World Politics · resolved market
Will Trump designate cartels as terrorists before March?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbb7ae835eac789db5e7e8dd06490600d84d7f424e73d9c5e924e399c8ac57b24
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $76,259
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $80,232
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $76,259 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed No | 1c | 16,193$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.4 | 513 | 2.9%15 W · 498 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7967…f4a0backed No | 18c | 8,000$1,478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,478.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe75c…f6c2backed Yes | 76c | 3,929$2,991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$938.48 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8452…9056backed No | 34c | 3,832$1,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,296.63 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42a6…1b64backed Yes | 78c | 3,446$2,694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$751.93 | 51 | 23.5%12 W · 39 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 78c | 3,238$2,519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.04 | 278 | 28.1%78 W · 200 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd44e…67e2backed No | 25c | 2,943$738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$738.08 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed No | 1c | 2,930$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48e3…03ccbacked Yes | 71c | 2,833$2,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$830.02 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba2…eaa7backed Yes | 69c | 2,772$1,913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$858.65 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1744…1d2abacked Yes | 73c | 2,430$1,778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.24 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa53a…e4f1backed Yes | 76c | 2,043$1,546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.65 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba01…1ebabacked Yes | 77c | 2,014$1,557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.71 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f50…4db9backed No | 27c | 1,208$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.25 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -35%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f8…0ff2backed No | 2c | 1,191$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.82 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…9661backed Yes | 64c | 1,163$739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.41 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +4.9wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x865c…ea31backed No | 21c | 1,040$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e7a…8cc1backed No | 34c | 971.53$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed Yes | 74c | 966$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.68 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd7…0643backed Yes | 63c | 777.19$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.19 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked No | 37c | 728.39$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.08 | 23 | 8.7%2 W · 21 L | -5.1wins | -0.22per pick | 31cpaid | -79%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x21d9…0e65backed No | 25c | 636.29$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.07 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c4…bf28backed No | 16c | 620.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 34c | 600$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.5 | 549 | 34.6%190 W · 359 L | -37.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbba4…f8c6backed Yes | 64c | 579.99$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x516d…03e5backed Yes | 75c | 500$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x730a…51a0backed No | 20c | 500$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x966a…4d34backed No | 25c | 484.13$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4867…89dcbacked No | 50c | 482.13$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b4…770dbacked No | 25c | 462.06$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.52 | 71 | 25.4%18 W · 53 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8e…7737backed No | 20c | 457.73$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.3 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 32c | 457.58$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.6 | 576 | 36.3%209 W · 367 L | -27.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd774…82cdbacked No | 19c | 456.29$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.67 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63a1…b435backed No | 58c | 431.86$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe75f…edafbacked Yes | 72c | 360$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.8 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 23c | 347.22$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.17 | 884 | 48.5%429 W · 455 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…693fbacked Yes | 42c | 336.23$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.14 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 75c | 335.43$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.05 | 1,318 | 43.9%579 W · 739 L | -26.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffd2…d7aebacked No | 19c | 330$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc900…4faebacked Yes | 72c | 329.52$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.85 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb5…5afdbacked Yes | 79c | 300$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6df6…8458backed No | 12c | 299.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70a8…9105backed Yes | 66c | 285.49$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.92 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc54…680fbacked No | 16c | 282.86$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.9 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x600a…5e70backed No | 5c | 260$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed No | 17c | 225.45$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.3 | 172 | 27.9%48 W · 124 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d9…5653backed No | 16c | 225$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.25 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f0a…f7aabacked Yes | 63c | 209.77$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.14 | 185 | 30.3%56 W · 129 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…7930backed Yes | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x38cd…a557backed Yes | 78c | 200$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 15c | 187.05$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.47 | 1,022 | 28%286 W · 736 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03f1…05e2backed No | 25c | 185.82$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6238…57c8backed No | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked No | 19c | 163.62$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.28 | 206 | 14.6%30 W · 176 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe306…d100backed Yes | 72c | 160$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.8 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf27a…1d05backed No | 26c | 150.45$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.96 | 105 | 20%21 W · 84 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf74d…7476backed No | 24c | 150$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked Yes | 74c | 146.56$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.59 | 367 | 42.5%156 W · 211 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a7…d21abacked No | 26c | 141$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.96 | 78 | 6.4%5 W · 73 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -77.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8196…ab69backed Yes | 63c | 135.99$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.58 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf007…10b4backed Yes | 70c | 120$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5da1…980bbacked No | 20c | 119.72$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.69 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0710…42a2backed No | 52c | 105.96$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.12 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -5.0wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -45%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2463…f0e4backed Yes | 75c | 105.95$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3eb…c286backed No | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d50…1160backed Yes | 71c | 103.17$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.92 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4574…ab3ebacked No | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 38cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…ce9fbacked Yes | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 114 | 35.1%40 W · 74 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b69…0cdebacked Yes | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4116…779dbacked Yes | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8866…dd1ebacked Yes | 59c | 99$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.79 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd897…a582backed No | 44c | 97$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.08 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d77…fdbebacked Yes | 80c | 95.05$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.27 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x444e…01d0backed No | 40c | 94.39$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.76 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 39cpaid | +166%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0af8…9454backed No | 32c | 92.39$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +94.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5193…cebcbacked Yes | 73c | 91$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f3…f6b1backed No | 29c | 90.63$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98a5…b2c1backed No | 19c | 88.24$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed Yes | 65c | 79.4$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.81 | 200 | 51.5%103 W · 97 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf789…c4ccbacked Yes | 73c | 67.81$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.31 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +147.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92d0…269ebacked No | 30c | 61.26$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.11 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3fe…978fbacked Yes | 75c | 60$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -8.2wins | -0.25per pick | 67cpaid | -37%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xb293…cb90backed No | 49c | 56.13$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.54 | 58 | 17.2%10 W · 48 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 11cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb553…88cebacked Yes | 48c | 51.8$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5faf…a1d1backed No | 40c | 50.49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dde…94c3backed Yes | 77c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90a9…03e6backed Yes | 69c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e80…658dbacked No | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…d3a0backed Yes | 71c | 49.3$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x284f…31efbacked Yes | 58c | 46.11$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x745a…64e8backed No | 45c | 45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.34 | 152 | 37.5%57 W · 95 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…8e16backed Yes | 78c | 40.79$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde26…0972backed Yes | 71c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | -6.4wins | -0.11per pick | 66cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f0…3213backed No | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0943…4a2fbacked Yes | 60c | 32.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.05 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c99…c1c0backed Yes | 75c | 31.58$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.89 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3975…626abacked Yes | 68c | 28.03$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.85 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69b4…db29backed Yes | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33f0…31a1backed Yes | 76c | 26.2$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c6c…b6d7backed Yes | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.