W · 55 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d80…5fd8backed Thunder | 75c | 1,741$1,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.16 | 302 | 51.7%156 W · 146 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Thunder | 73c | 1,728$1,255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.22 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Grizzlies | 1c | 1,600$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Thunder | 70c | 1,595$1,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.58 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Thunder | 72c | 1,538$1,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.82 | 339 | 31.9%108 W · 231 L | -28.5wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Grizzlies | 25c | 1,411$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.24 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88db…3843backed Grizzlies | 28c | 1,400$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.71 | 175 | 46.3%81 W · 94 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Grizzlies | 27c | 1,393$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.69 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…1d6bbacked Grizzlies | 24c | 1,351$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.99 | 502 | 45.8%230 W · 272 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Grizzlies | 28c | 1,300$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364 | 339 | 45.1%153 W · 186 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb033…bedbbacked Thunder | 73c | 1,280$935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.8 | 100 | 58%58 W · 42 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9244…b955backed Thunder | 77c | 1,200$924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Thunder | 67c | 1,199$806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.6 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb37c…164ebacked Grizzlies | 23c | 1,197$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.31 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x207a…6fecbacked Thunder | 67c | 1,181$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.7 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Grizzlies | 17c | 1,153$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.67 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x854f…00a7backed Grizzlies | 16c | 1,136$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.42 | 472 | 29.4%139 W · 333 L | -33.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Grizzlies | 14c | 1,115$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.5 | 345 | 24.3%84 W · 261 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…8d05backed Grizzlies | 27c | 1,113$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 140 | 51.4%72 W · 68 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x348f…e570backed Thunder | 74c | 1,069$791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Grizzlies | 14c | 1,046$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.43 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f2…702cbacked Thunder | 64c | 1,044$673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.94 | 98 | 68.4%67 W · 31 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe8…56a3backed Grizzlies | 26c | 999.98$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 321 | 30.2%97 W · 224 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51dd…2f92backed Thunder | 74c | 999.93$743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.65 | 199 | 44.7%89 W · 110 L | -15.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xac56…5b67backed Thunder | 76c | 994.74$756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.97 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Grizzlies | 24c | 989.92$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.98 | 876 | 47.5%416 W · 460 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49b2…ffd0backed Grizzlies | 2c | 930$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.1 | 156 | 13.5%21 W · 135 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x205b…dd3cbacked Grizzlies | 21c | 850$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.5 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Grizzlies | 26c | 821.51$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.44 | 855 | 42%359 W · 496 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x520a…ab8abacked Grizzlies | 29c | 790.98$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.56 | 510 | 37.5%191 W · 319 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb215…b819backed Grizzlies | 26c | 765.93$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 261 | 24.1%63 W · 198 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ca…d65ebacked Thunder | 73c | 752.78$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.78 | 258 | 65.5%169 W · 89 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Thunder | 74c | 749.97$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.99 | 1,053 | 53.5%563 W · 490 L | -15.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed Grizzlies | 29c | 687$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 389 | 42.9%167 W · 222 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73f0…3d28backed Grizzlies | 24c | 650$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 364 | 34.9%127 W · 237 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42e0…0578backed Grizzlies | 33c | 635$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.49 | 205 | 53.7%110 W · 95 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f72…4d8ebacked Grizzlies | 8c | 600$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 36 | 16.7%6 W · 30 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea28…3a0bbacked Thunder | 74c | 600$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158 | 156 | 38.5%60 W · 96 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa273…7786backed Grizzlies | 18c | 579.55$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | -6.1wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…6130backed Thunder | 76c | 575$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 161 | 60.9%98 W · 63 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Grizzlies | 27c | 568$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.94 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Grizzlies | 27c | 566.67$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 380 | 27.1%103 W · 277 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…356bbacked Grizzlies | 24c | 562.24$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.94 | 457 | 43.3%198 W · 259 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d7c…b7dbbacked Thunder | 76c | 536.58$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.78 | 194 | 52.1%101 W · 93 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Grizzlies | 21c | 534.85$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.01 | 367 | 51.8%190 W · 177 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cd…0516backed Grizzlies | 23c | 517.48$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.73 | 398 | 43.5%173 W · 225 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Grizzlies | 24c | 511$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.53 | 686 | 42.1%289 W · 397 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Grizzlies | 32c | 499.99$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2d…27e6backed Grizzlies | 29c | 496.97$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.39 | 81 | 22.2%18 W · 63 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2de4…548fbacked Grizzlies | 24c | 468.58$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.46 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05d7…676fbacked Grizzlies | 22c | 454.94$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.09 | 96 | 25%24 W · 72 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Grizzlies | 3c | 448$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.01 | 550 | 2.5%14 W · 536 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd8…858ebacked Grizzlies | 18c | 415$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.65 | 365 | 14.2%52 W · 313 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27d2…a66cbacked Thunder | 73c | 410.96$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.96 | 214 | 50%107 W · 107 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Grizzlies | 25c | 402$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.5 | 577 | 60.5%349 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d4a…2215backed Grizzlies | 27c | 400$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 198 | 38.9%77 W · 121 L | -13.2wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa112…d215backed Grizzlies | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd596…17b9backed Grizzlies | 30c | 400$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e8f…61d9backed Thunder | 72c | 398.32$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e6e…5617backed Grizzlies | 29c | 396.55$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd9…2af2backed Grizzlies | 26c | 386.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd3…9642backed Grizzlies | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 303 | 54.1%164 W · 139 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c56…5a66backed Grizzlies | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 110 | 40.9%45 W · 65 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf33…261fbacked Grizzlies | 7c | 381$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.67 | 174 | 20.1%35 W · 139 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e87…a5b0backed Grizzlies | 27c | 377.41$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.68 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Grizzlies | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 893 | 53%473 W · 420 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Grizzlies | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4490…a367backed Thunder | 73c | 348.36$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.06 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +56.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.