NBA · resolved market
Will Jalen Brunson lead the 2025 NBA Playoffs in scoring?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd0ca9d49e994ab71c6d932982f80fe2839f70356b080940850e2ba86c4dce167
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $152,202
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $148,074
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $152,202 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 11 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9c09…02cdbacked Yes | 57c | 43,326$24,696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,695.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14b3…4297backed No | 43c | 43,326$18,630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,695.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc067…a108backed Yes | 44c | 30,276$13,321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,321.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4548…2be2backed No | 56c | 30,276$16,955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,321.44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +105.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffd2…d7aebacked Yes | 42c | 203.33$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.33 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecf4…9979backed No | 58c | 185.94$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.67 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -4.2wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe8…0ec5backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf457…d1a6backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -3.9wins | -0.16per pick | 60cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0351…6c09backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e7a…34a2backed Yes | 58c | 20.15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7dc…1ab9backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Jalen Brunson lead the 2025 NBA Playoffs in scoring?this page
- Will Anthony Edwards lead the 2025 NBA Playoffs in scoring?No won
- Will Cade Cunningham lead the 2025 NBA Playoffs in scoring?No won
- Will Giannis Antetokounmpo lead the 2025 NBA Playoffs in scoring?No won
- Will Kawhi Leonard lead the 2025 NBA Playoffs in scoring?No won
- Will LeBron James lead the 2025 NBA Playoffs in scoring?No won
- Will Nikola Jokić lead the 2025 NBA Playoffs in scoring?No won
- Will Paolo Banchero lead the 2025 NBA Playoffs in scoring?No won
- Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander lead the 2025 NBA Playoffs in scoring?Yes won
- Will Stephen Curry lead the 2025 NBA Playoffs in scoring?No won
- Will another player lead the 2025 NBA Playoffs in scoring?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.