Us Midterms · resolved market
Will Jose Oliva be appointed as the next Florida senator?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe8b8c64c93d1fcc39e060a3cf7e32d7fbaae75597979074f83b8d75107064996
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,195,691
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $821,802
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,195,691 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 541 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6430…d72bbacked Yes | 0c | 29,569$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked Yes | 0c | 26,953$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 132 | 0.8%1 W · 131 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2941…f7b6backed Yes | 2c | 25,118$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.95 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f4…0c73backed Yes | 2c | 24,223$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.46 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2066…4138backed Yes | 0c | 24,132$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf1…8d04backed Yes | 2c | 20,272$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.18 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…3338backed Yes | 2c | 20,012$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.24 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd504…7982backed Yes | 2c | 19,925$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.49 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1023…43c7backed Yes | 2c | 19,365$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.3 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x040a…92b1backed Yes | 2c | 16,575$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x503f…449bbacked Yes | 0c | 16,385$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x477d…1d4abacked Yes | 0c | 15,330$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6170…2afabacked Yes | 2c | 15,081$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.58 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1941…a5bebacked Yes | 2c | 15,030$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.57 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5c0…1da6backed Yes | 2c | 15,017$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.21 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x546f…5d1bbacked Yes | 2c | 15,016$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.31 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebaa…1fafbacked Yes | 2c | 15,001$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.02 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4ad…f5c4backed Yes | 2c | 14,998$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.95 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe164…f5dbbacked Yes | 2c | 14,993$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.85 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c25…9ca6backed Yes | 2c | 14,990$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.79 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fdc…4bc8backed Yes | 2c | 14,987$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.73 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4895…ce99backed Yes | 2c | 14,987$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.73 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2768…70b9backed Yes | 2c | 14,987$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.73 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1055…ad2fbacked Yes | 2c | 14,868$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.36 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd28b…e704backed Yes | 2c | 14,665$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.29 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9686…218abacked Yes | 2c | 14,662$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.21 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd76b…f73cbacked Yes | 2c | 14,602$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.03 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0a…bf3dbacked Yes | 2c | 14,512$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.23 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4a5…05f6backed Yes | 0c | 13,570$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb464…cd92backed Yes | 2c | 11,779$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.57 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e72…9fb4backed Yes | 0c | 10,976$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 1c | 10,259$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.02 | 44 | 2.3%1 W · 43 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3b1…1a55backed Yes | 2c | 10,215$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.28 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x903c…e931backed Yes | 2c | 10,131$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.62 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0c…f727backed Yes | 2c | 10,120$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.4 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc06c…c407backed Yes | 2c | 10,073$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.46 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce29…ccdbbacked Yes | 2c | 10,060$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.11 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x263e…be50backed Yes | 2c | 10,031$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.61 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbae…e1b4backed Yes | 2c | 10,016$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.32 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ca…0406backed Yes | 2c | 10,013$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.26 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf386…e81abacked Yes | 2c | 10,011$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.21 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79eb…0849backed Yes | 2c | 10,003$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.05 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43e7…38cdbacked Yes | 2c | 10,003$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.05 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b75…987fbacked Yes | 2c | 10,003$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.06 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba84…a62abacked Yes | 2c | 10,001$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.02 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8917…036dbacked Yes | 0c | 9,995$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb316…47ecbacked Yes | 2c | 9,994$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.88 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7d…0bbebacked Yes | 2c | 9,992$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.84 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2342…4608backed Yes | 2c | 9,992$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.84 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6331…166cbacked Yes | 2c | 9,992$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.84 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83c3…79c1backed Yes | 2c | 9,992$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.84 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f6d…843abacked Yes | 2c | 9,992$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.84 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f47…d4f8backed Yes | 2c | 9,991$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.82 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcda…dc7cbacked Yes | 2c | 9,991$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.82 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x062b…cac8backed Yes | 2c | 9,991$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.82 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1cd…f9b9backed Yes | 2c | 9,991$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.82 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34d7…5304backed Yes | 2c | 9,991$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.82 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4665…0cffbacked Yes | 2c | 9,991$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.82 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf01…0469backed Yes | 2c | 9,991$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.82 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e56…2713backed Yes | 2c | 9,991$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.82 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65ff…8355backed Yes | 2c | 9,991$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.82 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e83…9f11backed Yes | 2c | 9,991$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.82 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x839c…1ffcbacked Yes | 2c | 9,991$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.82 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22e4…17eabacked Yes | 2c | 9,991$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.82 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd26…0f32backed Yes | 2c | 9,962$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.24 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81a…64ffbacked Yes | 2c | 9,948$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.96 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e9…cbfcbacked Yes | 2c | 9,914$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff26…010fbacked Yes | 2c | 9,912$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3710…18cbbacked Yes | 2c | 9,897$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.93 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f1e…c002backed Yes | 2c | 9,821$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.41 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc1…45f5backed Yes | 2c | 9,815$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.18 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d36…e645backed Yes | 2c | 9,796$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.91 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa2d…4e2abacked Yes | 2c | 9,717$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.33 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe441…04f8backed Yes | 2c | 9,704$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.07 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x927e…c915backed Yes | 2c | 9,658$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.1 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f32…55d7backed Yes | 2c | 9,631$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca8…b532backed Yes | 2c | 9,613$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.26 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc402…6625backed Yes | 2c | 9,545$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.9 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf72…76f0backed Yes | 2c | 9,500$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd4a…3effbacked Yes | 2c | 9,493$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.85 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c39…1adebacked Yes | 2c | 9,470$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8927…6525backed Yes | 2c | 9,442$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.84 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a47…971abacked Yes | 2c | 9,428$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4c…766dbacked Yes | 2c | 9,352$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.04 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc1…bd47backed Yes | 2c | 9,350$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.99 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b55…cde3backed Yes | 1c | 9,161$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.23 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x083e…5b3fbacked Yes | 2c | 9,109$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.18 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbed2…f091backed Yes | 2c | 9,065$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.29 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4160…edffbacked Yes | 2c | 8,902$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.03 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeacd…3a66backed Yes | 2c | 8,460$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4af4…346ebacked Yes | 2c | 8,276$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.42 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x103c…4bb2backed Yes | 2c | 8,131$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.61 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa072…00b5backed Yes | 2c | 8,092$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.81 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x561d…033cbacked Yes | 2c | 7,860$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.2 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x049b…a206backed Yes | 2c | 7,817$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.34 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8c…5143backed Yes | 2c | 7,087$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.57 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26c9…b743backed Yes | 2c | 7,084$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.53 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b5…2786backed Yes | 2c | 7,031$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.61 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca01…dbf4backed Yes | 2c | 6,834$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.66 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa100…2c1fbacked Yes | 2c | 6,783$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.64 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Jose Oliva be appointed as the next Florida senator?this page
- No Marco Rubio replacement as Florida senator?No won
- Will Ashley Moody be appointed as the next Florida senator?Yes won
- Will Casey DeSantis be appointed as the next Florida senator?No won
- Will James Fishback be appointed as the next Florida senator?No won
- Will James Uthmeier be appointed as the next Florida senator?No won
- Will Jeanette Nunez be appointed as the next Florida senator?No won
- Will Keith Rabois be appointed as the next Florida senator?No won
- Will Lara Trump be appointed as the next Florida senator?No won
- Will Matt Gaetz be appointed as the next Florida senator?No won
- Will Ron DeSantis be appointed as the next Florida senator?No won
- Will Roy Altman be appointed as the next Florida senator?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.