NFL · resolved market
Will the Seattle Seahawks make the 2024-25 NFL Playoffs?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe818ca4665509d0e3cfeb4c6ffc3d5127e8208a79e923470c5c0cc2d58629e91
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,757
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,101
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,757 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0b0c…935dbacked Yes | 6c | 22,075$1,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,225.2 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a5e…c869backed No | 57c | 4,339$2,463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,876.18 | 117 | 38.5%45 W · 72 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…6af8backed Yes | 43c | 4,187$1,817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,817.2 | 125 | 70.4%88 W · 37 L | +12.8wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked Yes | 2c | 2,897$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.88 | 324 | 38%123 W · 201 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed Yes | 12c | 2,822$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.42 | 180 | 9.4%17 W · 163 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21f9…ed12backed Yes | 14c | 2,302$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.82 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed Yes | 12c | 1,295$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.85 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb35b…fc08backed Yes | 12c | 1,000$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 178 | 23%41 W · 137 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf0…1179backed No | 62c | 500$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.1 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c0…3f84backed Yes | 38c | 490$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.2 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed No | 49c | 310$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.59 | 224 | 34.4%77 W · 147 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06a2…0acbbacked Yes | 32c | 300$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 284 | 33.1%94 W · 190 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2137…0677backed Yes | 10c | 256$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.87 | 204 | 40.7%83 W · 121 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -17%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 5c | 250$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 528 | 28.6%151 W · 377 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 64c | 234.96$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.16 | 415 | 40.2%167 W · 248 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x754a…197fbacked Yes | 50c | 146$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.68 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Yes | 29c | 142.12$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.77 | 120 | 31.7%38 W · 82 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x336b…eb49backed Yes | 43c | 132$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.88 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3af6…2304backed No | 51c | 123$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.86 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +62.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9227…67abbacked No | 55c | 113$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.38 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8661…0e14backed Yes | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3978…2f24backed Yes | 25c | 103.86$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.25 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb25…0e5bbacked Yes | 14c | 100.71$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x173f…3756backed Yes | 40c | 95$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c6b…a82ebacked No | 50c | 90$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8431…039fbacked Yes | 51c | 90$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.48 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f41…83f5backed No | 52c | 74.36$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.01 | 153 | 32%49 W · 104 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Yes | 42c | 70$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 196 | 38.8%76 W · 120 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef94…502ebacked Yes | 42c | 70$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +4.4wins | +0.15per pick | 23cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1da2…583dbacked Yes | 54c | 69$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d03…1129backed No | 51c | 64$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e5…e5bfbacked Yes | 59c | 64$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x359e…abb3backed Yes | 51c | 55.85$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18bb…2b28backed Yes | 51c | 51.39$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…f7bcbacked No | 50c | 44$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.22 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef34…1d61backed No | 73c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.7 | 141 | 58.9%83 W · 58 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e6e…e47fbacked No | 42c | 39.93$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +135.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6684…d674backed Yes | 51c | 38.05$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.41 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb37f…2a9bbacked No | 49c | 37.95$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.35 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac5e…1109backed No | 46c | 37$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb541…51babacked No | 49c | 36.21$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc442…35babacked No | 49c | 36.1$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f0…982bbacked Yes | 51c | 35.63$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…7ae8backed Yes | 51c | 34.07$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe847…a707backed No | 42c | 34$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.74 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d76…7b7cbacked No | 46c | 34$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +116.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…abf4backed No | 56c | 32$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.98 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +63.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5bf…4834backed Yes | 51c | 31.67$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf92…6b49backed No | 49c | 30.84$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd757…94aabacked Yes | 65c | 29$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.86 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x731e…f3d8backed No | 42c | 26.65$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +139.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd98f…8d40backed No | 49c | 26.46$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb60b…e570backed Yes | 51c | 26.15$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -30%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x433d…61c1backed Yes | 51c | 26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81cc…a167backed No | 49c | 26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f87…cc5cbacked No | 50c | 26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeff5…ad18backed Yes | 51c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61df…f7e7backed No | 49c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a9b…cd85backed Yes | 51c | 24.77$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc6a…a737backed No | 50c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2c…4758backed Yes | 51c | 23.64$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7082…8493backed Yes | 51c | 23.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02a0…359fbacked No | 49c | 23.07$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e1c…c1d0backed No | 44c | 23$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 59cpaid | +82.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbdc7…bfd1backed Yes | 51c | 23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3944…bd67backed No | 49c | 22.89$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a7b…455dbacked No | 49c | 22.88$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53a1…7b71backed No | 49c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb81b…f580backed No | 49c | 21.92$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e1…bd17backed No | 49c | 21.76$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7729…7935backed Yes | 51c | 21.49$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd22…9ef1backed No | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +4.2wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +135.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Seattle Seahawks make the 2024-25 NFL Playoffs?this page
- Will the Arizona Cardinals make the 2024-25 NFL Playoffs?No won
- Will the Atlanta Falcons make the 2024-25 NFL Playoffs?No won
- Will the Baltimore Ravens make the 2024-25 NFL Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Buffalo Bills make the 2024-25 NFL Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Chicago Bears make the 2024-25 NFL Playoffs?No won
- Will the Cincinnati Bengals make the 2024-25 NFL Playoffs?No won
- Will the Dallas Cowboys make the 2024-25 NFL Playoffs?No won
- Will the Denver Broncos make the 2024-25 NFL Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Detroit Lions make the 2024-25 NFL Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Green Bay Packers make the 2024-25 NFL Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Houston Texans make the 2024-25 NFL Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Indianapolis Colts make the 2024-25 NFL Playoffs?No won
- Will the Kansas City Chiefs make the 2024-25 NFL Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Los Angeles Chargers make the 2024-25 NFL Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Los Angeles Rams make the 2024-25 NFL Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Miami Dolphins make the 2024-25 NFL Playoffs?No won
- Will the Minnesota Vikings make the 2024-25 NFL Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the New York Jets make the 2024-25 NFL Playoffs?No won
- Will the Philadelphia Eagles make the 2024-25 NFL Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Pittsburgh Steelers make the 2024-25 NFL Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the San Francisco 49ers make the 2024-25 NFL Playoffs?No won
- Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers make the 2024-25 NFL Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Washington Commanders make the 2024-25 NFL Playoffs?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.