NFL · resolved market
Will the Denver Broncos make the 2024-25 NFL Playoffs?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcaf89ad3342df187b9774bb8d8e74ef43446c5809d4347359293ccc7e34ae9c7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $108,345
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $108,287
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $108,345 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x45d9…f84bbacked Yes | 55c | 19,438$10,624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,814.5 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53d2…0c3fbacked No | 23c | 7,742$1,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,780.03 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe91…70ffbacked No | 57c | 7,040$4,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,001.86 | 137 | 51.8%71 W · 66 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked No | 29c | 6,127$1,791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,790.99 | 247 | 38.1%94 W · 153 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…6af8backed Yes | 75c | 5,020$3,764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,255.8 | 125 | 70.4%88 W · 37 L | +12.8wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2214…5968backed No | 13c | 4,335$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.13 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed No | 44c | 4,090$1,792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,792.13 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 49c | 4,011$1,968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,968.31 | 415 | 40.2%167 W · 248 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed No | 61c | 2,479$1,504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,503.56 | 120 | 22.5%27 W · 93 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…e165backed No | 21c | 1,578$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.82 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d31…9862backed No | 36c | 1,155$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.92 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed No | 20c | 1,035$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.34 | 224 | 34.4%77 W · 147 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 32c | 954.16$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.84 | 528 | 28.6%151 W · 377 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c0…3f84backed No | 44c | 548.18$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.38 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed No | 50c | 542.2$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.53 | 180 | 9.4%17 W · 163 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed No | 14c | 520.29$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.84 | 196 | 38.8%76 W · 120 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked No | 12c | 423.03$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.56 | 150 | 8%12 W · 138 L | -9.7wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -74%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f41…83f5backed No | 29c | 400$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.1 | 153 | 32%49 W · 104 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b7a…4817backed No | 39c | 380.46$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.54 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe87a…6d01backed No | 27c | 300$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 64 | 28.1%18 W · 46 L | -12.6wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x0298…93c4backed No | 18c | 240$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.94 | 283 | 37.8%107 W · 176 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22db…190fbacked No | 16c | 200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 79 | 39.2%31 W · 48 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Yes | 36c | 170$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.8 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a0f…4cbdbacked No | 15c | 163.75$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 41 | 9.8%4 W · 37 L | -4.4wins | -0.11per pick | 21cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3d…8db7backed No | 30c | 114.54$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.07 | 164 | 39.6%65 W · 99 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d03…1129backed No | 42c | 111$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c5…227dbacked No | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68ca…68b0backed No | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7239…e65fbacked Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +5.4wins | +0.17per pick | 44cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed No | 58c | 95.24$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.24 | 87 | 60.9%53 W · 34 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d00…d499backed Yes | 42c | 95.24$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.24 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac6…2501backed No | 17c | 94$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.98 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9227…67abbacked Yes | 64c | 91$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe847…a707backed Yes | 66c | 83$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.37 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e3…1b7ebacked Yes | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 59cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef94…502ebacked Yes | 39c | 75$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.75 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +4.4wins | +0.15per pick | 23cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6c72…1e3abacked Yes | 72c | 70$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3978…2f24backed No | 30c | 65.95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 53c | 63.45$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.53 | 268 | 30.6%82 W · 186 L | -29.2wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1984…241ebacked Yes | 40c | 62.5$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x754a…197fbacked No | 27c | 60$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.98 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c6b…a82ebacked No | 20c | 58$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.58 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed6…58b9backed Yes | 77c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.16per pick | 66cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4279…c97ebacked Yes | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a5e…c869backed Yes | 74c | 45$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 117 | 38.5%45 W · 72 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc6a…a737backed No | 40c | 43.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c3a…0753backed No | 27c | 41.21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda32…0925backed No | 27c | 39.58$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x433d…61c1backed Yes | 55c | 36.68$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.62 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd9…4178backed Yes | 55c | 36.16$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b65…5c3abacked Yes | 70c | 36$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61e6…747fbacked Yes | 73c | 35.96$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f87…cc5cbacked No | 46c | 33.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.43 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…7ae8backed Yes | 64c | 32.43$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x336b…eb49backed Yes | 75c | 32$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.02 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ce…a0b8backed Yes | 73c | 30.36$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6684…d674backed No | 56c | 27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7281…cfaebacked Yes | 44c | 27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5bf…4834backed Yes | 73c | 26.49$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2879…7986backed Yes | 44c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb37f…2a9bbacked No | 56c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x388c…d04abacked No | 45c | 24.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f10…82c3backed Yes | 73c | 24.13$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0d3…b187backed Yes | 75c | 23.33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f6…3cd9backed No | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -84%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc3…7865backed No | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd33a…7576backed Yes | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -37%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18bb…2b28backed Yes | 73c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea3e…b956backed Yes | 79c | 17.47$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.67 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x245f…204bbacked Yes | 73c | 17.02$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb60b…e570backed Yes | 71c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -30%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd0d…5b07backed Yes | 73c | 16.03$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e70…ee57backed Yes | 73c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9fa…b8ecbacked Yes | 73c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8431…039fbacked Yes | 73c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.77 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Denver Broncos make the 2024-25 NFL Playoffs?this page
- Will the Arizona Cardinals make the 2024-25 NFL Playoffs?No won
- Will the Atlanta Falcons make the 2024-25 NFL Playoffs?No won
- Will the Baltimore Ravens make the 2024-25 NFL Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Buffalo Bills make the 2024-25 NFL Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Chicago Bears make the 2024-25 NFL Playoffs?No won
- Will the Cincinnati Bengals make the 2024-25 NFL Playoffs?No won
- Will the Dallas Cowboys make the 2024-25 NFL Playoffs?No won
- Will the Detroit Lions make the 2024-25 NFL Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Green Bay Packers make the 2024-25 NFL Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Houston Texans make the 2024-25 NFL Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Indianapolis Colts make the 2024-25 NFL Playoffs?No won
- Will the Kansas City Chiefs make the 2024-25 NFL Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Los Angeles Chargers make the 2024-25 NFL Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Los Angeles Rams make the 2024-25 NFL Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Miami Dolphins make the 2024-25 NFL Playoffs?No won
- Will the Minnesota Vikings make the 2024-25 NFL Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the New York Jets make the 2024-25 NFL Playoffs?No won
- Will the Philadelphia Eagles make the 2024-25 NFL Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Pittsburgh Steelers make the 2024-25 NFL Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the San Francisco 49ers make the 2024-25 NFL Playoffs?No won
- Will the Seattle Seahawks make the 2024-25 NFL Playoffs?No won
- Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers make the 2024-25 NFL Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Washington Commanders make the 2024-25 NFL Playoffs?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.