F1 · resolved market
F1 Hungarian GP: Leclerc vs. Russell
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd666650ff0551f5614062f7fd005b5c449ed84ee39e84376b74491f697b2e237
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Russellof Leclerc, Russell
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- F1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,981
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,562
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,981 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in F1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Russell | 22c | 5,791$1,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,519.8 | 213 | 37.6%80 W · 133 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…5ed9backed Leclerc | 78c | 1,727$1,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,340 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked Leclerc | 78c | 1,333$1,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,037.74 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Leclerc | 78c | 1,000$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Leclerc | 78c | 1,000$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa599…4513backed Leclerc | 78c | 879.94$686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686.35 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Russell | 23c | 700$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | -4.7wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Leclerc | 79c | 300$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5db…3c45backed Russell | 11c | 245.45$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.45 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf6…51ccbacked Russell | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.82 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe87a…6d01backed Russell | 11c | 142.22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.34 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60e3…fd58backed Leclerc | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +24%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc2…0933backed Leclerc | 73c | 100$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904f…50c6backed Russell | 27c | 92.59$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.59 | 159 | 22%35 W · 124 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86d3…ad32backed Leclerc | 78c | 50$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ac1…4a0ebacked Leclerc | 78c | 26.29$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.51 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Leclerc | 61c | 25.64$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.64 | 208 | 43.3%90 W · 118 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45e8…cc6cbacked Leclerc | 77c | 12.97$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- F1 Hungarian GP: Leclerc vs. Russell this page
- F1 Hungarian GP: Albon vs. Sainz Sainz won
- F1 Hungarian GP: Alonso vs. Stroll Alonso won
- F1 Hungarian GP: Hadjar vs. TsunodaHadjar won
- F1 Hungarian GP: Hamilton vs. Leclerc Leclerc won
- F1 Hungarian GP: Hamilton vs. Russell Russell won
- F1 Hungarian GP: Leclerc vs. VerstappenLeclerc won
- F1 Hungarian GP: Piastri vs. Norris Norris won
- F1 Hungarian GP: Verstappen vs. Norris Norris won
- F1 Hungarian GP: Verstappen vs. Piastri Piastri won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.