NFL · resolved market
Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers make the 2024-25 NFL Playoffs?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0ccd4ed20f2ceb216508d5b17de1b959cfac6cb39d2dc7e50b5e73c0ffbf3d4a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $110,812
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $117,946
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $110,812 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2b51…e165backed Yes | 53c | 15,520$8,298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,222.2 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c0…3f84backed No | 67c | 11,621$7,796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,795.8 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53d2…0c3fbacked No | 6c | 10,934$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646.1 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed No | 7c | 7,463$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.3 | 224 | 34.4%77 W · 147 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked No | 10c | 5,856$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.41 | 247 | 38.1%94 W · 153 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd039…2532backed No | 7c | 4,922$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.11 | 77 | 32.5%25 W · 52 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0298…93c4backed No | 8c | 4,450$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.05 | 283 | 37.8%107 W · 176 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2214…5968backed No | 5c | 3,995$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.75 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…6af8backed Yes | 57c | 2,501$1,421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,079.87 | 125 | 70.4%88 W · 37 L | +12.8wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc2ae…2a5fbacked No | 68c | 2,000$1,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,359.99 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 10c | 1,498$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.21 | 268 | 30.6%82 W · 186 L | -29.2wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 65c | 1,274$829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$828.85 | 415 | 40.2%167 W · 248 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Yes | 33c | 1,267$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$849.02 | 196 | 38.8%76 W · 120 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a5e…c869backed No | 42c | 1,072$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.64 | 117 | 38.5%45 W · 72 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd0…bc3dbacked Yes | 69c | 608.76$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.52 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd16…a2cdbacked No | 69c | 600$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.63 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -50%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x768f…d08cbacked No | 68c | 600$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -4.4wins | -0.27per pick | 46cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed No | 72c | 500$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 120 | 22.5%27 W · 93 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf0…1179backed No | 73c | 449.52$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.15 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3987…621ebacked No | 7c | 300$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x745a…64e8backed No | 6c | 299.55$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.41 | 71 | 23.9%17 W · 54 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a0f…4cbdbacked No | 9c | 277.78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 41 | 9.8%4 W · 37 L | -4.4wins | -0.11per pick | 21cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Yes | 27c | 225.46$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.03 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc93a…d30dbacked Yes | 58c | 220.19$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.46 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +23%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed Yes | 33c | 200$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134 | 87 | 60.9%53 W · 34 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45cc…6400backed No | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a9…b414backed No | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06a2…0acbbacked Yes | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 284 | 33.1%94 W · 190 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f9…ed12backed No | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef94…502ebacked Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +4.4wins | +0.15per pick | 23cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9227…67abbacked No | 26c | 72$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.82 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe847…a707backed No | 31c | 66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed No | 45c | 60$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f3…c46bbacked No | 31c | 55$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08f5…f630backed Yes | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.35 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8431…039fbacked Yes | 80c | 54$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef34…1d61backed No | 72c | 53.4$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.7 | 141 | 58.9%83 W · 58 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc442…35babacked No | 27c | 50.37$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x359e…abb3backed Yes | 68c | 48.89$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee4b…40ecbacked Yes | 76c | 47.32$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2879…7986backed No | 27c | 46.01$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa745…2248backed Yes | 72c | 43.25$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd22…9ef1backed No | 59c | 40.7$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.81 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +4.2wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +135.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x438e…9704backed Yes | 47c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.2 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x415c…3c94backed No | 29c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.69 | 49 | 26.5%13 W · 36 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x754a…197fbacked No | 27c | 39$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.38 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb37f…2a9bbacked Yes | 72c | 39$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.05 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf737…a8babacked No | 27c | 38.43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6684…d674backed Yes | 73c | 37.59$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.02 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c6b…a82ebacked Yes | 62c | 36$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.68 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x173f…3756backed Yes | 62c | 36$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…abf4backed Yes | 67c | 32$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +63.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd33a…7576backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -37%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0750…bde5backed Yes | 72c | 27.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…f7bcbacked Yes | 73c | 27.59$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.45 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x336b…eb49backed Yes | 78c | 26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.72 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdff…d544backed No | 44c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe21f…5a1fbacked Yes | 72c | 24.55$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa937…9a71backed Yes | 73c | 23.7$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b3…3b32backed Yes | 58c | 22.3$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdc7…bfd1backed Yes | 73c | 21.7$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3af6…2304backed Yes | 79c | 21$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.41 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +62.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe87a…6d01backed No | 55c | 20.7$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.39 | 64 | 28.1%18 W · 46 L | -12.6wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xfe91…70ffbacked No | 67c | 20.61$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.81 | 137 | 51.8%71 W · 66 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5bf…4834backed Yes | 72c | 20.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.73 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed Yes | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | -10.4wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x440d…55e6backed No | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e1c…c1d0backed Yes | 73c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.13 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 59cpaid | +82.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x433d…61c1backed Yes | 66c | 19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.46 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3071…9b21backed Yes | 73c | 18.27$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41de…d958backed Yes | 67c | 17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f87…cc5cbacked Yes | 73c | 16.37$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.42 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa80e…46fcbacked Yes | 73c | 13.9$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers make the 2024-25 NFL Playoffs?this page
- Will the Arizona Cardinals make the 2024-25 NFL Playoffs?No won
- Will the Atlanta Falcons make the 2024-25 NFL Playoffs?No won
- Will the Baltimore Ravens make the 2024-25 NFL Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Buffalo Bills make the 2024-25 NFL Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Chicago Bears make the 2024-25 NFL Playoffs?No won
- Will the Cincinnati Bengals make the 2024-25 NFL Playoffs?No won
- Will the Dallas Cowboys make the 2024-25 NFL Playoffs?No won
- Will the Denver Broncos make the 2024-25 NFL Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Detroit Lions make the 2024-25 NFL Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Green Bay Packers make the 2024-25 NFL Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Houston Texans make the 2024-25 NFL Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Indianapolis Colts make the 2024-25 NFL Playoffs?No won
- Will the Kansas City Chiefs make the 2024-25 NFL Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Los Angeles Chargers make the 2024-25 NFL Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Los Angeles Rams make the 2024-25 NFL Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Miami Dolphins make the 2024-25 NFL Playoffs?No won
- Will the Minnesota Vikings make the 2024-25 NFL Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the New York Jets make the 2024-25 NFL Playoffs?No won
- Will the Philadelphia Eagles make the 2024-25 NFL Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Pittsburgh Steelers make the 2024-25 NFL Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the San Francisco 49ers make the 2024-25 NFL Playoffs?No won
- Will the Seattle Seahawks make the 2024-25 NFL Playoffs?No won
- Will the Washington Commanders make the 2024-25 NFL Playoffs?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.