NBA · resolved market
Magic vs. Bucks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb668135db47b9352397b1fbd07cca9c225385dbf31cf88c47c92dd4934d715e5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Magicof Magic, Bucks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $503,762
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $563,881
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $503,762 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 776 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Magic | 59c | 34,394$20,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,124.42 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Bucks | 32c | 28,162$9,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,128.8 | 345 | 32.8%113 W · 232 L | -16.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Bucks | 39c | 26,271$10,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,146.44 | 476 | 56.5%269 W · 207 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b0e…78ddbacked Magic | 30c | 25,000$7,468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,531.97 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Bucks | 13c | 10,931$1,442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,441.75 | 109 | 26.6%29 W · 80 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Magic | 63c | 9,900$6,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,707.34 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Bucks | 67c | 9,582$6,435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,434.59 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Magic | 32c | 9,573$3,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,510.31 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Bucks | 65c | 9,312$6,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,075.45 | 360 | 57.5%207 W · 153 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60cd…a1b6backed Bucks | 42c | 8,153$3,401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,400.89 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Bucks | 69c | 8,000$5,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,539.9 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…26bfbacked Magic | 37c | 7,571$2,801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,769.61 | 173 | 48.6%84 W · 89 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Bucks | 70c | 7,200$5,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,046 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0360…7be1backed Magic | 33c | 6,951$2,268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,682.21 | 119 | 52.9%63 W · 56 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Bucks | 55c | 6,830$3,756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,756.27 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb928…5fd7backed Magic | 36c | 6,829$2,447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,381.93 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Bucks | 70c | 5,682$3,986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,986.3 | 623 | 51.4%320 W · 303 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d80…5fd8backed Bucks | 72c | 5,250$3,763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,763.01 | 302 | 51.7%156 W · 146 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce8…3bd3backed Bucks | 71c | 5,242$3,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,740 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed Bucks | 71c | 5,000$3,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,550 | 298 | 58.7%175 W · 123 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Magic | 57c | 4,987$2,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,137.12 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x221f…6be8backed Bucks | 40c | 4,500$1,785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,785 | 297 | 47.5%141 W · 156 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0564…ce95backed Magic | 27c | 4,299$1,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,138.35 | 47 | 21.3%10 W · 37 L | -7.5wins | -0.16per pick | 37cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Bucks | 37c | 3,965$1,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,450.36 | 339 | 31.9%108 W · 231 L | -28.5wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x674d…def3backed Magic | 35c | 3,930$1,372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,557.52 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b1…6f55backed Bucks | 72c | 3,877$2,774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,774.17 | 202 | 38.6%78 W · 124 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Bucks | 15c | 3,693$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 345 | 24.3%84 W · 261 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Magic | 50c | 3,549$1,769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,779.97 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef2…d0dabacked Magic | 62c | 3,425$2,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,293.49 | 110 | 19.1%21 W · 89 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed Bucks | 54c | 3,098$1,674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,674.02 | 283 | 47.7%135 W · 148 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Magic | 29c | 3,050$884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,165.48 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Magic | 31c | 2,874$903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,971.41 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc9…4534backed Bucks | 63c | 2,672$1,683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,683.1 | 81 | 67.9%55 W · 26 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45d9…a89abacked Magic | 38c | 2,665$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,665.24 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Magic | 67c | 2,153$1,442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710.39 | 498 | 49.4%246 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x383d…a9f2backed Magic | 29c | 2,068$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,461.55 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa112…d215backed Bucks | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Bucks | 72c | 2,000$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440 | 406 | 27.8%113 W · 293 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Bucks | 39c | 2,000$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 304 | 43.1%131 W · 173 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbf…2760backed Bucks | 31c | 2,000$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615 | 319 | 35.1%112 W · 207 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Bucks | 37c | 2,000$746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$746 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x502b…a1d5backed Bucks | 16c | 2,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 250 | 39.6%99 W · 151 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed Magic | 37c | 1,974$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,243.75 | 337 | 52.5%177 W · 160 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b6b…12e7backed Bucks | 26c | 1,935$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 39cpaid | +65.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x898b…8d76backed Bucks | 73c | 1,847$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350 | 179 | 43.6%78 W · 101 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Magic | 29c | 1,748$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,241.28 | 241 | 51.9%125 W · 116 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Bucks | 66c | 1,737$1,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,154.99 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Magic | 30c | 1,680$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,175.1 | 736 | 47.3%348 W · 388 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa33…8dbcbacked Magic | 64c | 1,674$1,073 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.57 | 294 | 50.3%148 W · 146 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Bucks | 35c | 1,662$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579 | 255 | 36.9%94 W · 161 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c55…1846backed Magic | 29c | 1,586$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,126.21 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…a131backed Bucks | 67c | 1,550$1,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,044.5 | 153 | 65.4%100 W · 53 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…7a75backed Magic | 73c | 1,531$1,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.51 | 177 | 69.5%123 W · 54 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb215…b819backed Magic | 31c | 1,290$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$890.32 | 261 | 24.1%63 W · 198 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0c…76fabacked Magic | 29c | 1,235$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$878.13 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1837…c705backed Magic | 67c | 1,223$815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.85 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 71cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27d2…a66cbacked Magic | 73c | 1,213$885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.41 | 214 | 50%107 W · 107 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x248c…d914backed Bucks | 67c | 1,190$798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$797.76 | 165 | 63.6%105 W · 60 L | +12.0wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Bucks | 26c | 1,175$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 451 | 35%158 W · 293 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99cf…a86abacked Magic | 66c | 1,140$749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.31 | 140 | 34.3%48 W · 92 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe663…6462backed Bucks | 44c | 1,129$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecd…a578backed Magic | 29c | 1,098$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780.62 | 231 | 35.1%81 W · 150 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa38…ffb3backed Bucks | 28c | 1,090$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.4 | 109 | 25.7%28 W · 81 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…3399backed Magic | 27c | 1,051$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$767.23 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Bucks | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Bucks | 48c | 1,000$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.5 | 686 | 42.1%289 W · 397 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecb…f73abacked Magic | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe8…56a3backed Bucks | 63c | 999.99$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.99 | 321 | 30.2%97 W · 224 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x665a…174ebacked Bucks | 63c | 999.98$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.99 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Magic | 59c | 976.5$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.75 | 367 | 51.8%190 W · 177 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Magic | 31c | 928$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.14 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1187…cb53backed Magic | 27c | 927.21$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.86 | 98 | 36.7%36 W · 62 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…356bbacked Bucks | 68c | 916.27$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.14 | 457 | 43.3%198 W · 259 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Bucks | 70c | 909.98$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638.49 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4132…a5a5backed Bucks | 39c | 897.44$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 208 | 51.4%107 W · 101 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd06d…64d3backed Bucks | 14c | 827.27$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 30cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51dd…2f92backed Bucks | 73c | 822.68$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 199 | 44.7%89 W · 110 L | -15.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x03cb…4bf9backed Magic | 37c | 804.88$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.88 | 266 | 40.2%107 W · 159 L | +13.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadbe…bc55backed Bucks | 68c | 800.01$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546 | 504 | 53.8%271 W · 233 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8377…4198backed Bucks | 33c | 740$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.2 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Bucks | 67c | 736.32$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.41 | 1,053 | 53.5%563 W · 490 L | -15.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ff…805cbacked Magic | 28c | 714.29$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.29 | 428 | 27.3%117 W · 311 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe4f…5241backed Bucks | 16c | 690$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113 | 153 | 41.8%64 W · 89 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa2…93ccbacked Magic | 73c | 685.99$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.99 | 84 | 34.5%29 W · 55 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…2a60backed Bucks | 44c | 679.98$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.49 | 456 | 47.8%218 W · 238 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…d105backed Bucks | 74c | 673.87$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 71 | 69%49 W · 22 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x520a…ab8abacked Magic | 35c | 660$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.23 | 510 | 37.5%191 W · 319 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3061…dd00backed Bucks | 37c | 654.9$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.26 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…bfdbbacked Bucks | 46c | 652.17$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 111 | 35.1%39 W · 72 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked Magic | 28c | 649.47$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.94 | 461 | 31%143 W · 318 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed Bucks | 41c | 609.76$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 389 | 42.9%167 W · 222 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9718…fa5dbacked Bucks | 65c | 602$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.3 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb703…6f88backed Magic | 35c | 600$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4a7…b33abacked Bucks | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc167…4056backed Bucks | 34c | 597.5$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.15 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69ac…261fbacked Magic | 32c | 579$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.79 | 61 | 29.5%18 W · 43 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23c6…21bfbacked Bucks | 62c | 564.97$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.28 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Bucks | 68c | 550$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Magic | 32c | 542.48$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.83 | 855 | 42%359 W · 496 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Bucks | 63c | 535$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.05 | 577 | 60.5%349 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.