Tweets · resolved market
Ye banned on X in February?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xad755ed15a3d1676392cb8f85b450dfcfe0267aa44420a512d13e8f7f68b73e9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $135,047
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $135,167
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $135,047 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc212…a125backed Yes | 13c | 18,198$2,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,394.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc50d…085dbacked Yes | 25c | 3,748$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 12c | 3,043$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.13 | 230 | 3.9%9 W · 221 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 7cpaid | -78.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 8c | 2,708$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.6 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29d4…bc07backed Yes | 57c | 2,700$1,528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,528.41 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6a…f9d0backed Yes | 5c | 2,594$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea83…5c8fbacked Yes | 11c | 2,365$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 6c | 2,200$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -76.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5300…0625backed Yes | 5c | 1,880$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd22…9ef1backed No | 58c | 1,593$923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670.2 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb65b…6c1bbacked Yes | 15c | 1,475$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed Yes | 2c | 1,458$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.9 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99b6…a768backed Yes | 10c | 1,107$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.42 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -72.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xded5…d9cabacked Yes | 13c | 1,105$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.03 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 18cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5936…99c9backed Yes | 7c | 1,071$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b6…61cebacked No | 40c | 1,002$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1f…c855backed Yes | 12c | 1,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5df3…bbadbacked Yes | 10c | 999.98$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8588…de5ebacked Yes | 8c | 975.16$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8d…5a27backed Yes | 5c | 971.09$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.2 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 5cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa68…94a7backed Yes | 9c | 899.98$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b6c…f6aabacked Yes | 2c | 780$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.72 | 34 | 14.7%5 W · 29 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3eb…0829backed Yes | 10c | 732.3$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb49e…118fbacked Yes | 21c | 670$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a0…6e95backed Yes | 21c | 530.72$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Yes | 14c | 487.21$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.31 | 84 | 23.8%20 W · 64 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 6c | 430.84$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.74 | 996 | 19.8%197 W · 799 L | -15.9wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39c8…6e68backed Yes | 17c | 359.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3975…626abacked No | 70c | 353.15$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.74 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 72cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa53a…e4f1backed Yes | 9c | 346$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.37 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b60…4007backed Yes | 13c | 322.76$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.4 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +46%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79ad…a9f1backed No | 78c | 306.6$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8da3…8a67backed No | 76c | 300$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +56%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e34…7b66backed Yes | 14c | 296.93$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dde…94c3backed No | 61c | 296.73$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 7c | 294.22$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.76 | 797 | 35.9%286 W · 511 L | -34.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fdf…3b40backed Yes | 17c | 293.84$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e72…743cbacked Yes | 11c | 284.82$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 9c | 259.2$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.92 | 526 | 19.8%104 W · 422 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e93…aaa4backed Yes | 14c | 256.07$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfffd…3c2bbacked Yes | 78c | 256.02$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x745a…64e8backed Yes | 15c | 249.25$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.53 | 143 | 14.7%21 W · 122 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70a8…9105backed Yes | 13c | 249$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.41 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba95…908fbacked Yes | 25c | 241.81$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.44 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d8…a0a6backed No | 56c | 240$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +77.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b04…b96bbacked Yes | 20c | 234.76$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b4…770dbacked Yes | 12c | 218.84$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.26 | 36 | 11.1%4 W · 32 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01f7…645ebacked Yes | 41c | 215.93$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2139…4b34backed Yes | 13c | 214.85$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9127…6ff3backed Yes | 11c | 200$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -53%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23cc…4f5abacked Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 827 | 11%91 W · 736 L | +21.9wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb27…4db3backed Yes | 7c | 200$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -83.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef2…1863backed Yes | 36c | 193.4$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a67…a78ebacked Yes | 9c | 163.23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffd2…d7aebacked Yes | 13c | 160$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa44e…4d45backed Yes | 65c | 158.8$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked No | 70c | 156.5$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1512…68f3backed No | 52c | 155.63$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.98 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.18per pick | 28cpaid | +84.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b92…046ebacked No | 80c | 150$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb250…078cbacked Yes | 18c | 138.89$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21cb…8014backed Yes | 16c | 130.42$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.65 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.38per pick | 37cpaid | +88.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c0b…9076backed Yes | 40c | 125.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf714…8ff4backed No | 80c | 125.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed Yes | 22c | 125.07$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c5f…ba1abacked Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fb4…75c5backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94f9…5385backed Yes | 9c | 121$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5638…224dbacked Yes | 12c | 117$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0643…7b30backed No | 78c | 108.06$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.77 | 73 | 17.8%13 W · 60 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b9…c2b6backed No | 24c | 105$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.4 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.9wins | +0.29per pick | 31cpaid | +213.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdeef…e421backed Yes | 21c | 100.26$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x052f…5ef8backed Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x013d…3e88backed No | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9998…e858backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf85b…5663backed No | 20c | 100$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.80per pick | 20cpaid | +400%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffb0…fa37backed No | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b6a…0b81backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb8e…962bbacked No | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd44e…67e2backed No | 72c | 98.61$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.61 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcaa8…6c7cbacked Yes | 22c | 88.59$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x805a…0635backed Yes | 17c | 70.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.13 | 142 | 18.3%26 W · 116 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +124.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab8e…3d89backed No | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 47 | 10.6%5 W · 42 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -79.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf9…e408backed Yes | 29c | 60$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -55%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc468…009dbacked No | 36c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +119.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f10…cfdfbacked Yes | 42c | 35.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9691…8478backed No | 63c | 32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6b…7892backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78cf…dbc0backed No | 79c | 29.11$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bad…58d5backed No | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…9409backed Yes | 45c | 24.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41e4…c8abbacked No | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.