NBA · resolved market
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander lead the 2025 NBA Playoffs in scoring?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x731f3c7e8c179b56f9bfa68e2cfea1508969b177e76a29bbbb9ebfb43275882e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $109,685
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $130,322
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $109,685 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x011f…1122backed No | 0c | 48,716$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.72 | 464 | 26.1%121 W · 343 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked No | 0c | 11,587$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.11 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dfa…c0e3backed No | 0c | 5,002$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 155 | 0%0 W · 155 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Yes | 58c | 503.71$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.95 | 958 | 48.7%467 W · 491 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffd2…d7aebacked No | 50c | 482.67$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.68 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecf4…9979backed No | 41c | 443.1$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.27 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -4.2wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1d77…fdbebacked Yes | 66c | 145.07$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.08 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe87a…6d01backed Yes | 50c | 142$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.42 | 111 | 44.1%49 W · 62 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dee…f4e6backed No | 22c | 103.92$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.23 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.23per pick | 50cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcc80…2fdbbacked Yes | 54c | 102.2$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.92 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | -5.9wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec01…6592backed Yes | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 113 | 44.2%50 W · 63 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf385…4864backed No | 48c | 62$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.57 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x777f…a1bbbacked No | 49c | 52.34$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.89 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x502b…a1d5backed Yes | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 250 | 39.6%99 W · 151 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cac…4814backed Yes | 49c | 30.34$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.34 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28da…b97dbacked No | 60c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 62 | 30.6%19 W · 43 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander lead the 2025 NBA Playoffs in scoring?this page
- Will Anthony Edwards lead the 2025 NBA Playoffs in scoring?No won
- Will Cade Cunningham lead the 2025 NBA Playoffs in scoring?No won
- Will Giannis Antetokounmpo lead the 2025 NBA Playoffs in scoring?No won
- Will Jalen Brunson lead the 2025 NBA Playoffs in scoring?No won
- Will Kawhi Leonard lead the 2025 NBA Playoffs in scoring?No won
- Will LeBron James lead the 2025 NBA Playoffs in scoring?No won
- Will Nikola Jokić lead the 2025 NBA Playoffs in scoring?No won
- Will Paolo Banchero lead the 2025 NBA Playoffs in scoring?No won
- Will Stephen Curry lead the 2025 NBA Playoffs in scoring?No won
- Will another player lead the 2025 NBA Playoffs in scoring?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.