NFL · resolved market
Who will be shown first during national anthem- Chiefs or Eagles?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x03053ebe0e98aef9928fa0c17c8ef89e593baf7e1767d9dd3026330a2808d4aa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Eaglesof Eagles, Chiefs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,936
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,992
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,936 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Chiefs | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,099.99 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…9661backed Eagles | 49c | 9,965$4,883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,082.29 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e0…b444backed Eagles | 48c | 206.53$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.53 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffd2…d7aebacked Chiefs | 49c | 159.98$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.89 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 42cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Chiefs | 55c | 111$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.18 | 314 | 39.8%125 W · 189 L | -16.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27c7…38c5backed Eagles | 39c | 99$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.39 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x784d…e728backed Chiefs | 61c | 99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4012…ada5backed Chiefs | 61c | 90$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Eagles | 42c | 69$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.02 | 114 | 46.5%53 W · 61 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x259c…1766backed Eagles | 39c | 57$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.77 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x178a…8dc4backed Chiefs | 61c | 57$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc65b…9c71backed Chiefs | 61c | 56$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2500…282dbacked Eagles | 39c | 56$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d91…54a3backed Eagles | 39c | 54$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.94 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…1078backed Eagles | 53c | 50.94$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.94 | 64 | 35.9%23 W · 41 L | -5.9wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x73a9…0d8fbacked Eagles | 39c | 45$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d9c…8862backed Chiefs | 61c | 45$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.45 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Chiefs | 56c | 44.01$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.79 | 118 | 39%46 W · 72 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00f3…4201backed Chiefs | 61c | 41$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.01 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5244…7cb2backed Eagles | 39c | 40$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0dc…3944backed Eagles | 46c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.8 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a81…30e8backed Eagles | 39c | 37$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.57 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +95.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Chiefs | 55c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.35 | 268 | 30.6%82 W · 186 L | -29.2wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Who will be shown first during national anthem- Chiefs or Eagles?this page
- Will a player cry during the national anthem at Super Bowl LIX?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.