NHL · resolved market
Capitals vs. Stars
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe4f3c4025fd587798e1b8c0b5c1f5b7d84448f6dce38395631c4a3f75834cbdc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Starsof Capitals, Stars
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $66,416
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $72,110
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,416 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 214 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8996…fbcebacked Stars | 67c | 9,709$6,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,183.79 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…6af8backed Stars | 49c | 7,828$3,835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,992.03 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +4.6wins | +0.29per pick | 34cpaid | +85.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Capitals | 33c | 6,383$2,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,080.42 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda4d…c8eebacked Capitals | 0c | 5,290$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.97 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Capitals | 52c | 5,225$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,699.81 | 313 | 34.8%109 W · 204 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Capitals | 35c | 2,298$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$794.55 | 355 | 45.4%161 W · 194 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e3…ce1fbacked Capitals | 45c | 2,222$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.73 | 136 | 55.1%75 W · 61 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99c2…ef35backed Stars | 61c | 2,059$1,255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$804.39 | 149 | 49.7%74 W · 75 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc70…ad54backed Stars | 58c | 1,367$793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.33 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +3.7wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +51%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x21fa…42b9backed Capitals | 42c | 1,367$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.33 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Stars | 57c | 1,183$673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.93 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Capitals | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.75 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | -48.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x163e…d18cbacked Capitals | 43c | 966.85$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.63 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b3d…f0c9backed Stars | 60c | 840$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.26per pick | 58cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed Stars | 56c | 799.94$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.98 | 253 | 40.7%103 W · 150 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc89b…451fbacked Stars | 60c | 665.33$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.13 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Stars | 60c | 607.07$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.35 | 191 | 50.8%97 W · 94 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Stars | 58c | 500.06$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.52 | 543 | 49.5%269 W · 274 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2317…c891backed Capitals | 61c | 500$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x511e…c7b5backed Capitals | 41c | 496.14$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.42 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0715…b17bbacked Stars | 59c | 496.14$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.42 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +3.4wins | +0.24per pick | 55cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x98ec…7cd3backed Capitals | 41c | 437.02$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.18 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -65%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x480f…0905backed Capitals | 43c | 417.25$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.42 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23be…da4fbacked Capitals | 44c | 386.36$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 222 | 46.8%104 W · 118 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe973…7005backed Stars | 58c | 359.74$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.49 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -5.6wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Stars | 56c | 331.49$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.86 | 318 | 49.4%157 W · 161 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd78d…60bebacked Stars | 60c | 300$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 132 | 41.7%55 W · 77 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +70.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56fd…7ae6backed Capitals | 63c | 270$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.1 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | -6.7wins | -0.12per pick | 63cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xab95…61a1backed Stars | 59c | 254.12$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.15 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1efa…6a86backed Capitals | 42c | 238.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.41per pick | 58cpaid | -74%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x56b8…2ee0backed Stars | 59c | 212.02$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.93 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdff5…54dabacked Capitals | 41c | 212.02$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.93 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e09…1c3fbacked Capitals | 61c | 200$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Capitals | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Capitals | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Capitals | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 818 | 46%376 W · 442 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x904b…429cbacked Stars | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 500 | 49.4%247 W · 253 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4e2…0187backed Capitals | 42c | 199.85$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.93 | 139 | 53.2%74 W · 65 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec0…a0eabacked Stars | 60c | 198.67$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.67 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…c206backed Capitals | 25c | 181.6$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.3 | 86 | 33.7%29 W · 57 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ad…f186backed Stars | 60c | 180$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 135 | 62.2%84 W · 51 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c3e…2d9ebacked Stars | 61c | 159.82$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf8…1fa4backed Stars | 57c | 150$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.5 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c91…0505backed Stars | 58c | 149.17$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.65 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Stars | 58c | 132.61$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.15 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0a…e4eabacked Capitals | 41c | 131.71$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b41…e0d3backed Capitals | 44c | 126$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.44 | 244 | 57.4%140 W · 104 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd57…c7e2backed Stars | 59c | 118.64$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.64 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…7a4bbacked Stars | 61c | 114.83$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.83 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.25per pick | 56cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x05ff…b701backed Capitals | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x26a1…dfc9backed Capitals | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Stars | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.1 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd561…9423backed Stars | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 165 | 54.5%90 W · 75 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2088…9c55backed Stars | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Capitals | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 298 | 47%140 W · 158 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8167…3051backed Capitals | 43c | 99.97$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.99 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -4.4wins | -0.18per pick | 50cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd753…3783backed Capitals | 44c | 97.73$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5614…4893backed Stars | 57c | 97.72$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Stars | 58c | 94.03$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.49 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc95c…cef3backed Capitals | 41c | 89.98$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.99 | 193 | 47.2%91 W · 102 L | -14.9wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae2…1aecbacked Stars | 57c | 88.07$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6b…9d18backed Stars | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59c1…e2f9backed Capitals | 44c | 87.7$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.59 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4202…9611backed Capitals | 52c | 87.24$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 69 | 59.4%41 W · 28 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d4…b04dbacked Capitals | 40c | 87.09$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5c…5831backed Capitals | 44c | 86.36$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c67…bb39backed Stars | 59c | 85$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.85 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -5.2wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9006…ff0abacked Stars | 57c | 84.21$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaca…85a1backed Capitals | 44c | 81.82$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1d…b57fbacked Capitals | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0835…c0abbacked Stars | 59c | 79.72$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.69 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf2b…62d2backed Stars | 62c | 71.12$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.02 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3504…04d7backed Capitals | 39c | 68.96$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.89 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba49…a4a1backed Capitals | 41c | 64.51$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.45 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c30…6429backed Stars | 57c | 63.68$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.38 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1e…535bbacked Capitals | 44c | 63.64$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Stars | 58c | 62.07$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.85 | 724 | 44.6%323 W · 401 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9d…29babacked Stars | 60c | 60.88$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b5…5083backed Stars | 60c | 59.65$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.86 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd2c…21f8backed Stars | 57c | 57.83$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.87 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…d9f9backed Stars | 58c | 56.87$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.89 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6012…a1fbbacked Capitals | 40c | 55.75$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.12 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb1…34c7backed Stars | 61c | 55.35$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.58 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8fa…23f4backed Stars | 58c | 55.03$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.01 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +4.2wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3b92…8bb4backed Capitals | 35c | 55$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -3.0wins | -0.23per pick | 54cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe411…9367backed Stars | 57c | 53.44$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.98 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb61…30b5backed Stars | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73c1…16dbbacked Stars | 58c | 49.88$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54bb…7be8backed Capitals | 43c | 49.86$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Capitals | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 331 | 45%149 W · 182 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16a8…b903backed Capitals | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.0wins | +0.27per pick | 55cpaid | +52%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xefad…ce1bbacked Stars | 60c | 46.42$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.48 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 51cpaid | +63%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7b…bd3cbacked Capitals | 43c | 46.15$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Capitals | 43c | 46.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 249 | 45.8%114 W · 135 L | -11.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f0…3563backed Capitals | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc7…45b8backed Stars | 38c | 45.45$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.18 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Capitals | 39c | 44.77$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.46 | 231 | 44.6%103 W · 128 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Capitals | 41c | 44.15$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.1 | 1,079 | 54.3%586 W · 493 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21a2…866dbacked Stars | 57c | 43.59$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.59 | 92 | 60.9%56 W · 36 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d3…ffe9backed Stars | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.