MLB · resolved market
Rangers vs. Pirates
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbb3f2784cb2f41f70a2c97b4aad2d7327aa622bd870326001fd418fda0391fe0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rangersof Rangers, Pirates
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $432,347
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $443,057
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $432,347 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 117 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9708…925bbacked Pirates | 37c | 300,000$111,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110,999.99 | 166 | 43.4%72 W · 94 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Rangers | 63c | 92,480$58,263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,217.71 | 358 | 54.5%195 W · 163 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Rangers | 63c | 66,666$42,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,666.42 | 173 | 51.4%89 W · 84 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15e0…8d86backed Rangers | 63c | 58,512$36,828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,684.68 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Rangers | 66c | 52,838$34,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,008.03 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Pirates | 38c | 35,546$13,438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,437.61 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Rangers | 63c | 35,000$22,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,950 | 153 | 53.6%82 W · 71 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Rangers | 62c | 28,600$17,732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,867.93 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8565…7d58backed Rangers | 62c | 9,998$6,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,799.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2846…e185backed Pirates | 38c | 9,995$3,798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,798.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Pirates | 21c | 7,286$1,511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,510.57 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…6eaebacked Rangers | 63c | 6,984$4,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,584.13 | 328 | 52.4%172 W · 156 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Rangers | 62c | 5,294$3,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,016.12 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Rangers | 62c | 5,097$3,169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,928.11 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Pirates | 15c | 4,676$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Rangers | 63c | 3,000$1,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,110 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08ad…208ebacked Pirates | 38c | 2,936$1,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,115.73 | 217 | 40.1%87 W · 130 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd88…1ca6backed Rangers | 78c | 2,525$1,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.6 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 70cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Pirates | 40c | 2,300$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$919.99 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Pirates | 19c | 2,192$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.58 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Pirates | 39c | 2,136$832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$831.7 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Rangers | 61c | 2,000$1,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.96 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x524c…64c8backed Pirates | 14c | 1,753$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.52 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28bc…e520backed Pirates | 37c | 1,712$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.42 | 279 | 53.4%149 W · 130 L | +16.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe788…1938backed Pirates | 38c | 1,705$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$647.76 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7be6…0530backed Rangers | 62c | 1,702$1,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646.76 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Rangers | 76c | 1,516$1,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.14 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…9fdabacked Rangers | 63c | 1,444$910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.28 | 313 | 46.6%146 W · 167 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab3b…07e0backed Pirates | 37c | 1,350$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.38 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -4.9wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Pirates | 1c | 1,236$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.08 | 475 | 4.4%21 W · 454 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca94…336ebacked Rangers | 74c | 1,074$793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.15 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Pirates | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Rangers | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Rangers | 62c | 999.97$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.99 | 401 | 52.4%210 W · 191 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6f…3838backed Pirates | 14c | 979.17$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.07 | 405 | 47.4%192 W · 213 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Pirates | 2c | 932.03$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.64 | 466 | 31.1%145 W · 321 L | -11.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Rangers | 62c | 681.34$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.91 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Pirates | 2c | 668.23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.36 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Pirates | 17c | 610$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.59 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Pirates | 37c | 599.86$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.95 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb26…94ddbacked Pirates | 12c | 505$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.4 | 123 | 14.6%18 W · 105 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +83.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Pirates | 38c | 500$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Pirates | 5c | 499.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 254 | 16.1%41 W · 213 L | -15.3wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c4a…15c7backed Rangers | 60c | 417.83$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.31 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcdc…15cabacked Rangers | 62c | 386.66$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.75 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a4c…0cc5backed Pirates | 31c | 336.38$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Rangers | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.46 | 384 | 55.7%214 W · 170 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e78…bc8dbacked Pirates | 39c | 308.9$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab0…d582backed Rangers | 61c | 300$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe25e…0aa5backed Rangers | 62c | 300$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 145 | 49.7%72 W · 73 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Pirates | 18c | 277.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f93…e313backed Pirates | 18c | 277.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 155 | 43.2%67 W · 88 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…d681backed Rangers | 63c | 252.38$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.38 | 743 | 56.9%423 W · 320 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…ad1dbacked Rangers | 62c | 233.87$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.87 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Pirates | 27c | 214.43$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.86 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Rangers | 63c | 210.48$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.88 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe4f…5241backed Rangers | 80c | 198.55$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.71 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 64cpaid | -40%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69d4…6775backed Pirates | 19c | 194.74$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0d…8bcabacked Rangers | 62c | 193.55$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.55 | 193 | 48.7%94 W · 99 L | +15.6wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +16%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…3d27backed Pirates | 26c | 186.93$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.05 | 130 | 21.5%28 W · 102 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x072a…3e85backed Pirates | 15c | 179.41$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.25 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Rangers | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x145b…7ca4backed Rangers | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Rangers | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1755…4b3ebacked Pirates | 41c | 150$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.5 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Pirates | 18c | 130$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.19 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d6d…aeb9backed Pirates | 18c | 124.85$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc94b…fd9bbacked Pirates | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 234 | 44.9%105 W · 129 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Pirates | 21c | 118.36$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.64 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc9…7e5bbacked Rangers | 63c | 111.11$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.11 | 189 | 51.3%97 W · 92 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a44…d80abacked Rangers | 60c | 105.06$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.02 | 197 | 42.6%84 W · 113 L | -13.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9839…040ebacked Pirates | 38c | 105$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.9 | 141 | 46.8%66 W · 75 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa116…6f3bbacked Rangers | 63c | 103.17$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.17 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | -5.1wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Pirates | 22c | 102.54$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.93 | 525 | 42.5%223 W · 302 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d42…f046backed Rangers | 66c | 100.18$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.18 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 74cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…a23abacked Pirates | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 504 | 47.2%238 W · 266 L | +29.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Pirates | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Pirates | 37c | 99.92$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.97 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed Pirates | 41c | 97.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacc1…e0fcbacked Rangers | 63c | 95.24$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.24 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Rangers | 61c | 95.2$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.37 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Pirates | 39c | 93$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.27 | 1,051 | 50.4%530 W · 521 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Pirates | 21c | 92.62$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.49 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9924…bec3backed Pirates | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84dc…9c02backed Pirates | 37c | 90$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.3 | 179 | 54.7%98 W · 81 L | +10.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf59b…6ea1backed Pirates | 22c | 88.93$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Pirates | 29c | 85.13$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 328 | 32.3%106 W · 222 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Pirates | 26c | 76$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 240 | 40.8%98 W · 142 L | -13.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Rangers | 63c | 69$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.53 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f5a…1d01backed Rangers | 60c | 58.33$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.33 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58df…fdfabacked Rangers | 63c | 55.56$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.56 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Rangers | 61c | 55.51$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.8 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc19c…3e81backed Pirates | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77d6…4fd2backed Pirates | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 110 | 58.2%64 W · 46 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef54…c997backed Rangers | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 208 | 51.9%108 W · 100 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d64…b03fbacked Rangers | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 150 | 80%120 W · 30 L | +11.6wins | +0.08per pick | 72cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd22d…6e49backed Pirates | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e99…ff85backed Rangers | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab9…5f7abacked Rangers | 63c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9a…06d0backed Rangers | 80c | 39.99$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 178 | 66.3%118 W · 60 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.