TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Lakers vs. Suns

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Sunsof Lakers, Suns
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$212,858
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$224,061

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $212,858 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 410 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x20cc…ebc0backed Suns63c22,142$13,996 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,146.0515056.7%85 W · 65 L+0.5wins0.00per pick56cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa55a…8846backed Lakers44c11,758$5,174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,173.5630%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe2db…1856backed Suns56c8,931$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,931.18933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-43.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd398…c487backed Suns56c8,437$4,714 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,722.951250%6 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead7…efedbacked Lakers1c7,947$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.2314542.8%62 W · 83 L-7.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Suns63c6,959$4,363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,595.8370147.8%335 W · 366 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae76…dce5backed Suns57c5,271$3,004 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,266.531758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x44f7…266fbacked Lakers0c5,152$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.454573.5%16 W · 441 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick3cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Suns55c4,148$2,282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,866.7659646.1%275 W · 321 L-16.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc8ec…3665backed Suns72c4,000$2,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,120.094060%24 W · 16 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick67cpaid-6.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7aa0…6382backed Lakers26c3,605$923 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$922.63633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-20.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21a6…95d3backed Lakers7c3,563$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.421030%3 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-36.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe877…bb43backed Lakers44c3,409$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5002222.7%5 W · 17 L-2.3wins-0.11per pick33cpaid-43.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa4b4…6ab9backed Lakers36c3,349$1,206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,205.571136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.22per pick58cpaid-43.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Suns58c3,086$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,285.9465642.5%279 W · 377 L-2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Lakers43c3,000$1,290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,29076249.5%377 W · 385 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab8a…681abacked Lakers47c2,996$1,408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,408.274045%18 W · 22 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d5e…5d34backed Lakers41c2,847$1,167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,167.364949%24 W · 25 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Suns54c2,808$1,509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,298.511,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeeca…9826backed Lakers30c2,786$825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8253826.3%10 W · 28 L-3.3wins-0.09per pick35cpaid-42.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcc81…0ababacked Lakers45c2,689$1,210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,209.9123646.6%110 W · 126 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e8b…4f21backed Lakers23c2,560$576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57612841.4%53 W · 75 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+55.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1608…a990backed Lakers18c2,505$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44025939%101 W · 158 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x576b…7336backed Lakers2c2,500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5018316.9%31 W · 152 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-26.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc745…9499backed Lakers1c2,357$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.4916440.9%67 W · 97 L-11.0wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-27.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5e12…141ebacked Lakers31c2,351$728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$727.610921.1%23 W · 86 L-10.5wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-44.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3af0…77ebbacked Lakers44c2,000$880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$880650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2805…76edbacked Suns54c1,882$1,019 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$862.528439.3%33 W · 51 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3d69…9829backed Lakers44c1,724$758 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$757.5229043.8%127 W · 163 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-18.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Lakers42c1,643$685 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$685.1929148.8%142 W · 149 L+7.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Lakers2c1,518$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.721,0351.1%11 W · 1,024 L-24.4wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-90.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5cbf…bb6bbacked Suns55c1,500$825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$674.94250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked Suns58c1,500$870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$629.9237954.1%205 W · 174 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid0%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x529f…1cfabacked Lakers43c1,419$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$610.349052.2%47 W · 43 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd14…feb3backed Lakers42c1,410$592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$592.23148.4%15 W · 16 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-18.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Suns56c1,252$697 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$555.5285347.9%409 W · 444 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac6…a6cebacked Lakers42c1,226$518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5182536%9 W · 16 L-2.8wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-13.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdc88…681abacked Suns59c1,225$723 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502.182142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc284…79e9backed Lakers1c1,156$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-35.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa98c…acb2backed Lakers5c1,133$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$593132.3%10 W · 21 L+2.9wins+0.09per pick23cpaid+25.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6ab4…bfdbbacked Lakers46c1,099$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50011135.1%39 W · 72 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4884…9cf8backed Lakers45c1,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4504341.9%18 W · 25 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+3.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd9c0…4583backed Suns56c999.99$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44013857.2%79 W · 59 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09df…5ca9backed Suns58c999.98$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$419.998043.8%35 W · 45 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Lakers44c997.67$439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$438.971,29044%567 W · 723 L+35.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x74cd…2319backed Lakers4c966.43$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.852165.6%12 W · 204 L-12.6wins-0.06per pick11cpaid-61%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb0b2…2bb9backed Lakers42c952$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.841361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd42f…047dbacked Lakers26c913.66$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.8722832%73 W · 155 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-21.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe59b…488ebacked Suns55c906.99$497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.8472341.2%298 W · 425 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x54c2…e299backed Lakers41c890.24$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3652254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+27.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5a4f…79fbbacked Suns60c890$534 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3562231.8%7 W · 15 L-4.7wins-0.21per pick53cpaid-15%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x8a67…dc7cbacked Lakers34c882.35$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3008548.2%41 W · 44 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Lakers38c822.44$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.781,55437.3%579 W · 975 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb6be…fcfebacked Suns53c800$422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378.4810244.1%45 W · 57 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03a0…dd21backed Suns56c792.07$444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$348.51450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a02…9192backed Lakers45c792.07$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356.43450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa5c…be69backed Lakers47c747.63$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.6727939.8%111 W · 168 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x592b…5511backed Lakers45c726.91$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.1180%0 W · 8 L-2.8wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1b6a…3eedbacked Lakers23c694.44$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16027735.4%98 W · 179 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf930…e346backed Lakers44c681.82$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30012451.6%64 W · 60 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x89dc…e209backed Suns66c680.5$448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.4310243.1%44 W · 58 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-12.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd8c6…9211backed Lakers36c667.86$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.4314847.3%70 W · 78 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc141…fc95backed Lakers4c625$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-32.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Suns62c614.85$381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.7361532.2%198 W · 417 L-21.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-32.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc2ba…2373backed Lakers38c606.35$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.59837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick27cpaid+20.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa55f…c3d6backed Lakers47c579.99$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.595935.6%21 W · 38 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+30.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2fb8…9ab0backed Lakers44c563.96$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.141030%3 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick40cpaid+8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc1a4…229ebacked Suns54c563.56$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.24862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+17.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x479c…bcbcbacked Lakers44c555$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.27549.3%37 W · 38 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick52cpaid+2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x12ce…a6abbacked Suns56c555$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.28442.9%36 W · 48 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid+9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked Suns56c535.71$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.7168642.1%289 W · 397 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x93b0…69c8backed Suns56c530$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.22060%12 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+32.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Suns63c500$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.51,16654.4%634 W · 532 L+19.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe214…fcbabacked Suns56c499.98$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.992055%11 W · 9 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Suns57c469.77$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2021,16449.6%577 W · 587 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4851…16dbbacked Lakers40c466.53$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.613528.6%10 W · 25 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-50.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8342…13c9backed Lakers45c450$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.523548.1%113 W · 122 L-13.9wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-17.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf8df…32b4backed Suns61c449.99$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.493154.8%17 W · 14 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…33ccbacked Suns57c447.37$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.373259.4%19 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7335…46dbbacked Lakers45c431.72$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.320%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa586…86f5backed Suns60c400$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1602123.8%5 W · 16 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick31cpaid-32.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c0c…ad7cbacked Lakers40c399.99$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.997352.1%38 W · 35 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3168…6734backed Lakers38c355.41$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.0619137.7%72 W · 119 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe06…d5d5backed Suns60c351.83$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.737143.7%31 W · 40 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Lakers44c350$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1541,19746.7%559 W · 638 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61a6…ad90backed Suns59c345.76$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.76862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+32.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0730…46f8backed Lakers42c345.24$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145825%2 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-58.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x19f8…98f9backed Suns60c333.58$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.4347357.9%274 W · 199 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9977…085fbacked Lakers29c331.72$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.216617.5%29 W · 137 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-20.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xce6d…6130backed Suns58c321.97$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.2316160.9%98 W · 63 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1eed…0c9abacked Suns68c314.08$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.611435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-38.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9f32…8463backed Lakers19c310.38$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.971822.2%4 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-38.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e1b…7ccabacked Lakers45c306.67$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13815149%74 W · 77 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e3b…5911backed Lakers50c300.19$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1502556%14 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x87f7…91e3backed Lakers36c300$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1086230.6%19 W · 43 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2dec…50dabacked Lakers42c300$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3df…d0f8backed Suns59c300$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b1e…b6ccbacked Suns56c300$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1321163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+13%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf2c3…0b5ebacked Suns58c300$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1266262.9%39 W · 23 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+27.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa55a…32e3backed Lakers28c285.71$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$804341.9%18 W · 25 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.