TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Avalanche vs. Oilers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Avalancheof Avalanche, Oilers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$121,611
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$134,801

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $121,611 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 238 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1b5e…83f8backed Avalanche38c29,395$11,152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,242.577758.4%45 W · 32 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe425…6155backed Avalanche38c23,000$8,740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,260666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+39.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5314…910cbacked Oilers61c20,663$12,602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,602.1422842.5%97 W · 131 L-7.3wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c44…91b6backed Oilers62c16,000$9,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,920650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30ae…4318backed Avalanche61c10,000$6,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,9005858.6%34 W · 24 L-5.6wins-0.10per pick68cpaid-15.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9ac3…f3b0backed Oilers62c7,000$4,340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,340633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-24.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x40e3…0787backed Oilers43c6,482$2,773 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,772.7232331.3%101 W · 222 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-28.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Oilers52c6,388$3,321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,321.441,40647%661 W · 745 L+58.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa27b…5d5cbacked Avalanche44c5,209$2,292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,917.168350.6%42 W · 41 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-14.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e25…d7a7backed Oilers62c3,600$2,232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,2324134.1%14 W · 27 L-4.7wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x824c…d2bbbacked Avalanche40c3,341$1,321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,019.471850%9 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Oilers62c2,813$1,747 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,746.881,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f79…1db4backed Avalanche48c2,367$1,139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,227.613148.4%15 W · 16 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-16.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1396…b149backed Oilers60c2,270$1,351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,350.995648.2%27 W · 29 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Oilers41c1,999$816 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$815.63,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Oilers61c1,476$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$900.1779251.1%405 W · 387 L+21.7wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Avalanche64c1,353$862 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$491.137254.3%202 W · 170 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf00f…711abacked Oilers61c1,220$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$749.8413756.2%77 W · 60 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4407…8f2bbacked Avalanche62c1,108$686 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422.132948.3%14 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x920d…38adbacked Oilers46c1,087$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002050%10 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Oilers1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,1632.3%27 W · 1,136 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-87.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Oilers63c1,000$634 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$633.7285148.5%413 W · 438 L-48.2wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked Avalanche37c999.98$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$629.9931849.4%157 W · 161 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x994e…9cf5backed Oilers61c951.25$581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$581.349351.3%253 W · 240 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1608…a990backed Avalanche58c939.57$545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394.629747.4%46 W · 51 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf65e…a55abacked Oilers42c938.93$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$394.353754.1%20 W · 17 L+0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70f8…d0d5backed Oilers63c922.38$578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$577.7427958.8%164 W · 115 L-1.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked Oilers42c907.77$381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381.2620751.2%106 W · 101 L+10.9wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc990…dfe7backed Avalanche38c906.58$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$562.08333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-12.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4aef…9337backed Avalanche37c799.92$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$503.9525340.7%103 W · 150 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+0.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1bd0…a2dfbacked Oilers63c779$491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490.7710%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa079…247abacked Avalanche37c779$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$490.773100%3 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+139.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Oilers60c734.44$439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$438.731,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d15…018ebacked Avalanche37c690$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$434.7250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ccf…2fedbacked Oilers66c672.73$444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44423761.6%146 W · 91 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Oilers61c656$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.0672847.9%349 W · 379 L-1.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf650…3109backed Oilers63c637.31$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401.520%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x78ab…c5f7backed Avalanche59c600$356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.51154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Oilers62c599.99$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372.0672444.6%323 W · 401 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d22…ec35backed Avalanche61c520.28$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.391040%4 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-33.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8659…9178backed Avalanche39c512.82$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.826041.7%25 W · 35 L-3.5wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-19.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc19e…ce09backed Avalanche37c500$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb30…2af5backed Oilers63c500$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31530%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x65eb…92dcbacked Oilers63c500$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x854f…00a7backed Oilers46c459.7$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.444831.3%15 W · 33 L-5.6wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-44.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Oilers62c444.99$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.975155.8%419 W · 332 L+12.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c76…477abacked Oilers43c400$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17272448.3%350 W · 374 L+1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked Oilers34c400$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1369553.7%51 W · 44 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+7.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Oilers61c368.93$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.0160549.3%298 W · 307 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0801…35cbbacked Oilers63c330.87$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.451526.7%4 W · 11 L-5.0wins-0.33per pick60cpaid-57.2%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x43df…d401backed Avalanche60c310.57$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.232100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+50.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xffc7…cf60backed Oilers63c300$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18930%0 W · 3 L-1.8wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3eaa…f0d5backed Avalanche38c298$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.762100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+153.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc9f8…e042backed Oilers63c271.11$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.8333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick65cpaid-47.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x23be…da4fbacked Avalanche37c270.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.2722246.8%104 W · 118 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3cd7…5516backed Oilers62c270$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.4955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0152…418fbacked Avalanche38c265$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.31353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Oilers61c258.97$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.971,02540.8%418 W · 607 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x193d…2eb4backed Avalanche39c257.22$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.224330.2%13 W · 30 L-5.1wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-24.4%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x5b2a…460abacked Avalanche59c252.95$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.81172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick62cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Oilers61c222$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.448149.3%237 W · 244 L+0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0ad…5176backed Avalanche35c213.12$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.5329847%140 W · 158 L+12.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x221f…6be8backed Avalanche41c200$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1184450%22 W · 22 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd76c…aa9abacked Oilers12c200$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1354…318ebacked Oilers63c196.19$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.6771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick66cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36da…aa79backed Avalanche37c194.59$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.593423.5%8 W · 26 L-8.5wins-0.25per pick48cpaid-55.5%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0x8bca…16bfbacked Oilers64c194.53$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.53661.1%22 W · 14 L+3.4wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+15.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa3d1…52dbbacked Oilers63c190$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.7250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-20.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ad1…b2f4backed Avalanche67c180.17$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.25850%4 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-31.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x30b6…ed1ebacked Avalanche39c172.54$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.911450%7 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80b2…ea2fbacked Oilers63c170.77$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.951060%6 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+26.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4ed…44b0backed Avalanche37c170.54$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.44666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+39.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x235d…315dbacked Avalanche39c166.51$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.57633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-32.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a21…42a2backed Oilers62c161.3$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.0110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Oilers62c161.15$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,03955.2%574 W · 465 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2920…80bebacked Avalanche41c146.94$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.9424945.8%114 W · 135 L-11.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Oilers63c146.54$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.7984051.4%432 W · 408 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe3ee…373ebacked Oilers39c141.08$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.024042.5%17 W · 23 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0bf7…7bdebacked Avalanche39c140.36$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.62966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+25.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9730…4504backed Avalanche80c138.51$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.72441.7%10 W · 14 L-5.1wins-0.21per pick63cpaid-26.4%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Avalanche39c138.46$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.4662944%277 W · 352 L-14.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Oilers54c138.15$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751,03755%570 W · 467 L-0.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66ea…1958backed Avalanche38c131.58$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.58425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-34.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3255…a972backed Avalanche38c131.57$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.57475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.29per pick46cpaid+73.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfbb0…c5a0backed Oilers62c128.93$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.2910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3b7…520dbacked Avalanche39c128.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.2128542.1%120 W · 165 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e2a…0e15backed Avalanche39c128.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.216041.7%25 W · 35 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x31db…79a4backed Oilers51c121.87$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.376437.5%24 W · 40 L-5.1wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-25%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x00f0…b853backed Avalanche38c118.42$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.42366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+50.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f78…03a8backed Avalanche38c113.16$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.16333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-12.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfdbf…c88ebacked Oilers45c111.11$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020540.5%83 W · 122 L+0.6wins0.00per pick40cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9710…f3e1backed Oilers64c109.53$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-22.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf37…8dfbbacked Oilers65c106.65$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.32862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+18.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x99e5…f14dbacked Oilers63c103.95$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.49837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.24per pick62cpaid-44.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2274…4e7cbacked Avalanche39c103.69$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.25475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+62.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x05a8…92aabacked Oilers63c102.95$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.862240.9%9 W · 13 L-2.2wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-21.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x39e6…84ffbacked Oilers63c102.16$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.11353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8862…548abacked Oilers60c100$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601250%6 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1462…51efbacked Avalanche40c100$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$601338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-26.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe53…b190backed Oilers63c99.06$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.411258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.