Us Politics · resolved market
Did the FBI destroy Epstein files?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdba03e478029c333d37a2870fb643561af45ca0a128a81f649dcb5e7c160ca3d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $935,585
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $964,163
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $935,585 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 148 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe352…f259backed Yes | 0c | 211,999$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 21cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf1…8428backed Yes | 16c | 76,239$12,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,198.27 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5d6…f957backed Yes | 0c | 40,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06cc…0b12backed Yes | 0c | 37,030$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.03 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7c…f2cbbacked Yes | 11c | 33,732$3,617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,616.8 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | +4.3wins | +0.12per pick | 10cpaid | +110.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb1af…5611backed Yes | 0c | 33,444$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.53 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…82cfbacked Yes | 0c | 28,370$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.37 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeae2…6789backed Yes | 0c | 23,000$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35ed…acf1backed Yes | 26c | 21,605$5,624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,623.92 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2279…f9efbacked Yes | 0c | 19,335$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a37…b78fbacked Yes | 0c | 15,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -77.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked No | 79c | 14,354$11,317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,036.23 | 412 | 38.8%160 W · 252 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x001d…316dbacked No | 76c | 11,390$8,636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,754.02 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d0…de55backed No | 74c | 10,085$7,463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,621.98 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x638b…a4cebacked Yes | 0c | 10,026$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x387c…a6dbbacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1639…b984backed No | 73c | 9,949$7,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,676.01 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81e1…7265backed Yes | 14c | 7,467$1,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,071.36 | 108 | 34.3%37 W · 71 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3899…452ebacked Yes | 27c | 6,499$1,733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,732.9 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.30per pick | 45cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Yes | 4c | 5,483$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.13 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 15cpaid | -87.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8389…1899backed Yes | 11c | 5,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe504…70efbacked Yes | 1c | 4,474$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.84 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed No | 77c | 4,203$3,246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$956.79 | 176 | 33%58 W · 118 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef43…7b62backed Yes | 20c | 4,009$818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$817.55 | 29 | 6.9%2 W · 27 L | -4.0wins | -0.14per pick | 21cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 3,669$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.34 | 1,136 | 6.3%72 W · 1,064 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4b…5d71backed Yes | 21c | 3,529$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 26cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 18c | 3,071$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.53 | 385 | 9.4%36 W · 349 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1990…e954backed Yes | 20c | 2,111$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8af…325ebacked No | 75c | 2,052$1,535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.4 | 110 | 31.8%35 W · 75 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91d2…8f47backed Yes | 18c | 1,937$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.87 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -62.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e41…5932backed Yes | 40c | 1,867$749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.24 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed No | 79c | 1,790$1,414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.41 | 204 | 46.6%95 W · 109 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca52…49e8backed Yes | 28c | 1,772$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed No | 79c | 1,650$1,297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.17per pick | 61cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8795…7544backed No | 73c | 1,444$1,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.88 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x768f…d08cbacked Yes | 19c | 1,399$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.08 | 106 | 32.1%34 W · 72 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa735…b423backed No | 77c | 1,299$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.32 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +35%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b43…ca90backed Yes | 1c | 1,274$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.47 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…fbdcbacked No | 76c | 1,245$943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.21 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb481…bb2cbacked Yes | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef0d…ac57backed Yes | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed Yes | 18c | 1,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x524c…64c8backed Yes | 1c | 999$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.59 | 81 | 11.1%9 W · 72 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae5…68e1backed Yes | 18c | 978.48$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.49 | 98 | 10.2%10 W · 88 L | -5.9wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb370…28d5backed Yes | 22c | 900.97$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.82 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 20cpaid | -86.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38cc…f88ebacked Yes | 26c | 900$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd0…bc3dbacked Yes | 12c | 867.76$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.13 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 10c | 812.31$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.56 | 963 | 19.8%191 W · 772 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39d0…4fe8backed No | 70c | 798.71$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.51 | 135 | 56.3%76 W · 59 L | +13.4wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7a…c585backed Yes | 18c | 780.83$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.64 | 119 | 18.5%22 W · 97 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc412…592dbacked Yes | 2c | 776.09$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.04 | 101 | 37.6%38 W · 63 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd71a…1847backed Yes | 3c | 743.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 78c | 722.39$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.66 | 1,073 | 35.5%381 W · 692 L | -70.5wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfb…86d5backed Yes | 30c | 666.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 31cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe3…043bbacked Yes | 26c | 612$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.16 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…05e9backed No | 75c | 603.96$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.12 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f8…0ff2backed Yes | 12c | 592.96$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.67 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32bf…4e60backed Yes | 17c | 577.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x516d…03e5backed Yes | 26c | 499.99$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 152 | 38.8%59 W · 93 L | -13.5wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0f50…4db9backed No | 72c | 490$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.93 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a3d…e107backed Yes | 21c | 487.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -69.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd897…a582backed No | 76c | 482.16$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.86 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x745a…64e8backed Yes | 22c | 474.99$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.46 | 170 | 21.2%36 W · 134 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x330d…dbc4backed Yes | 22c | 474.18$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed No | 76c | 440.99$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.84 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd34b…0004backed No | 73c | 431.99$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.37 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…3d19backed No | 75c | 422.47$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.54 | 377 | 40.6%153 W · 224 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f35…7438backed Yes | 10c | 406.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked Yes | 11c | 400$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 152 | 27.6%42 W · 110 L | +8.3wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed Yes | 10c | 398.14$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.87 | 395 | 22.8%90 W · 305 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aac…9d8abacked Yes | 29c | 339.3$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.74 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd645…7a55backed Yes | 7c | 319.47$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffe…e125backed No | 75c | 305.99$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.58 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe34a…5e71backed Yes | 22c | 300$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf797…0bf2backed No | 80c | 299.99$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 187 | 45.5%85 W · 102 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e1f…aa60backed Yes | 20c | 290.48$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4500…eb2dbacked Yes | 31c | 290$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…d918backed Yes | 29c | 280.65$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 74 | 32.4%24 W · 50 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb6f…25f0backed No | 78c | 280$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.6 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9118…e9dabacked Yes | 24c | 231.41$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.91 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f32…d3fbbacked No | 74c | 224.22$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.22 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cc2…b734backed Yes | 18c | 222.22$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d48…0fe0backed Yes | 28c | 217.67$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc62d…9dedbacked No | 76c | 201.06$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.25 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa000…4afcbacked Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c7b…d06fbacked Yes | 12c | 170.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 80 | 30%24 W · 56 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e46…a86ebacked Yes | 19c | 169.2$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 77c | 159.76$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.75 | 996 | 29.5%294 W · 702 L | -73.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2675…2374backed Yes | 18c | 150$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 85 | 44.7%38 W · 47 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +21%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf27a…1d05backed Yes | 11c | 150$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 148 | 19.6%29 W · 119 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26df…f747backed No | 78c | 146.88$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.88 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f9…ed67backed Yes | 14c | 140.42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8da3…8a67backed No | 61c | 140$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.7 | 119 | 50.4%60 W · 59 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fd…8bc3backed No | 76c | 130$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | +6.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d44…b15ebacked No | 73c | 130$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.1 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f1…fee6backed Yes | 8c | 125.46$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 5cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde26…0972backed No | 77c | 120$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 75 | 62.7%47 W · 28 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50b2…c94abacked No | 71c | 119.98$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.79 | 127 | 36.2%46 W · 81 L | -17.3wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9b8b…713bbacked Yes | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | +5.5wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | +73.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x260d…9679backed Yes | 24c | 105.52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.32 | 286 | 36.7%105 W · 181 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.