Us Midterms · resolved market
Will Ashley Moody be appointed as the next Florida senator?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3c1932fb59e0a58514dfab593833c1e5de49f0dfb20e73227c2faed5de8e71fd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $818,938
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $871,150
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $818,938 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 894 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7a61…af24backed No | 0c | 300,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb482…fbc7backed No | 0c | 30,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked No | 0c | 12,353$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 132 | 0.8%1 W · 131 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed No | 2c | 11,297$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.98 | 44 | 2.3%1 W · 43 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96b5…f5e7backed No | 0c | 11,000$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed No | 8c | 8,890$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744.79 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 15cpaid | +300.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked No | 2c | 7,082$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.66 | 45 | 2.2%1 W · 44 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 9cpaid | +90.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…b3debacked No | 29c | 6,607$1,942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,941.82 | 27 | 0%0 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ee…925bbacked Yes | 12c | 4,083$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,606.02 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +145.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…ea5abacked Yes | 77c | 3,770$2,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 68cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 70c | 3,327$2,343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$984.02 | 168 | 33.3%56 W · 112 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x170e…30c2backed Yes | 77c | 3,000$2,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 77cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e3…3853backed No | 24c | 3,000$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed Yes | 50c | 2,877$1,447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,429.63 | 58 | 24.1%14 W · 44 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe268…2feabacked Yes | 74c | 2,789$2,069 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720.19 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…84f5backed Yes | 14c | 2,405$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,058.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.86per pick | 14cpaid | +595.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba01…1ebabacked Yes | 69c | 2,354$1,634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.81 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5308…3221backed Yes | 76c | 2,144$1,623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.29 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80eb…5bfcbacked Yes | 80c | 1,877$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e4…b676backed Yes | 39c | 1,778$694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083.18 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5838…3636backed No | 22c | 1,725$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.59 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x745a…64e8backed No | 29c | 1,705$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.61 | 29 | 6.9%2 W · 27 L | -5.0wins | -0.17per pick | 24cpaid | -80.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0f27…5762backed No | 19c | 1,700$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12b6…9fd7backed No | 23c | 1,515$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.11 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -43%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked No | 21c | 1,402$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.84 | 22 | 4.5%1 W · 21 L | -3.4wins | -0.15per pick | 20cpaid | -81.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x577c…7dd1backed No | 65c | 1,379$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900.24 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2741…0865backed No | 22c | 1,332$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.61 | 42 | 14.3%6 W · 36 L | -4.9wins | -0.12per pick | 26cpaid | -62.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 34c | 1,196$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.66 | 450 | 35.1%158 W · 292 L | -37.8wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x914a…98acbacked Yes | 80c | 1,004$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.32 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 56cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b70…433ebacked No | 23c | 1,000$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc81c…d737backed Yes | 77c | 1,000$771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49fd…0198backed Yes | 67c | 898.31$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.42 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 26cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x964b…53c7backed Yes | 79c | 781.97$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x869a…d4a1backed Yes | 71c | 654.79$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe75c…f6c2backed Yes | 17c | 643.49$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.49 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +480.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e21…c6f4backed Yes | 77c | 599.7$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9156…4ad4backed Yes | 78c | 555.87$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb293…cb90backed No | 20c | 531$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.42 | 55 | 10.9%6 W · 49 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 9cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc22a…8259backed Yes | 80c | 515.05$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.05 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e87…a706backed Yes | 77c | 507.13$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0964…d727backed Yes | 77c | 499.93$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 37c | 473$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.71 | 248 | 61.7%153 W · 95 L | +24.3wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 7c | 458.19$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.08 | 341 | 29.3%100 W · 241 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe36a…7a38backed Yes | 77c | 456.13$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 28c | 452.23$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.79 | 332 | 38.6%128 W · 204 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82a0…33a1backed No | 36c | 424.38$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.98 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5b1…857cbacked Yes | 11c | 420.13$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.89per pick | 11cpaid | +848.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8496…fa6cbacked Yes | 70c | 416.45$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.19 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -49%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed No | 44c | 402.66$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.97 | 154 | 45.5%70 W · 84 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5446…18f6backed Yes | 44c | 394.41$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.09 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc835…9525backed Yes | 75c | 367.63$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdeaf…9232backed Yes | 79c | 344.5$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78b3…34b2backed Yes | 77c | 339.67$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe25c…ae63backed Yes | 77c | 322.64$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8bf…d806backed No | 29c | 305.67$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.71 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfee7…8f5bbacked No | 32c | 304.47$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa38b…d364backed No | 23c | 299.95$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d9…f84bbacked Yes | 8c | 299.83$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.21 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +3.5wins | +0.17per pick | 38cpaid | +63.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 24c | 296$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.57 | 343 | 33.5%115 W · 228 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -30%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…517cbacked Yes | 79c | 283.61$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.64 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa090…035fbacked Yes | 77c | 272.61$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0507…40b8backed Yes | 75c | 267.8$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97c9…c775backed No | 38c | 262.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x997f…be51backed Yes | 76c | 254.1$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc172…a1cabacked Yes | 79c | 253.13$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.41 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +27%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x270a…7b78backed No | 21c | 250$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.91 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 48c | 249$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.21 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -40%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 61c | 242.25$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.68 | 166 | 32.5%54 W · 112 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68d9…00edbacked Yes | 14c | 220$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.05 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +74.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b2f…e17dbacked No | 23c | 211.98$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffdb…411dbacked Yes | 75c | 208.04$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.75 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.23per pick | 65cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ff7…5358backed No | 61c | 205.64$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.75 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b84…dfbbbacked Yes | 76c | 200$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x111f…af00backed Yes | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f62…38fcbacked Yes | 60c | 195.5$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.81 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6697…19aebacked Yes | 73c | 194.61$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x500a…5ef8backed Yes | 77c | 189.29$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8788…dc26backed Yes | 12c | 178.44$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.44 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.30per pick | 32cpaid | +101.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb412…92c2backed Yes | 77c | 169.4$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x260d…9679backed Yes | 11c | 166.28$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.73 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -22%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed No | 37c | 166.02$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.15 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc930…9ed4backed No | 30c | 162.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.6 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…e515backed Yes | 38c | 162$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.76 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafc6…d846backed No | 25c | 158.35$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd863…36d9backed Yes | 71c | 152.05$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x440d…55e6backed No | 52c | 150$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.6 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +425.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3474…0571backed No | 29c | 149.97$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.94 | 48 | 25%12 W · 36 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd517…db4ebacked No | 35c | 148.69$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…9527backed Yes | 76c | 147.99$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.98 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b09…1402backed No | 26c | 147.91$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Yes | 69c | 145.62$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.62 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04a0…eb9ebacked Yes | 77c | 144.72$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2235…d67fbacked Yes | 56c | 143.63$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccae…2568backed Yes | 74c | 143.05$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.52 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x114e…c8d6backed No | 34c | 138.34$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b98…4a44backed No | 31c | 136.78$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5238…656dbacked No | 39c | 133.05$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x668a…59e9backed No | 25c | 132.82$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5997…3605backed Yes | 74c | 132.73$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca6…a05cbacked Yes | 77c | 132.71$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.79 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ashley Moody be appointed as the next Florida senator?this page
- No Marco Rubio replacement as Florida senator?No won
- Will Casey DeSantis be appointed as the next Florida senator?No won
- Will James Fishback be appointed as the next Florida senator?No won
- Will James Uthmeier be appointed as the next Florida senator?No won
- Will Jeanette Nunez be appointed as the next Florida senator?No won
- Will Jose Oliva be appointed as the next Florida senator?No won
- Will Keith Rabois be appointed as the next Florida senator?No won
- Will Lara Trump be appointed as the next Florida senator?No won
- Will Matt Gaetz be appointed as the next Florida senator?No won
- Will Ron DeSantis be appointed as the next Florida senator?No won
- Will Roy Altman be appointed as the next Florida senator?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.