NBA · resolved market
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder finish with the best regular season record?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc302228812fca3db21a8a6c506cad87a1daa5811df5c609baefed6a7c205a1a0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,496
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,223
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,496 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Yes | 70c | 509.17$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.76 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x799c…bcefbacked No | 76c | 393.17$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 271 | 63.5%172 W · 99 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc82e…9460backed Yes | 46c | 304.42$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.3 | 170 | 44.1%75 W · 95 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb81…1cf3backed Yes | 14c | 255.77$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.96 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 5cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47d8…ccb9backed Yes | 78c | 215.1$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.29 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 5c | 214.13$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f41…83f5backed Yes | 38c | 213.47$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.56 | 245 | 49%120 W · 125 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe408…232bbacked Yes | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Yes | 77c | 167$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.41 | 226 | 56.6%128 W · 98 L | +13.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 76c | 149.4$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.19 | 185 | 36.8%68 W · 117 L | -11.1wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…a23abacked Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 229 | 39.7%91 W · 138 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2d…27e6backed Yes | 40c | 49.88$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.88 | 81 | 22.2%18 W · 63 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb18…6ed0backed No | 46c | 41$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.67 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed No | 57c | 24.24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.82 | 617 | 40.7%251 W · 366 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Oklahoma City Thunder finish with the best regular season record?this page
- Will the Boston Celtics finish with the best regular season record?No won
- Will the Cleveland Cavaliers finish with the best regular season record?No won
- Will the Denver Nuggets finish with the best regular season record?No won
- Will the Los Angeles Lakers finish with the best regular season record?No won
- Will the Memphis Grizzlies finish with the best regular season record?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.