Music · resolved market
Will Kanye West release an album before July?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x90e9bd2ed27e7cec4c3fb8d02f5dfcce98ec7b3ffca859a7780a41cf7316fb3d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $410,498
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $414,506
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $410,498 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 124 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Music | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcd73…7e48backed No | 55c | 100,253$55,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55,139.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x737a…1699backed Yes | 45c | 100,253$45,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55,139.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39f…1070backed No | 48c | 85,014$40,807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,806.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8805…90eabacked Yes | 52c | 85,014$44,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,806.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed No | 26c | 8,134$2,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,104.3 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 72c | 4,558$3,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,298.35 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 58c | 2,882$1,684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,683.73 | 122 | 34.4%42 W · 80 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 1c | 2,604$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.08 | 462 | 9.7%45 W · 417 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc092…0cd9backed Yes | 60c | 2,589$1,549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.46 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23cc…4f5abacked Yes | 47c | 1,355$634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$721.4 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -82%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc45…13bdbacked Yes | 49c | 1,308$642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +103.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6a…f9d0backed Yes | 59c | 1,300$769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60fd…1d52backed No | 50c | 1,240$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625.1 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.35per pick | 68cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…e515backed Yes | 22c | 984.61$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$772 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d7a…b5f7backed No | 57c | 882.61$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.21 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a3…cc69backed Yes | 38c | 708.65$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +166.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…9661backed Yes | 64c | 662.26$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.36 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07a6…2e31backed Yes | 46c | 559.05$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.63 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +107.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2675…2374backed Yes | 52c | 465.95$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.38 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab8e…3d89backed Yes | 42c | 456.66$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0151…a7ccbacked No | 22c | 456.28$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed No | 78c | 384.61$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe75f…edafbacked No | 57c | 384.34$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.07 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed No | 58c | 375$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.25 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2b…b40cbacked Yes | 74c | 344.59$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…7726backed No | 28c | 320$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb1b…a11dbacked No | 55c | 316.74$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f50…7a50backed Yes | 25c | 269.81$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +302.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1102…af36backed No | 38c | 269.37$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.32 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 51c | 265.61$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.57 | 149 | 38.9%58 W · 91 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6139…6b7abacked Yes | 32c | 250$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +136.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf1fe…1779backed Yes | 39c | 240$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +154%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 18c | 211.3$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.62 | 247 | 32%79 W · 168 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9118…e9dabacked No | 10c | 200$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -45%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd685…8be9backed Yes | 46c | 199.99$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +95.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed No | 31c | 197.05$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.02 | 72 | 22.2%16 W · 56 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bcf…6c0bbacked Yes | 47c | 190.43$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c4b…4554backed Yes | 30c | 180$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.6 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 23cpaid | +49.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd14f…d46dbacked Yes | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f30…c8dbbacked Yes | 53c | 168.88$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +87.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2887…f7ddbacked Yes | 21c | 151.25$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.79per pick | 21cpaid | +365.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde26…0972backed No | 55c | 144.24$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.05 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x138e…42b4backed Yes | 55c | 135.93$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.77 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Yes | 33c | 134.82$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.83 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 37cpaid | +43%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40d4…ed63backed Yes | 58c | 130.27$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc369…008ebacked Yes | 44c | 123.18$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9783…1495backed Yes | 23c | 122.04$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.77per pick | 23cpaid | +337.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8182…7cf5backed Yes | 54c | 117.49$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…cd12backed No | 21c | 107.63$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b67…71c0backed Yes | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x194f…848ebacked Yes | 48c | 104.23$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.42per pick | 24cpaid | +261.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xffd2…d7aebacked Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe628…1595backed Yes | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcdf…085ebacked No | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79ad…a9f1backed Yes | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +6.2wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe03d…189abacked Yes | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…4b8dbacked No | 27c | 91.07$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed No | 25c | 88.45$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 64 | 35.9%23 W · 41 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee04…c22bbacked Yes | 46c | 82.61$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x951d…8385backed Yes | 54c | 81$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadaf…1ddebacked No | 59c | 80$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcc…f59cbacked Yes | 65c | 78.94$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd713…4662backed Yes | 67c | 78.05$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f5a…dd22backed No | 53c | 74.85$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x583a…ae26backed Yes | 47c | 74.47$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55f5…0a7cbacked Yes | 32c | 73$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +214.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8afd…cf93backed Yes | 74c | 70.93$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3975…626abacked No | 61c | 70.27$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.04 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a6…9ec9backed Yes | 44c | 69.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +129.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabbe…9ac9backed Yes | 47c | 67.4$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85ab…8b3cbacked Yes | 48c | 62.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.18 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad8…3fa6backed Yes | 47c | 59.89$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5e…4b04backed Yes | 53c | 57.12$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.12 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c6d…4304backed Yes | 46c | 55.79$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +116.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1730…fbd2backed Yes | 46c | 55.74$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d34…2dd0backed No | 55c | 54.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25dd…3b7dbacked Yes | 47c | 54.36$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7273…b6f7backed Yes | 47c | 54.15$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9852…ae21backed Yes | 47c | 54$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01f9…0ffebacked No | 54c | 53.41$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe164…e1b9backed Yes | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa4…35d4backed Yes | 39c | 51.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +159.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcec0…1801backed Yes | 47c | 50.83$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8c9…ce9dbacked Yes | 47c | 50.4$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…edb0backed Yes | 32c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9949…3f3bbacked No | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b7a…4817backed No | 56c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df6…73f7backed No | 51c | 48.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc6…0305backed No | 54c | 46.54$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3438…8179backed Yes | 47c | 46.11$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c5…1e30backed Yes | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cc…99dabacked Yes | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb583…35d9backed Yes | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +71.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4919…665ebacked No | 56c | 41.32$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa47c…ee59backed Yes | 48c | 41.15$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x470b…cad9backed No | 55c | 40.02$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x300f…d366backed Yes | 55c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b62…53bcbacked No | 59c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd22…9ef1backed Yes | 49c | 39.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.39 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +59.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbad3…c40dbacked Yes | 38c | 39.31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +162.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.