NBA · resolved market
Raptors vs. Magic
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbcc5dd36e4d2aeeeb2d24a5c5df875c34b207b6bdd5f2b466c0d85cb1dd32af3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Raptorsof Raptors, Magic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $495,706
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $551,392
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $495,706 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 369 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Magic | 61c | 115,575$70,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70,153.01 | 476 | 56.5%269 W · 207 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1484…cafebacked Raptors | 69c | 12,073$8,324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,748.87 | 297 | 38.7%115 W · 182 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Raptors | 28c | 10,500$2,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,560 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x938c…d5e5backed Raptors | 35c | 9,534$3,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,189.72 | 152 | 37.5%57 W · 95 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b1…6f55backed Raptors | 32c | 8,582$2,768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,813.8 | 202 | 38.6%78 W · 124 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Magic | 52c | 8,212$4,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,284.73 | 345 | 32.8%113 W · 232 L | -16.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…3e11backed Magic | 65c | 8,088$5,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,235.43 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Raptors | 70c | 7,525$5,264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,261.27 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Magic | 71c | 5,291$3,733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,733.37 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…311cbacked Raptors | 28c | 5,163$1,446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,717.23 | 114 | 43.9%50 W · 64 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d34…b76fbacked Magic | 72c | 5,000$3,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,599.93 | 78 | 60.3%47 W · 31 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Raptors | 31c | 5,000$1,537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,462.31 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73cb…b0d0backed Magic | 72c | 4,143$2,983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,982.9 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dda…4cf6backed Raptors | 60c | 4,028$2,421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,606.4 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x873c…ac48backed Raptors | 74c | 3,750$2,762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$987.95 | 258 | 33.7%87 W · 171 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Magic | 52c | 3,500$1,832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,832.44 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Magic | 73c | 3,427$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 661 | 53.3%352 W · 309 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Magic | 71c | 3,328$2,357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,357.38 | 686 | 42.1%289 W · 397 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Raptors | 28c | 3,005$841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,163.49 | 406 | 27.8%113 W · 293 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d02…edbfbacked Magic | 53c | 2,826$1,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,497.94 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…1d6bbacked Magic | 66c | 2,790$1,851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,851.01 | 502 | 45.8%230 W · 272 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0712…f71bbacked Raptors | 30c | 2,671$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,870.83 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88db…3843backed Raptors | 29c | 2,250$653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,597.5 | 175 | 46.3%81 W · 94 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Magic | 39c | 2,092$816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$816.18 | 339 | 31.9%108 W · 231 L | -28.5wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x221f…6be8backed Raptors | 27c | 2,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,459.98 | 297 | 47.5%141 W · 156 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Magic | 71c | 1,918$1,358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,357.82 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1187…cb53backed Raptors | 27c | 1,913$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,396.43 | 98 | 36.7%36 W · 62 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Magic | 38c | 1,843$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 345 | 24.3%84 W · 261 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Magic | 71c | 1,715$1,218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,217.65 | 303 | 51.8%157 W · 146 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Raptors | 54c | 1,600$861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739 | 368 | 43.8%161 W · 207 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d80…219abacked Raptors | 37c | 1,259$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$793.54 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cd…0516backed Magic | 59c | 1,053$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.38 | 398 | 43.5%173 W · 225 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd88…1ca6backed Magic | 64c | 1,045$668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$668.28 | 194 | 51.5%100 W · 94 L | -17.8wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Raptors | 34c | 1,039$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$687.55 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Magic | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36a6…52c7backed Raptors | 29c | 1,000$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710 | 311 | 25.1%78 W · 233 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe8…56a3backed Raptors | 29c | 1,000$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710 | 321 | 30.2%97 W · 224 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed Raptors | 31c | 1,000$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690 | 337 | 52.5%177 W · 160 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed Magic | 69c | 1,000$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690 | 298 | 58.7%175 W · 123 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Magic | 67c | 896$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.32 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…8d05backed Raptors | 28c | 892.86$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.86 | 140 | 51.4%72 W · 68 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6fe…f8e6backed Magic | 26c | 888$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.27 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Magic | 50c | 859.4$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.01 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecd…a578backed Raptors | 28c | 800$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576 | 231 | 35.1%81 W · 150 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…356bbacked Raptors | 28c | 758.25$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.94 | 457 | 43.3%198 W · 259 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33fe…0cccbacked Magic | 23c | 715.36$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 98 | 27.6%27 W · 71 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb215…b819backed Raptors | 28c | 714.29$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.29 | 261 | 24.1%63 W · 198 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Raptors | 29c | 666$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.86 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dcf…7400backed Magic | 76c | 659.23$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadef…d0acbacked Magic | 46c | 652.17$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c54…e0e2backed Raptors | 29c | 620.66$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.67 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +148.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda53…1f4bbacked Raptors | 29c | 613.79$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.79 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69ac…261fbacked Raptors | 30c | 519.99$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.99 | 61 | 29.5%18 W · 43 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…461dbacked Magic | 71c | 516.64$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Magic | 69c | 511$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.59 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e1…921ebacked Raptors | 76c | 467.14$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.43 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Magic | 70c | 438.48$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.95 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1990…e954backed Magic | 17c | 434.4$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.98 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -3.8wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9dae…cd24backed Raptors | 29c | 420.69$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.69 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…7a1bbacked Raptors | 29c | 400$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284 | 169 | 28.4%48 W · 121 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Magic | 73c | 400$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292 | 173 | 35.8%62 W · 111 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73f0…3d28backed Magic | 71c | 400$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 364 | 34.9%127 W · 237 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x520a…ab8abacked Raptors | 29c | 400$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.41 | 510 | 37.5%191 W · 319 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Raptors | 34c | 399.29$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.21 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77a9…81fdbacked Magic | 72c | 396$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.12 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4132…a5a5backed Magic | 39c | 388.24$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.8 | 208 | 51.4%107 W · 101 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x854f…00a7backed Magic | 39c | 386.54$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.45 | 472 | 29.4%139 W · 333 L | -33.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9f…1dd3backed Raptors | 29c | 367.14$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.44 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b31…ac3dbacked Raptors | 30c | 346.9$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.8 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b6a…3eedbacked Raptors | 29c | 341.95$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.95 | 277 | 35.4%98 W · 179 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Raptors | 30c | 333.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.67 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae5…3113backed Raptors | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.33 | 233 | 59.7%139 W · 94 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd3…9642backed Raptors | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.33 | 303 | 54.1%164 W · 139 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Raptors | 31c | 325.81$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.81 | 451 | 35%158 W · 293 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed Raptors | 28c | 303.57$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.57 | 346 | 44.2%153 W · 193 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fca…a099backed Magic | 5c | 300$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 38 | 7.9%3 W · 35 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -83.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa10d…acc6backed Raptors | 27c | 300$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +4.7wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Magic | 71c | 300$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213 | 723 | 41.2%298 W · 425 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…4b1bbacked Magic | 71c | 297.61$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 62cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Raptors | 28c | 295.96$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.09 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Magic | 71c | 287.87$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.39 | 618 | 51.6%319 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeba5…141fbacked Raptors | 29c | 268.97$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.97 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 42cpaid | +138.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7685…482cbacked Magic | 74c | 268.18$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.45 | 229 | 50.7%116 W · 113 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5c…e448backed Raptors | 29c | 265$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.15 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0d…fd3fbacked Magic | 72c | 263.89$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c56…5a66backed Raptors | 29c | 258.62$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.62 | 110 | 40.9%45 W · 65 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd9…2af2backed Raptors | 29c | 257.35$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.35 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4688…a6b7backed Magic | 41c | 253.72$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf94…51ccbacked Magic | 72c | 252.78$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbf…2760backed Magic | 63c | 250$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.79 | 319 | 35.1%112 W · 207 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb040…7a1cbacked Magic | 72c | 250$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf125…04babacked Raptors | 30c | 250$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +83.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa4…5c2abacked Magic | 72c | 238.89$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +74.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb65…3412backed Magic | 73c | 235.62$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e7…91b2backed Magic | 72c | 234.72$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7beb…b29dbacked Magic | 72c | 231.94$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -3.6wins | -0.45per pick | 58cpaid | -81.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x03cb…4bf9backed Raptors | 28c | 226.07$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.77 | 266 | 40.2%107 W · 159 L | +13.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0825…ddbcbacked Raptors | 28c | 219.99$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.4 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7897…ea9abacked Raptors | 30c | 217.81$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.98 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18e9…fd77backed Magic | 19c | 210.53$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 111 | 38.7%43 W · 68 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.