TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Celtics vs. Rockets

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Celticsof Celtics, Rockets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$292,878
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$296,142

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $292,878 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 795 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x19d8…1691backed Rockets0c45,000$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4572241.4%299 W · 423 L+2.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Rockets44c18,991$8,263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,263.421,20455.3%666 W · 538 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x73a5…7381backed Rockets0c16,250$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb511…01dabacked Celtics57c15,000$8,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,499.893663.9%23 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b31…470bbacked Rockets4c14,567$583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$582.69714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick34cpaid-52.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x25f9…417bbacked Rockets43c10,041$4,318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,317.8110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x203c…24b4backed Celtics57c10,030$5,717 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,312.71100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Rockets42c9,307$3,905 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,904.8825138.6%97 W · 154 L-11.4wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-9.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd2bd…dce0backed Rockets43c7,507$3,201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,200.6577745%350 W · 427 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf13…7889backed Rockets27c4,248$1,128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,128.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-45.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d5e…5d34backed Celtics58c3,662$2,128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,533.644949%24 W · 25 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f79…1db4backed Celtics67c3,654$2,435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,218.916838.7%65 W · 103 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Rockets30c3,044$909 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$908.7461532.2%198 W · 417 L-21.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-32.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked Celtics56c2,800$1,568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,23237954.1%205 W · 174 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid0%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Rockets7c2,605$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.31,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2317…c891backed Celtics67c2,228$1,494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$733.611842.4%50 W · 68 L-0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54f5…e936backed Rockets32c2,204$706 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$705.9615947.8%76 W · 83 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x90b6…1d6bbacked Rockets37c2,040$758 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$757.950245.8%230 W · 272 L+2.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0304…dcc7backed Celtics55c2,000$1,110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$889.992157.1%12 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+3.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8258…f208backed Celtics57c2,000$1,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$859.957032.9%23 W · 47 L-4.7wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-27.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8511…4a6bbacked Rockets41c1,690$693 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$692.930351.8%157 W · 146 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c5b…50c9backed Rockets22c1,639$361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360.567024.3%17 W · 53 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c27…c8b4backed Rockets26c1,491$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.7617141.5%71 W · 100 L-0.7wins0.00per pick42cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa647…64eebacked Rockets9c1,463$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.6719350.3%97 W · 96 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd692…8b9abacked Rockets6c1,394$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.9426235.9%94 W · 168 L+1.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid-19.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Rockets42c1,315$556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$556.4573051.8%378 W · 352 L-2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Rockets43c1,265$547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$546.6129148.8%142 W · 149 L+7.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc203…74f3backed Celtics78c1,221$949 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.0925957.5%149 W · 110 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3904…e82dbacked Rockets44c1,139$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-26.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc2a3…1698backed Rockets43c1,121$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480.419250%46 W · 46 L+10.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+30.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Rockets1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,2772.3%29 W · 1,248 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-84%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58b5…7340backed Rockets1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101348.2%11 W · 123 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick9cpaid-81.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f7…039abacked Celtics57c1,000$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43016242%68 W · 94 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Celtics60c1,000$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4001,29044%567 W · 723 L+35.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe4ae…4876backed Rockets30c1,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3003537.1%13 W · 22 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x28ad…8ec8backed Celtics56c1,000$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4401844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-18.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Celtics65c999.99$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35036843.8%161 W · 207 L-17.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa6ac…b899backed Rockets40c999.98$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.996943.5%30 W · 39 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa667…84febacked Celtics57c999.96$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$429.981936.8%7 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-17.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc558…e8ccbacked Celtics58c986.78$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.3125651.6%132 W · 124 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5550…5b4dbacked Celtics58c862.07$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.0712563.2%79 W · 46 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1396…b149backed Celtics55c859.45$473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$386.754254.8%23 W · 19 L-0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbac1…2da1backed Celtics60c836.63$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336.63560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick49cpaid-7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x310d…d698backed Celtics60c833.33$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.333467.6%23 W · 11 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Rockets43c821.65$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.0765642.5%279 W · 377 L-2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ef4…7ffbbacked Celtics58c796.61$462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.581936.8%7 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+298.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdfb7…1f0abacked Rockets44c789.32$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.340%0 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Celtics58c759.68$443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.451,19746.7%559 W · 638 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6153…0e04backed Rockets27c751.78$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006347.6%30 W · 33 L-6.2wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-25.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Rockets45c749.91$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.9675347.5%358 W · 395 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Rockets38c737.42$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.791,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Rockets41c722.95$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.982,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Rockets43c710.58$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.4388053.8%473 W · 407 L+52.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Rockets36c690.8$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.015,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1484…cafebacked Rockets20c600.42$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.3329738.7%115 W · 182 L-10.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-20.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Celtics61c600$366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2341,09035.8%390 W · 700 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Rockets34c586.85$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.941,16449.6%577 W · 587 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0c5…e717backed Rockets24c573.96$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.155532.7%18 W · 37 L-3.5wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Rockets36c570$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.51,16654.4%634 W · 532 L+19.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f0a…e4eabacked Celtics58c560$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.215763.1%99 W · 58 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d69…9829backed Celtics74c532.57$397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.0129043.8%127 W · 163 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-18.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c87…70d5backed Celtics56c530.36$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.3634644.2%153 W · 193 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e12…141ebacked Rockets28c500.53$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.6710921.1%23 W · 86 L-10.5wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-44.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Rockets44c500$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.5789353%473 W · 420 L+1.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x08a8…adcebacked Rockets42c500$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21016341.1%67 W · 96 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1eb4…d00fbacked Rockets42c500$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21010151.5%52 W · 49 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+15.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1edd…f21ebacked Celtics57c500$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2154835.4%17 W · 31 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick38cpaid+1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd45…63bfbacked Rockets42c499.98$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.994344.2%19 W · 24 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd0ad…5176backed Celtics57c490$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.730440.5%123 W · 181 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Rockets41c480$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.862351.4%320 W · 303 L-13.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a44…e4e8backed Celtics70c447.55$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.5510449%51 W · 53 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ab4…bfdbbacked Celtics56c446.43$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.4311135.1%39 W · 72 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf4cd…0516backed Rockets23c433.96$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.3539843.5%173 W · 225 L-1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f85…d745backed Rockets38c399.03$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15010441.3%43 W · 61 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7990…c870backed Celtics56c392.86$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.864847.9%23 W · 25 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7128…5d81backed Celtics77c385.09$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.22366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick76cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e09…1c3fbacked Rockets42c385$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.711662.9%73 W · 43 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7742…03e9backed Celtics80c381.34$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.2719939.2%78 W · 121 L-17.7wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-30.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfb7b…1476backed Celtics59c338.74$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.7419145.5%87 W · 104 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7cf9…1289backed Celtics59c336.58$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1384761.7%29 W · 18 L+0.2wins0.00per pick61cpaid+7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x596a…1219backed Celtics62c329.25$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.8523658.1%137 W · 99 L+0.7wins0.00per pick58cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5391…e91ebacked Celtics65c313.82$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.32862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick51cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7eda…4bb7backed Celtics60c308.33$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.3338942.9%167 W · 222 L-16.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d7c…b7dbbacked Rockets33c303.03$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10019452.1%101 W · 93 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+26.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xddf2…6432backed Celtics70c300$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.953748.6%18 W · 19 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+21.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x082b…5e67backed Celtics79c264.73$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.7328256.7%160 W · 122 L-7.8wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6fa4…1097backed Celtics58c255.86$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.462100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5745…7629backed Rockets43c255.81$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11030%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7a99…96eabacked Celtics62c255.22$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.672100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+45.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Rockets5c255$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.751,0351.1%11 W · 1,024 L-24.4wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-90.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb9fe…3ccebacked Celtics58c252.03$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.851100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb83b…6bc7backed Rockets43c251.16$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+61.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4835…8f59backed Celtics58c250$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10528657.3%164 W · 122 L+1.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8bf…d806backed Rockets39c249.03$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.1910837%40 W · 68 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick34cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7137…6507backed Celtics57c245$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.2917331.2%54 W · 119 L-6.7wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf760…1920backed Celtics58c244.31$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.612100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+73.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcd61…14b0backed Rockets43c244.19$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e29…b924backed Rockets43c244.19$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-21%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe629…fec4backed Rockets43c244.19$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3dab…3f3abacked Rockets43c244.19$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10530%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.