Us Midterms · resolved market
Will Lara Trump be appointed as the next Florida senator?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdc6217bfb7b370163f7c427d693d5610bb00c1e767edaaa18d428a7aaf950837
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,803,456
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $638,852
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,803,456 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 531 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc613…662bbacked Yes | 0c | 57,903$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.97 | 132 | 0.8%1 W · 131 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf1…87febacked Yes | 1c | 53,525$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6901…e18bbacked Yes | 1c | 44,265$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b3…cc45backed Yes | 1c | 41,245$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd849…623cbacked Yes | 1c | 38,375$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc262…203fbacked Yes | 1c | 37,804$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd6…b982backed Yes | 0c | 37,336$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd83c…4495backed Yes | 1c | 36,872$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee44…20cbbacked Yes | 1c | 36,357$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x283e…0656backed Yes | 1c | 36,238$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6610…38bbbacked Yes | 1c | 34,741$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f1c…5cc2backed Yes | 1c | 34,468$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9358…75ddbacked Yes | 1c | 33,991$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81c2…a5fdbacked Yes | 1c | 33,840$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x663d…c4e4backed Yes | 1c | 32,426$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4263…b1dbbacked Yes | 1c | 31,865$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dc…0e32backed Yes | 1c | 31,186$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6302…0fa7backed Yes | 1c | 31,026$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x135d…643fbacked Yes | 1c | 30,454$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd796…ace9backed Yes | 1c | 29,959$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc293…3411backed Yes | 1c | 29,458$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x340f…80f6backed Yes | 1c | 29,035$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2709…675bbacked Yes | 1c | 28,869$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9c…a810backed Yes | 1c | 28,815$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba53…fe36backed Yes | 1c | 27,937$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa35e…a263backed Yes | 1c | 27,665$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce25…2368backed Yes | 1c | 27,638$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a9b…bd88backed Yes | 1c | 27,314$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cc3…bb74backed Yes | 1c | 26,975$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06f4…cd71backed Yes | 1c | 26,821$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe56…837bbacked Yes | 1c | 26,780$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13b7…ae13backed Yes | 1c | 26,642$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d3…bca8backed Yes | 1c | 26,495$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c2f…963abacked Yes | 1c | 26,318$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba6…0d46backed Yes | 1c | 25,896$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x496e…3847backed Yes | 1c | 25,838$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0da7…c37fbacked Yes | 1c | 25,773$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef3c…2ec2backed Yes | 1c | 25,649$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe71…4c84backed Yes | 1c | 25,306$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bbb…aefcbacked Yes | 1c | 24,699$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc9…7de3backed Yes | 1c | 24,644$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x731f…bfe4backed Yes | 1c | 24,405$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefa7…a028backed Yes | 1c | 24,367$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…fdefbacked Yes | 1c | 24,298$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07fc…da53backed Yes | 1c | 23,795$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1d…904fbacked Yes | 1c | 23,565$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa3…62ddbacked Yes | 1c | 23,325$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…dc7fbacked Yes | 1c | 23,178$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53bb…9017backed Yes | 1c | 23,116$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9883…4356backed Yes | 1c | 23,100$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27d1…bac0backed Yes | 1c | 22,960$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1631…293abacked Yes | 1c | 22,886$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2acb…4e3fbacked Yes | 1c | 22,824$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3058…c508backed Yes | 1c | 22,692$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4aaf…39e9backed Yes | 1c | 22,690$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f46…586bbacked Yes | 1c | 22,637$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3f…e6e3backed Yes | 1c | 22,636$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dbd…55febacked Yes | 1c | 22,595$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4608…7865backed Yes | 1c | 22,576$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f61…6489backed Yes | 1c | 22,536$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf4…4440backed Yes | 1c | 22,512$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d02…29e1backed Yes | 1c | 22,495$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25d2…a2f2backed Yes | 1c | 22,431$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb557…9e0ebacked Yes | 1c | 22,364$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cfa…6096backed Yes | 1c | 22,015$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee8…30f7backed Yes | 1c | 20,928$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d56…2843backed Yes | 1c | 20,776$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1190…1a87backed Yes | 1c | 20,592$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e60…a622backed Yes | 0c | 20,359$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcda7…b8cdbacked Yes | 1c | 20,279$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13a0…3055backed Yes | 1c | 20,269$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf6b…b2b8backed Yes | 1c | 20,267$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59b7…509dbacked Yes | 1c | 20,012$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacd6…a5ffbacked Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6346…1daebacked Yes | 1c | 19,943$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b61…854abacked Yes | 1c | 19,865$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01f9…9d08backed Yes | 1c | 19,665$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ee…091abacked Yes | 1c | 19,573$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdce9…907bbacked Yes | 1c | 19,528$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0ab…e789backed Yes | 1c | 19,496$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf9…3573backed Yes | 1c | 19,435$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x504a…6034backed Yes | 1c | 19,434$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48d9…642bbacked Yes | 1c | 19,417$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2535…0931backed Yes | 1c | 19,089$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d2…a1fbbacked Yes | 1c | 19,075$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39ad…e7b9backed Yes | 1c | 19,056$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca4b…3802backed Yes | 1c | 19,055$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x935e…7c5abacked Yes | 1c | 19,053$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x877f…c124backed Yes | 1c | 19,038$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a37…420cbacked Yes | 1c | 19,009$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f00…fc27backed Yes | 1c | 18,997$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb2…e856backed Yes | 1c | 18,984$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f54…5631backed Yes | 1c | 18,869$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5a…de81backed Yes | 1c | 18,777$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d1…41c9backed Yes | 1c | 18,625$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c10…f350backed Yes | 1c | 18,545$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ea…0c6bbacked Yes | 1c | 18,484$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e2…febebacked Yes | 1c | 18,449$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x816f…c563backed Yes | 1c | 18,386$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61f2…6b6abacked Yes | 1c | 18,257$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Lara Trump be appointed as the next Florida senator?this page
- No Marco Rubio replacement as Florida senator?No won
- Will Ashley Moody be appointed as the next Florida senator?Yes won
- Will Casey DeSantis be appointed as the next Florida senator?No won
- Will James Fishback be appointed as the next Florida senator?No won
- Will James Uthmeier be appointed as the next Florida senator?No won
- Will Jeanette Nunez be appointed as the next Florida senator?No won
- Will Jose Oliva be appointed as the next Florida senator?No won
- Will Keith Rabois be appointed as the next Florida senator?No won
- Will Matt Gaetz be appointed as the next Florida senator?No won
- Will Ron DeSantis be appointed as the next Florida senator?No won
- Will Roy Altman be appointed as the next Florida senator?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.