NBA · resolved market
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers finish with the best regular season record?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa9b222065e1b599c82dc9d491f18c3a6a905fd1cfef266510fca5cb75940a938
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,123
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,119
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,123 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed No | 47c | 1,822$857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$964.75 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d80…5fd8backed Yes | 50c | 1,526$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765.08 | 302 | 51.7%156 W · 146 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 3c | 444$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 1,132 | 17%192 W · 940 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed Yes | 47c | 350$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 464 | 26.1%121 W · 343 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 62c | 326.88$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.49 | 185 | 36.8%68 W · 117 L | -11.1wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x270a…7b78backed Yes | 40c | 200$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.2 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffd2…d7aebacked Yes | 43c | 157.52$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.38 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa27b…5d5cbacked Yes | 55c | 155.47$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.45 | 204 | 47.1%96 W · 108 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…a78cbacked Yes | 71c | 48.38$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +60.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6011…5c32backed Yes | 59c | 47.93$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.41 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ace…ed20backed Yes | 56c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3291…2273backed Yes | 65c | 35.88$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.15 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 56cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb293…cb90backed Yes | 42c | 33.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.41 | 53 | 9.4%5 W · 48 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed Yes | 36c | 33.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 342 | 46.8%160 W · 182 L | +18.1wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf72…723abacked Yes | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8779…a6bbbacked No | 50c | 29.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81d2…cf33backed Yes | 62c | 25.08$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f41…83f5backed No | 60c | 18.38$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.35 | 245 | 49%120 W · 125 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b91…d4edbacked No | 63c | 16.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Cleveland Cavaliers finish with the best regular season record?this page
- Will the Boston Celtics finish with the best regular season record?No won
- Will the Denver Nuggets finish with the best regular season record?No won
- Will the Los Angeles Lakers finish with the best regular season record?No won
- Will the Memphis Grizzlies finish with the best regular season record?No won
- Will the Oklahoma City Thunder finish with the best regular season record?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.