TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Golden Knights vs. Devils

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Golden Knightsof Golden Knights, Devils
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$87,084
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$98,634

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $87,084 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 239 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb786…b18dbacked Devils8c6,876$551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551.4392848.5%450 W · 478 L+17.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb79…c2c6backed Golden Knights51c5,445$2,777 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,667.849459.6%56 W · 38 L+11.1wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+20.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x574e…3ef1backed Devils44c4,717$2,094 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,094.395843.1%25 W · 33 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick47cpaid+4.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Devils49c4,589$2,249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,248.6123642.8%101 W · 135 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc28c…b2bdbacked Devils49c4,471$2,191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,190.7930%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x945e…2acabacked Devils0c3,133$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.388950.6%45 W · 44 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Devils1c3,000$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161,1632.3%27 W · 1,136 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-87.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd673…0c20backed Devils51c2,900$1,479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,479650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+11.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x31c0…9cb4backed Golden Knights49c2,900$1,421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,479475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.29per pick46cpaid+64.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0b08…c73dbacked Devils51c2,690$1,372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,372.07616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.27per pick44cpaid-70.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdc54…aad2backed Golden Knights49c2,690$1,318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,372.07650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+18.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9ed…5ec1backed Golden Knights51c2,521$1,285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,235.072100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+80%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Devils49c2,040$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.5834845.4%158 W · 190 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Golden Knights49c2,031$989 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,042.461,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Golden Knights59c2,000$1,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82085464.2%548 W · 306 L+64.5wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+18.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa7a3…24bdbacked Golden Knights51c1,950$995 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$955.72333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-34.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f79…1db4backed Golden Knights76c1,612$1,233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$379.113148.4%15 W · 16 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-16.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8769…48ecbacked Devils50c1,500$745 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$745.316149.2%30 W · 31 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-16.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed Golden Knights51c1,444$736 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$707.553259.4%19 W · 13 L+2.8wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+20%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa27b…5d5cbacked Golden Knights51c1,231$628 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$603.068350.6%42 W · 41 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-14.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0979…9402backed Devils52c1,206$627 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$627.1230%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7efa…acbebacked Golden Knights48c1,206$579 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$627.12450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+25.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x78ab…c5f7backed Devils49c1,010$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494.871154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8511…4a6bbacked Golden Knights51c1,005$513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492.4520147.8%96 W · 105 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Devils50c1,000$497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497.4185148.5%413 W · 438 L-48.2wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4aef…9337backed Devils48c1,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48025340.7%103 W · 150 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+0.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x35af…4655backed Golden Knights51c800$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3922065%13 W · 7 L+3.1wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+33%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf00f…711abacked Devils50c750$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37513756.2%77 W · 60 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Devils14c747.24$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.953,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1608…a990backed Golden Knights53c711.98$377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.639747.4%46 W · 51 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd78d…60bebacked Golden Knights59c685.52$404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.0613241.7%55 W · 77 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+70.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd0ad…5176backed Devils48c660.28$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.9329847%140 W · 158 L+12.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd456…5755backed Golden Knights51c653.83$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.38475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick63cpaid+27.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d09…3dcebacked Devils49c653.83$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.38560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+50.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ea5…2af9backed Golden Knights51c627.45$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.4515456.5%87 W · 67 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Golden Knights48c549.97$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.9875155.8%419 W · 332 L+12.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc42e…edbdbacked Devils50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2508537.6%32 W · 53 L-5.1wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-12.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x26e2…93b4backed Golden Knights50c487.28$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.64540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-31%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5dd8…858ebacked Devils6c457.49$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.328720.7%18 W · 69 L+0.1wins0.00per pick21cpaid-13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Golden Knights51c436.65$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.9686649.9%432 W · 434 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e87…8befbacked Golden Knights51c392.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.1613457.5%77 W · 57 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Golden Knights49c339.46$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.5684051.4%432 W · 408 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c76…477abacked Golden Knights57c300$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12972448.3%350 W · 374 L+1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b0b…f9d6backed Devils49c300$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1473145.2%14 W · 17 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x931f…d15dbacked Golden Knights51c235.29$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.2912859.4%76 W · 52 L+0.4wins0.00per pick59cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7bad…f032backed Golden Knights50c208$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+55.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe7b5…c549backed Golden Knights50c208$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0343…cebbbacked Devils52c207.69$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfa67…860bbacked Devils52c207.69$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+46.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x058e…20c2backed Golden Knights50c207.23$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.232100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+98.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc958…0c09backed Devils52c207$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.6430%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x77da…2f2abacked Golden Knights50c207$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-27%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x688f…3637backed Golden Knights50c206.45$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.452100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+91.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x888c…8761backed Devils52c206.15$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa442…afa4backed Golden Knights50c206$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1032100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a3f…8ca9backed Golden Knights50c206$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1032100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x27d3…4efcbacked Devils52c205.77$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x48b5…0d3bbacked Devils52c205.77$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10720%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x887f…e69abacked Devils52c205.77$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10720%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Golden Knights70c205$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.451,40647%661 W · 745 L+58.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x193d…2eb4backed Devils49c204.09$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004330.2%13 W · 30 L-5.1wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-24.4%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xa65d…8da4backed Golden Knights50c204$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d8b…4955backed Devils52c203.85$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10630%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x994e…9cf5backed Devils49c200.89$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.2349351.3%253 W · 240 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0cd9…1095backed Devils47c200$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94825%2 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-49.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x23be…da4fbacked Devils51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10022246.8%104 W · 118 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Golden Knights51c194.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.491,03955.2%574 W · 465 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc61…5ad8backed Golden Knights50c190$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$951050%5 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x519f…2af7backed Devils53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007044.3%31 W · 39 L-4.7wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Devils50c172.5$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.2579251.1%405 W · 387 L+21.7wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xae36…0dc6backed Golden Knights52c169.23$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.236246.8%29 W · 33 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7ba…dc31backed Devils50c160$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80475%3 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.32per pick43cpaid+87%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x086b…5891backed Devils52c130.77$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$681145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-16.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x30b6…ed1ebacked Golden Knights52c128.73$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.791450%7 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52b3…e5a9backed Devils49c127.21$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.331353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa15a…58fcbacked Devils49c127.09$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.272236.4%8 W · 14 L-3.0wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-29.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8134…bf1abacked Devils50c126.41$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.21520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick40cpaid-58.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x17c1…97dfbacked Devils49c126.37$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.92955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd97e…a81ebacked Devils49c126$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.741747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a1f…0227backed Golden Knights52c124.79$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.92462.5%15 W · 9 L+2.5wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+20.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdfed…9510backed Golden Knights52c123.14$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.111241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-17.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0229…ea6cbacked Devils48c122.32$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.78812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.27per pick40cpaid-78.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1668…ebebbacked Golden Knights52c122.31$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.711968.4%13 W · 6 L+2.8wins+0.14per pick54cpaid+29.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbe53…b190backed Devils49c122.12$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.841258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x39e6…84ffbacked Golden Knights52c121.48$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.311353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x23bc…7b43backed Devils50c119.75$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.88540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-46.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x98fd…fbb2backed Golden Knights52c119.5$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.361442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-25.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc89f…5ea7backed Devils50c118.6$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.31844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6984…1b67backed Devils49c117.44$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.541553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+16.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5980…a3e6backed Golden Knights52c115.98$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.672846.4%13 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c7a…34ebbacked Golden Knights51c115.63$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.662356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x977f…b0bdbacked Golden Knights51c113.57$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.652166.7%14 W · 7 L+2.5wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+22.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1733…d96fbacked Devils49c112.08$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.922433.3%8 W · 16 L-3.3wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-29.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe539…a3afbacked Devils49c111.88$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.82850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5eb9…ee09backed Golden Knights52c111.39$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.471464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+27.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2269…1a89backed Devils49c111.13$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.451668.8%11 W · 5 L+3.1wins+0.20per pick49cpaid+45.6%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x1398…9329backed Golden Knights52c110.58$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.08757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xedf3…c359backed Devils50c110$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-33.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x664b…8509backed Golden Knights51c110$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.97660.5%46 W · 30 L+9.6wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+26.2%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0x48d0…fea8backed Golden Knights52c109.63$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.621145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.