F1 · resolved market
F1 Hungarian GP: Leclerc vs. Verstappen
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4a8705c6287907c7fcb155a18cd95509f1ef98e6671b577a61a40cc79e0f131b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Leclercof Leclerc, Verstappen
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- F1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,670
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,595
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,670 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in F1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa009…ab48backed Verstappen | 62c | 259.09$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc774…b6e8backed Verstappen | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 59 | 22%13 W · 46 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13e9…7cd4backed Leclerc | 64c | 156.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.06 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc2…0933backed Leclerc | 64c | 79.24$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.58 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Leclerc | 38c | 75$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.5 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab4d…6546backed Verstappen | 34c | 69.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.1 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.9wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe87a…6d01backed Leclerc | 40c | 68.7$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.35 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed Leclerc | 37c | 53.37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.45 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffd2…d7aebacked Verstappen | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b29…5a9abacked Leclerc | 72c | 45.83$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.83 | 118 | 60.2%71 W · 47 L | +9.9wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x06f6…4505backed Leclerc | 73c | 37.8$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Leclerc | 38c | 30.72$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.05 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf2…85b7backed Verstappen | 61c | 24.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…d132backed Verstappen | 61c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b32…32c1backed Leclerc | 67c | 18.5$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- F1 Hungarian GP: Leclerc vs. Verstappenthis page
- F1 Hungarian GP: Albon vs. Sainz Sainz won
- F1 Hungarian GP: Alonso vs. Stroll Alonso won
- F1 Hungarian GP: Hadjar vs. TsunodaHadjar won
- F1 Hungarian GP: Hamilton vs. Leclerc Leclerc won
- F1 Hungarian GP: Hamilton vs. Russell Russell won
- F1 Hungarian GP: Leclerc vs. Russell Russell won
- F1 Hungarian GP: Piastri vs. Norris Norris won
- F1 Hungarian GP: Verstappen vs. Norris Norris won
- F1 Hungarian GP: Verstappen vs. Piastri Piastri won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.