TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Oilers vs. Panthers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Panthersof Oilers, Panthers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$112,705
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$109,854

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $112,705 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 182 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1b5e…83f8backed Panthers53c46,860$24,717 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,142.367758.4%45 W · 32 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe32e…890bbacked Oilers51c17,723$9,018 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,017.7136242%152 W · 210 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5314…910cbacked Oilers47c8,707$4,136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,135.6422842.5%97 W · 131 L-7.3wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0360…7be1backed Oilers47c6,679$3,139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,139.18139.5%32 W · 49 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4d34…b76fbacked Oilers45c5,000$2,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,249.992744.4%12 W · 15 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6253…20a6backed Oilers51c3,250$1,657 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,657.44447.7%21 W · 23 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Oilers47c3,073$1,442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,441.8692848.5%450 W · 478 L+17.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x40e3…0787backed Oilers4c2,613$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.7132331.3%101 W · 222 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-28.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Oilers48c2,257$1,077 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,076.631,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0ad…5176backed Oilers47c1,794$843 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$843.1829847%140 W · 158 L+12.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Panthers50c1,740$876 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$863.4679251.1%405 W · 387 L+21.7wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf10a…b2d1backed Oilers38c1,589$608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$607.736940.6%28 W · 41 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-19.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Panthers50c1,441$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$720.4497651.6%504 W · 472 L-3.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5d2…317bbacked Panthers52c1,435$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$684.9215663.5%99 W · 57 L+17.0wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+22.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5444…26b1backed Panthers69c1,300$895 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4051070%7 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.15per pick55cpaid+23.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe8e1…77bfbacked Panthers52c1,076$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$516.722055%11 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Oilers48c1,042$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50015431.8%49 W · 105 L-12.4wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-24.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb7da…deb7backed Panthers58c1,034$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$434.48785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.3wins+0.33per pick53cpaid+80%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Oilers17c999.99$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17041340%165 W · 248 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Panthers58c985.79$572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$413.5584051.4%432 W · 408 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x994e…9cf5backed Panthers52c729.44$381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$348.3949351.3%253 W · 240 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e2e…9937backed Oilers43c697.67$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30050%0 W · 5 L-2.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Oilers46c626.78$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.321,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc6f4…3a82backed Panthers50c589.22$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.612100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+113.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4cc3…7552backed Oilers43c450$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.53852.6%20 W · 18 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e87…8befbacked Oilers45c444.89$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20013457.5%77 W · 57 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x49f7…046bbacked Oilers43c428.57$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.298932.6%29 W · 60 L-6.9wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-18.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Oilers39c403.77$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.833,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Panthers53c400$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18813754%74 W · 63 L+9.3wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+14.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xaf32…9c38backed Panthers50c398.2$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.1250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick43cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c98…2f96backed Oilers51c393$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.4320%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x70f8…d0d5backed Oilers51c392.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20027958.8%164 W · 115 L-1.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x07f2…2634backed Oilers51c392.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200825%2 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-43.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf09d…de27backed Oilers51c391.43$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.6320%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Panthers54c369.22$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.8486649.9%432 W · 434 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a07…91c4backed Panthers50c360$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1803100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+72.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe9d6…2c33backed Oilers51c358.8$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Panthers58c358.43$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.1691334.1%311 W · 602 L-27.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbbc3…7e27backed Oilers43c334.88$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick56cpaid+39.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x327d…97fbbacked Oilers47c265.96$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde0d…26fbbacked Oilers50c260$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1668…ebebbacked Oilers51c252.65$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.851968.4%13 W · 6 L+2.8wins+0.14per pick54cpaid+29.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Panthers50c251.97$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.0560549.3%298 W · 307 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Oilers47c239.65$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.8872444.6%323 W · 401 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9489…0c10backed Panthers50c236.54$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.271560%9 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Oilers43c232.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,03955.2%574 W · 465 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf442…ccf8backed Oilers44c227.8$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.238451.2%43 W · 41 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5ea5…2af9backed Oilers45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10015456.5%87 W · 67 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x931f…d15dbacked Oilers45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012859.4%76 W · 52 L+0.4wins0.00per pick59cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3dde…6b67backed Panthers50c220$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.14235.7%15 W · 27 L-6.9wins-0.16per pick52cpaid-33.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x6391…bc1cbacked Oilers44c213.64$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$946144.3%27 W · 34 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-12.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6379…5c9ebacked Oilers51c205.88$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10520%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6dcc…3fedbacked Panthers50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1001100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe143…5608backed Oilers50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d22…b80dbacked Panthers50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1001100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e68…329fbacked Panthers50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1001100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x04d0…8630backed Oilers50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x519f…2af7backed Panthers50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1007044.3%31 W · 39 L-4.7wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3f53…2c6ebacked Oilers50c198$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6b5…02b9backed Oilers51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x89d6…c877backed Oilers51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x172e…5ba7backed Panthers51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.08250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e92…1b90backed Oilers51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8c43…1bc3backed Panthers51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.082100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd884…8564backed Panthers51c194.12$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.12250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c7a…34ebbacked Oilers44c192.27$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.12356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd28…374abacked Oilers47c190$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.3520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.25per pick45cpaid-67.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2301…1b33backed Panthers59c188.63$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.84850%4 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7dd7…c328backed Panthers48c180$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.61154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8035…1d67backed Panthers54c180$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.8933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-39.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe66e…be29backed Oilers52c180$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.61040%4 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-21%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x30e0…75ccbacked Panthers51c170$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.3955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6629…7a4dbacked Oilers49c170$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.3944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf04f…a8c4backed Oilers44c166.34$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.3116437.2%61 W · 103 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d22…9d0cbacked Oilers43c153.3$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.922250%11 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc89f…5ea7backed Panthers59c151.07$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.941844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Oilers47c145$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.1572847.9%349 W · 379 L-1.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50fa…d8fdbacked Panthers50c140$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x818d…24ddbacked Oilers43c138.79$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.681435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.5wins-0.18per pick54cpaid-40.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x86c6…51b1backed Panthers50c137.88$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.941450%7 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked Panthers57c133.92$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.5950857.7%293 W · 215 L+0.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0c4…1144backed Panthers55c133.87$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.24475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+45.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8862…548abacked Oilers45c133$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.851250%6 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72b2…1067backed Panthers55c133$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.851369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+32.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdcd7…eebfbacked Oilers44c129.77$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.1250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57fc…b401backed Panthers55c126.69$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.011154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x48d0…fea8backed Oilers51c123.18$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.821145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea9d…41f9backed Oilers44c119.32$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.5742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-31.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Oilers43c116.28$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501,03755%570 W · 467 L-0.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3585…1595backed Oilers47c116.06$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.718440.5%34 W · 50 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x49d1…7b96backed Oilers47c113.39$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.294725.5%12 W · 35 L-10.5wins-0.22per pick48cpaid-54.8%equal weight34-0.15 edge/pick
0x36f6…a632backed Oilers46c108.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.831315.4%2 W · 11 L-4.1wins-0.31per pick47cpaid-67.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x3b6a…672bbacked Oilers44c107.03$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.991866.7%12 W · 6 L+3.2wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+37.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5808…154bbacked Oilers47c106.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502433.3%8 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-19.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39e6…84ffbacked Panthers59c106$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.911353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d00…903dbacked Oilers51c105.88$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xdf09…ac98backed Oilers47c105.5$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-28.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d3f…bf4dbacked Panthers59c104.81$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.472755.6%15 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8941…8cc6backed Panthers55c104.76$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.142100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+87.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1733…d96fbacked Oilers43c103.37$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.452433.3%8 W · 16 L-3.3wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-29.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.