Us Midterms · resolved market
Will James Uthmeier be appointed as the next Florida senator?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5499a5ab497f5ece886831803b72da206283ec8e6816cfe93c40b1cc3ecce874
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $352,290
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $248,340
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $352,290 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6078…3c75backed Yes | 0c | 25,436$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc22b…57ddbacked Yes | 0c | 25,183$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked Yes | 0c | 21,181$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.04 | 132 | 0.8%1 W · 131 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a80…203ebacked Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac73…ecb1backed Yes | 0c | 19,217$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…32bcbacked Yes | 0c | 16,976$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c3d…7c9abacked Yes | 0c | 15,060$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47bb…ae21backed Yes | 0c | 11,942$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79fb…0f4fbacked Yes | 0c | 11,651$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Yes | 1c | 9,184$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.84 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 1c | 3,000$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 44 | 2.3%1 W · 43 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75ac…33d7backed Yes | 4c | 2,702$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.17 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +59.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 3c | 2,029$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.97 | 341 | 29.3%100 W · 241 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed Yes | 13c | 2,007$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.94 | 58 | 24.1%14 W · 44 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a5e…c869backed No | 77c | 1,949$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.91 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x914a…98acbacked Yes | 5c | 1,804$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.56 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 56cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd152…f201backed Yes | 7c | 1,378$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 24c | 1,314$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.27 | 248 | 61.7%153 W · 95 L | +24.3wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x577c…7dd1backed Yes | 12c | 942$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.05 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a25…2fa6backed Yes | 12c | 789.01$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.52 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2459…8d76backed Yes | 7c | 742.03$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.39 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -79.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc3de…e227backed Yes | 9c | 629.94$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.01 | 74 | 25.7%19 W · 55 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8d…5a27backed Yes | 5c | 598.26$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.77 | 29 | 6.9%2 W · 27 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61ea…d0c1backed Yes | 28c | 565.43$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.31 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc6…62e0backed Yes | 23c | 521.39$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.92 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 31cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ca…053cbacked Yes | 2c | 500$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc930…9ed4backed Yes | 5c | 500$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x777f…a1bbbacked Yes | 29c | 452.59$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.24 | 53 | 26.4%14 W · 39 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18a7…d21abacked Yes | 5c | 443$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.54 | 39 | 5.1%2 W · 37 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x926a…a59abacked Yes | 27c | 373.95$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe077…8ee3backed Yes | 6c | 360.27$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.49 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.15per pick | 10cpaid | +93.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb293…cb90backed Yes | 5c | 333.78$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.46 | 55 | 10.9%6 W · 49 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 9cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 16c | 273.05$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.56 | 168 | 33.3%56 W · 112 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x258b…c632backed Yes | 8c | 239.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 42cpaid | +65.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c7b…d06fbacked Yes | 24c | 226.24$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.84 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82a0…33a1backed No | 74c | 210$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.5 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x946f…6a27backed Yes | 14c | 200$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed No | 73c | 199.99$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.66 | 81 | 33.3%27 W · 54 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x341c…8eaebacked Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec8…d41dbacked No | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7563…7cf1backed Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73f7…b51dbacked No | 73c | 68.16$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa74…6bcbbacked No | 73c | 62.22$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Yes | 23c | 62$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3978…2f24backed No | 72c | 49.17$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.01 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 76c | 43.07$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.33 | 450 | 35.1%158 W · 292 L | -37.8wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0f…3f80backed No | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 77cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will James Uthmeier be appointed as the next Florida senator?this page
- No Marco Rubio replacement as Florida senator?No won
- Will Ashley Moody be appointed as the next Florida senator?Yes won
- Will Casey DeSantis be appointed as the next Florida senator?No won
- Will James Fishback be appointed as the next Florida senator?No won
- Will Jeanette Nunez be appointed as the next Florida senator?No won
- Will Jose Oliva be appointed as the next Florida senator?No won
- Will Keith Rabois be appointed as the next Florida senator?No won
- Will Lara Trump be appointed as the next Florida senator?No won
- Will Matt Gaetz be appointed as the next Florida senator?No won
- Will Ron DeSantis be appointed as the next Florida senator?No won
- Will Roy Altman be appointed as the next Florida senator?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.