College Football · resolved market
Fresno State vs. Colorado State
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6ce7d972374196440b8700dd3244663f6f3aa2274aca26d5ff7f9ab3c24722c7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Colorado Stateof Fresno State, Colorado State
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $237,786
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $217,837
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $237,786 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Fresno State | 37c | 87,186$32,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,199.98 | 684 | 40.8%279 W · 405 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Colorado State | 79c | 25,867$20,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,532.35 | 405 | 41.2%167 W · 238 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Fresno State | 17c | 20,000$3,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,399.99 | 272 | 46%125 W · 147 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Fresno State | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 115 | 41.7%48 W · 67 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…fa7bbacked Colorado State | 34c | 9,533$3,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,331.06 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Colorado State | 31c | 9,000$2,790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,209.96 | 153 | 52.3%80 W · 73 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x309f…9282backed Colorado State | 65c | 7,552$4,899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,652.78 | 55 | 65.5%36 W · 19 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Fresno State | 10c | 7,271$757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$756.89 | 309 | 49.5%153 W · 156 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Fresno State | 20c | 6,203$1,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,251.2 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Fresno State | 10c | 5,770$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.91 | 381 | 42.5%162 W · 219 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…93fcbacked Colorado State | 32c | 5,000$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,399.92 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Colorado State | 31c | 4,706$1,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,230.97 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Fresno State | 1c | 4,246$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.32 | 224 | 4%9 W · 215 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -74.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Colorado State | 78c | 3,306$2,564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742.38 | 859 | 47.7%410 W · 449 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Fresno State | 67c | 3,000$2,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,010 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Fresno State | 66c | 2,680$1,762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,762.15 | 261 | 47.9%125 W · 136 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Colorado State | 77c | 2,602$1,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607 | 553 | 50.3%278 W · 275 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x164f…deb3backed Fresno State | 68c | 2,500$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Fresno State | 68c | 2,500$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,699.99 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x006f…b3efbacked Fresno State | 10c | 2,206$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Colorado State | 33c | 2,091$682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,408.7 | 818 | 47.9%392 W · 426 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9733…f034backed Colorado State | 35c | 2,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7be6…0530backed Fresno State | 68c | 1,615$1,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,098.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00ea…f807backed Colorado State | 32c | 1,613$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,096.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Fresno State | 24c | 1,526$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373 | 200 | 39.5%79 W · 121 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Fresno State | 66c | 1,485$978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$978.45 | 134 | 50.7%68 W · 66 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Colorado State | 31c | 1,375$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$952.43 | 256 | 29.3%75 W · 181 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Colorado State | 31c | 1,288$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$888.41 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Colorado State | 31c | 1,122$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$775.26 | 503 | 58.1%292 W · 211 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c51…af7ebacked Fresno State | 61c | 1,100$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666.25 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfca…68fcbacked Colorado State | 31c | 1,099$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$758.42 | 471 | 31.4%148 W · 323 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked Fresno State | 20c | 1,076$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.54 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Colorado State | 31c | 999.96$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.97 | 107 | 42.1%45 W · 62 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Fresno State | 20c | 987.18$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 398 | 47.7%190 W · 208 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Colorado State | 31c | 863.4$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.75 | 385 | 46%177 W · 208 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Colorado State | 32c | 745$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.6 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…9958backed Fresno State | 12c | 666.67$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Colorado State | 31c | 614.45$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.97 | 494 | 43.7%216 W · 278 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Fresno State | 3c | 605$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.21 | 81 | 4.9%4 W · 77 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…366bbacked Fresno State | 68c | 544.12$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Fresno State | 13c | 489.98$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.99 | 107 | 50.5%54 W · 53 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Fresno State | 3c | 449.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 69 | 4.3%3 W · 66 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e92…f606backed Fresno State | 69c | 434.78$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Fresno State | 4c | 389.85$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.59 | 79 | 0%0 W · 79 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18f6…b00bbacked Fresno State | 69c | 362.32$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 80 | 78.8%63 W · 17 L | +9.9wins | +0.12per pick | 66cpaid | +21%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x74bc…98c9backed Colorado State | 80c | 318.92$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.83 | 105 | 55.2%58 W · 47 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46d0…b129backed Fresno State | 68c | 300$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47af…799bbacked Colorado State | 32c | 300$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x355c…e6d4backed Fresno State | 69c | 289.86$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 103 | 47.6%49 W · 54 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3ef…2891backed Fresno State | 69c | 289.86$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x561f…a932backed Fresno State | 70c | 283.77$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.2 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19c3…694abacked Colorado State | 33c | 269.7$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.7 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +49%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9363…fbfabacked Fresno State | 27c | 258$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.28 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8e…a742backed Fresno State | 69c | 201$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.69 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.16per pick | 69cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Colorado State | 30c | 200$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 176 | 34.7%61 W · 115 L | +11.6wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3044…834bbacked Fresno State | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Colorado State | 31c | 199.98$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.99 | 124 | 33.1%41 W · 83 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc75…e920backed Fresno State | 69c | 195$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Colorado State | 31c | 160.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.83 | 220 | 30.5%67 W · 153 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebd…3b11backed Fresno State | 65c | 160$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Colorado State | 53c | 146$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.97 | 402 | 44.8%180 W · 222 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5916…8d4fbacked Fresno State | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 61 | 63.9%39 W · 22 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaff0…2e7fbacked Fresno State | 70c | 135.99$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.19 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -3.2wins | -0.25per pick | 56cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…2e9cbacked Colorado State | 31c | 131.5$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.74 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x331b…193fbacked Colorado State | 78c | 130$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +69.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bfa…bfe0backed Fresno State | 12c | 123.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.73 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +5.3wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfd10…f782backed Fresno State | 70c | 111.07$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.75 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe530…a2cabacked Colorado State | 33c | 107.58$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.55 | 97 | 52.6%51 W · 46 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cd…b74cbacked Fresno State | 14c | 100.11$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.33 | 258 | 19.8%51 W · 207 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -26%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Colorado State | 32c | 100$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 473 | 31.5%149 W · 324 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Colorado State | 31c | 100$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 241 | 57.3%138 W · 103 L | +9.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12a7…1bdcbacked Fresno State | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f55…535dbacked Colorado State | 31c | 96.79$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.79 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4136…6389backed Colorado State | 33c | 75.76$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +203%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdff0…73fdbacked Fresno State | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a29…c0b6backed Fresno State | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 67 | 64.2%43 W · 24 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8f9…e537backed Colorado State | 32c | 65.96$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfba4…8964backed Fresno State | 69c | 63.04$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.9wins | -0.32per pick | 55cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xba40…b7b7backed Colorado State | 31c | 62.9$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.4 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.37per pick | 43cpaid | +97%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x83c5…e193backed Fresno State | 67c | 59.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.19 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x648d…7ddbbacked Colorado State | 32c | 58$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21e3…af5cbacked Fresno State | 69c | 57.97$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda82…5da2backed Fresno State | 68c | 57$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.76 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb525…fe8cbacked Colorado State | 32c | 43.75$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908f…14d1backed Colorado State | 32c | 37.5$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +95.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a2…9b3fbacked Colorado State | 62c | 36.26$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.78 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Fresno State | 69c | 36.23$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 188 | 58%109 W · 79 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3534…77fcbacked Fresno State | 69c | 36.23$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c3…0b5ebacked Fresno State | 68c | 32.21$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45cc…4b16backed Fresno State | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2838…32bbbacked Fresno State | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x207e…3499backed Fresno State | 67c | 26.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a2…7f83backed Fresno State | 69c | 26.8$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.49 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -3.9wins | -0.26per pick | 66cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x30ac…4bdabacked Fresno State | 69c | 22.35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.42 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d4e…649cbacked Fresno State | 69c | 20.29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x141c…16ebbacked Colorado State | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 10 | 100%10 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1a…936fbacked Fresno State | 69c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe913…4b84backed Fresno State | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xffa9…eff5backed Fresno State | 69c | 17.61$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e2f…4964backed Fresno State | 69c | 17.12$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Fresno State vs. Colorado Statethis page
- Fresno State vs. Colorado State: O/U 47.5Over won
- Fresno State vs. Colorado State: O/U 48.5Over won
- Spread: Fresno State (-6.5)Colorado State won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.