Us Midterms · resolved market
Will Keith Rabois be appointed as the next Florida senator?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa6b3d50d6d1b60296fcf781134fb363ce9c6fe39f47fb03131b7d8af259fce66
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,989,667
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,742,636
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,989,667 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,519 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6236…229dbacked Yes | 1c | 118,202$1,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,182.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb902…c4f5backed Yes | 1c | 115,274$1,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,152.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f6d…6706backed Yes | 1c | 110,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa879…b9f3backed Yes | 1c | 108,628$1,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,086.28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c69…1b37backed Yes | 1c | 104,412$1,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,044.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c3c…44f6backed Yes | 1c | 103,520$1,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,048.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e3e…ad9dbacked Yes | 1c | 100,973$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,009.73 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2120…bf6ebacked Yes | 1c | 99,910$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f9…c27dbacked Yes | 1c | 99,131$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3392…061cbacked Yes | 1c | 99,072$991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81ea…93b7backed Yes | 1c | 98,183$982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$981.83 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6f…b15bbacked Yes | 1c | 98,121$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea5b…9c55backed Yes | 1c | 98,048$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$989.56 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf190…0b27backed Yes | 1c | 97,237$972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$972.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84c8…ada4backed Yes | 1c | 95,991$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3df…1d15backed Yes | 1c | 95,692$957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$956.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39b6…a2e7backed Yes | 1c | 95,346$953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$953.46 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x602b…3684backed Yes | 1c | 93,534$935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$935.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x515f…919cbacked Yes | 1c | 92,784$928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$927.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ad2…ce0abacked Yes | 1c | 92,169$931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930.78 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc45…b76fbacked Yes | 1c | 91,130$911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$911.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3340…ada0backed Yes | 1c | 90,690$907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$906.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…2538backed Yes | 1c | 90,045$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900.45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x854e…d589backed Yes | 1c | 89,861$899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$898.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd488…ec85backed Yes | 1c | 89,661$897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$896.61 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2f…5912backed Yes | 1c | 89,544$895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$895.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecbf…2900backed Yes | 1c | 89,452$895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$894.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x997d…0311backed Yes | 1c | 89,135$891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$891.35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x686f…904ebacked Yes | 1c | 89,124$891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$891.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce6…6e0dbacked Yes | 1c | 89,072$891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$890.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7503…ab9abacked Yes | 1c | 89,027$890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$890.27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76a2…b317backed Yes | 1c | 88,986$890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$889.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5737…abaebacked Yes | 1c | 85,877$895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$894.69 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13e0…c471backed Yes | 1c | 84,585$846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$845.85 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8aba…992fbacked Yes | 1c | 83,642$846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$845.51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e86…4cf5backed Yes | 1c | 83,557$836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$835.57 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x686b…eb8fbacked Yes | 1c | 82,150$835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$834.74 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeacd…3a66backed Yes | 1c | 80,136$801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$801.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf49e…09a1backed Yes | 1c | 80,088$801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba7…deb1backed Yes | 1c | 80,056$801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1073…e9d0backed Yes | 1c | 79,984$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61e1…04dfbacked Yes | 1c | 79,936$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf594…6bfbbacked Yes | 1c | 79,584$796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b71…f028backed Yes | 1c | 79,325$793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$793.23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f55…db48backed Yes | 1c | 79,196$717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed83…0bfdbacked Yes | 1c | 79,099$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x702f…a3e3backed Yes | 1c | 79,016$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6860…081cbacked Yes | 1c | 78,814$788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$788.14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde15…9bb0backed Yes | 1c | 78,803$788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$788.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc1…910dbacked Yes | 1c | 78,685$796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc22c…bac2backed Yes | 1c | 78,629$786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$786.29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcebd…a9e1backed Yes | 1c | 78,372$784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$783.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe65b…9e6cbacked Yes | 1c | 78,334$797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$796.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a03…9de5backed Yes | 1c | 76,940$692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$692.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x548f…32e3backed Yes | 1c | 76,853$782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$781.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf93d…f0a4backed Yes | 1c | 75,040$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fcc…4d07backed Yes | 1c | 74,627$746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$746.27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73d3…4085backed Yes | 1c | 74,399$753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$753.07 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20d2…950abacked Yes | 1c | 74,082$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666.74 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c1…e219backed Yes | 1c | 73,496$744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x024d…828abacked Yes | 1c | 73,446$734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$734.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef7…eef8backed Yes | 1c | 73,374$743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$742.83 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf862…e6cabacked Yes | 1c | 73,149$741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740.59 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fa4…6710backed Yes | 1c | 73,144$731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$731.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb7a…7b9abacked Yes | 1c | 72,882$729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728.82 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cde…11d8backed Yes | 1c | 72,728$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$654.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x585a…3391backed Yes | 1c | 72,606$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58f2…d3fdbacked Yes | 1c | 72,381$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$651.43 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1855…d8a9backed Yes | 1c | 71,827$718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$718.27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x057c…730fbacked Yes | 1c | 70,294$703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$702.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5629…f058backed Yes | 1c | 69,938$699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeebe…a52abacked Yes | 1c | 69,938$699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0da4…7ec0backed Yes | 1c | 69,456$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a7…a6efbacked Yes | 1c | 69,359$694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$693.59 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca17…3153backed Yes | 1c | 69,153$701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.62 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3af3…0b5ebacked Yes | 1c | 69,061$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4740…21a1backed Yes | 1c | 69,036$699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.44 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56c4…85d3backed Yes | 1c | 68,787$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x837e…951cbacked Yes | 1c | 68,547$685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$685.47 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3349…e1ebbacked Yes | 1c | 68,528$685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$685.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0722…3920backed Yes | 1c | 68,474$685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684.74 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06c1…4b84backed Yes | 1c | 67,851$679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$678.51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90a4…6d27backed Yes | 1c | 67,349$673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$673.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8312…b0f3backed Yes | 1c | 67,320$691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$691.37 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c6b…a019backed Yes | 1c | 67,120$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x363a…234bbacked Yes | 1c | 65,521$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87a7…cbe0backed Yes | 1c | 65,513$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36e4…7a92backed Yes | 1c | 65,169$652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$651.69 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb2…fcb4backed Yes | 1c | 65,049$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35bb…80cabacked Yes | 1c | 64,633$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646.33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7086…a9bebacked Yes | 1c | 64,549$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86f8…2b23backed Yes | 1c | 64,498$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80e7…4499backed Yes | 1c | 64,405$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d86…8c87backed Yes | 1c | 64,270$656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656.48 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4a6…9d0ebacked Yes | 1c | 63,863$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638.63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98b3…7f0abacked Yes | 1c | 63,838$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638.38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1322…fb4bbacked Yes | 1c | 63,761$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646.7 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae4e…cfe5backed Yes | 1c | 63,586$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fc…f4cbbacked Yes | 1c | 63,573$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635.73 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c30…eb88backed Yes | 1c | 63,538$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635.38 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Keith Rabois be appointed as the next Florida senator?this page
- No Marco Rubio replacement as Florida senator?No won
- Will Ashley Moody be appointed as the next Florida senator?Yes won
- Will Casey DeSantis be appointed as the next Florida senator?No won
- Will James Fishback be appointed as the next Florida senator?No won
- Will James Uthmeier be appointed as the next Florida senator?No won
- Will Jeanette Nunez be appointed as the next Florida senator?No won
- Will Jose Oliva be appointed as the next Florida senator?No won
- Will Lara Trump be appointed as the next Florida senator?No won
- Will Matt Gaetz be appointed as the next Florida senator?No won
- Will Ron DeSantis be appointed as the next Florida senator?No won
- Will Roy Altman be appointed as the next Florida senator?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.