Us Midterms · resolved market
Will Casey DeSantis be appointed as the next Florida senator?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x32647079f2d533253ba9c24d421f828d83bd0b61d5a791091cdafe71fe7abd2c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,260,006
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $920,062
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,260,006 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 380 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x44db…b5a5backed Yes | 2c | 29,769$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.31 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb791…e9f8backed Yes | 0c | 25,729$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d1a…fe8bbacked Yes | 2c | 25,028$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.44 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8272…014cbacked Yes | 2c | 25,006$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.09 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0469…d29cbacked Yes | 2c | 24,995$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.92 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43e7…38cdbacked Yes | 2c | 24,983$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.72 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0a…bf3dbacked Yes | 2c | 24,814$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.02 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1db7…0b56backed Yes | 2c | 24,746$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.93 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92f4…ace9backed Yes | 2c | 24,543$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.68 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5fe…1e47backed Yes | 2c | 24,528$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.44 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac6c…292ebacked Yes | 2c | 24,356$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.7 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d45…95efbacked Yes | 2c | 24,306$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.9 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4ad…f5c4backed Yes | 2c | 24,305$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.88 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c46…4e3cbacked Yes | 2c | 23,933$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.92 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc46c…b499backed Yes | 2c | 18,795$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.72 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f1a…63e9backed Yes | 2c | 18,756$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.09 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x978f…bbc8backed Yes | 2c | 18,752$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.03 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac9e…6d29backed Yes | 2c | 18,749$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9686…218abacked Yes | 2c | 18,737$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.79 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7612…a442backed Yes | 2c | 18,735$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.76 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2430…3b96backed Yes | 2c | 18,735$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.76 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca8…b532backed Yes | 2c | 18,733$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.73 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe11c…7721backed Yes | 2c | 18,733$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.73 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ce…7221backed Yes | 2c | 18,728$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.65 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f98…f6fcbacked Yes | 2c | 18,727$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.63 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef4d…4802backed Yes | 2c | 18,695$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.12 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc385…3771backed Yes | 2c | 18,692$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.07 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8d8…dd8ebacked Yes | 2c | 18,686$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.97 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8411…d95abacked Yes | 2c | 18,643$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.29 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf218…1dcbbacked Yes | 2c | 18,606$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.7 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x546f…5d1bbacked Yes | 2c | 18,554$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.86 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8927…6525backed Yes | 2c | 18,508$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.13 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42d1…bb36backed Yes | 2c | 18,463$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.41 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1516…6335backed Yes | 2c | 18,444$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.11 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x062b…cac8backed Yes | 2c | 18,406$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.49 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2eaf…897fbacked Yes | 0c | 18,389$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe53f…681bbacked Yes | 2c | 18,378$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.05 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1701…efffbacked Yes | 2c | 18,328$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.24 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71a8…087bbacked Yes | 2c | 18,289$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.63 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe64b…a955backed Yes | 2c | 18,283$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.52 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0c1…5995backed Yes | 2c | 18,217$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.47 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf7…5a45backed Yes | 2c | 18,217$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.47 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b75…987fbacked Yes | 2c | 18,171$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.74 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…3dd8backed Yes | 2c | 18,163$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82d6…903bbacked Yes | 2c | 18,144$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f1e…c002backed Yes | 2c | 18,115$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.84 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbed2…f091backed Yes | 2c | 18,094$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.48 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa486…dd0fbacked Yes | 2c | 18,049$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.79 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2b…0775backed Yes | 2c | 17,994$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.91 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9f…d8f8backed Yes | 2c | 17,766$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.26 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0177…0142backed Yes | 2c | 17,643$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.29 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5244…9ff4backed Yes | 2c | 17,632$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.11 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60d…754bbacked Yes | 2c | 17,383$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.13 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fd2…077fbacked Yes | 2c | 17,261$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.17 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fdc…4bc8backed Yes | 2c | 17,186$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.98 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26f3…9880backed Yes | 2c | 17,116$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.86 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd729…2cf1backed Yes | 2c | 17,044$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.7 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbcbb…fb1fbacked Yes | 2c | 16,959$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.35 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x109c…a4f7backed Yes | 2c | 16,941$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.05 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f81…d34ebacked Yes | 2c | 16,811$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.97 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe066…eae7backed Yes | 2c | 16,523$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.37 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe29b…ab20backed Yes | 2c | 16,376$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.01 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae44…4289backed Yes | 0c | 14,770$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked Yes | 0c | 14,685$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.65 | 132 | 0.8%1 W · 131 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x562c…2456backed Yes | 2c | 12,643$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.27 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b48…ed9bbacked Yes | 2c | 12,608$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.72 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52f9…b2c9backed Yes | 2c | 12,591$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.46 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc06c…c407backed Yes | 2c | 12,591$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.46 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf6…1f4dbacked Yes | 2c | 12,550$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe28…4b8cbacked Yes | 2c | 12,545$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.72 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18f0…6a7ebacked Yes | 2c | 12,526$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72d6…709bbacked Yes | 2c | 12,526$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.42 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf386…e81abacked Yes | 2c | 12,513$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.21 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebaa…1fafbacked Yes | 2c | 12,511$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.18 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…3338backed Yes | 2c | 12,508$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.12 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c2e…f786backed Yes | 2c | 12,506$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.1 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82ec…7ec3backed Yes | 2c | 12,506$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.1 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67c6…4fc0backed Yes | 2c | 12,505$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.08 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9787…454cbacked Yes | 2c | 12,504$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.06 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a7…6af1backed Yes | 2c | 12,500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d23…8f0ebacked Yes | 2c | 12,500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f2…719bbacked Yes | 2c | 12,494$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.9 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4bf…8cfcbacked Yes | 2c | 12,494$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.9 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a13…0e8bbacked Yes | 2c | 12,491$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.86 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb316…47ecbacked Yes | 2c | 12,491$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.86 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3237…98bebacked Yes | 2c | 12,490$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.84 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dba…fe4bbacked Yes | 2c | 12,490$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.84 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3b1…1a55backed Yes | 2c | 12,490$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.84 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc61…af70backed Yes | 2c | 12,489$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.82 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd0…a8eebacked Yes | 2c | 12,489$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.82 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc794…47d6backed Yes | 2c | 12,489$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.82 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4328…b7dcbacked Yes | 2c | 12,489$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.82 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x968a…5fc6backed Yes | 2c | 12,489$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.82 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12f1…0f5dbacked Yes | 2c | 12,489$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.82 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6138…93c0backed Yes | 2c | 12,489$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.82 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca01…dbf4backed Yes | 2c | 12,489$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.82 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x164d…a2abbacked Yes | 2c | 12,489$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.82 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x744c…4f7ebacked Yes | 2c | 12,489$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.82 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cce…c0afbacked Yes | 2c | 12,489$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.82 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4c…766dbacked Yes | 2c | 12,484$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.74 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Casey DeSantis be appointed as the next Florida senator?this page
- No Marco Rubio replacement as Florida senator?No won
- Will Ashley Moody be appointed as the next Florida senator?Yes won
- Will James Fishback be appointed as the next Florida senator?No won
- Will James Uthmeier be appointed as the next Florida senator?No won
- Will Jeanette Nunez be appointed as the next Florida senator?No won
- Will Jose Oliva be appointed as the next Florida senator?No won
- Will Keith Rabois be appointed as the next Florida senator?No won
- Will Lara Trump be appointed as the next Florida senator?No won
- Will Matt Gaetz be appointed as the next Florida senator?No won
- Will Ron DeSantis be appointed as the next Florida senator?No won
- Will Roy Altman be appointed as the next Florida senator?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.