Movies · resolved market
'Mufasa' vs. 'Sonic 3' opening weekend box office?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd9badfae3dd34163857712efd1d69957ce76a0c1a46311b28f40af5b3ec88496
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sonicof Mufasa, Sonic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $777,754
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $825,190
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $777,754 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 169 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3e21…b2f5backed Mufasa | 3c | 47,881$1,658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,657.78 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | +45%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e24…7f38backed Mufasa | 4c | 27,054$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb271…7f8ebacked Mufasa | 2c | 24,414$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…3df7backed Mufasa | 4c | 23,709$836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$835.95 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 7cpaid | +425.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…6676backed Mufasa | 4c | 19,617$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$707.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54e7…e35fbacked Mufasa | 8c | 13,842$1,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,155.69 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa72…1285backed Mufasa | 5c | 13,823$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd4…8853backed Mufasa | 4c | 13,073$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.29 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf311…fe1bbacked Mufasa | 9c | 12,336$1,143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,143.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef2…d0dabacked Mufasa | 1c | 11,823$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.14 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96ad…3589backed Mufasa | 9c | 11,663$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1591…b945backed Mufasa | 2c | 11,038$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96b5…f5e7backed Mufasa | 7c | 8,823$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.66 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96a4…4d01backed Mufasa | 1c | 8,100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.09 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02c8…5c16backed Mufasa | 12c | 7,243$856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$856.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc478…65ecbacked Mufasa | 9c | 7,121$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Mufasa | 3c | 6,625$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.51 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccaa…9066backed Mufasa | 7c | 6,447$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.22 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x151c…5344backed Mufasa | 4c | 6,410$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.11 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2560…d5fcbacked Mufasa | 1c | 5,760$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…2719backed Mufasa | 9c | 5,587$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 36cpaid | +78.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89dc…e209backed Mufasa | 8c | 5,543$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.97 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -54%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd0…bc3dbacked Mufasa | 2c | 5,412$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.23 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15f6…e98fbacked Mufasa | 3c | 5,222$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.99 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc9…b8a8backed Mufasa | 6c | 5,121$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.25 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x340f…3cf5backed Mufasa | 2c | 4,818$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Mufasa | 9c | 4,746$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.6 | 506 | 33.4%169 W · 337 L | -30.0wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed Mufasa | 15c | 4,476$665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$664.7 | 145 | 30.3%44 W · 101 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c2c…407ebacked Mufasa | 0c | 4,200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 26 | 0%0 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff3e…c6e3backed Mufasa | 33c | 4,070$1,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,340.42 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2abc…b515backed Mufasa | 7c | 4,000$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b9…6a5ebacked Mufasa | 16c | 3,808$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3919…e80fbacked Mufasa | 13c | 3,403$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Mufasa | 14c | 3,361$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.18 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | -4.5wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf0b…5a19backed Mufasa | 8c | 3,296$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…269bbacked Mufasa | 10c | 3,080$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…4a10backed Mufasa | 6c | 2,999$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d1d…248fbacked Mufasa | 7c | 2,573$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3723…ad4dbacked Mufasa | 1c | 2,513$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe515…1398backed Mufasa | 5c | 2,171$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf2…d992backed Mufasa | 5c | 2,140$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1166…94acbacked Mufasa | 13c | 2,140$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.52 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -87.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0dc…b165backed Mufasa | 10c | 2,096$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x712f…9fe6backed Sonic | 64c | 2,038$1,305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$732.68 | 86 | 33.7%29 W · 57 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe2…bbabbacked Mufasa | 12c | 2,034$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.34 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e35…3a98backed Mufasa | 3c | 1,991$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7db3…77ccbacked Mufasa | 14c | 1,946$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.38 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e4…8d04backed Mufasa | 16c | 1,858$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.24 | 23 | 8.7%2 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97fb…02eabacked Mufasa | 2c | 1,805$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.21 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa64a…21dabacked Mufasa | 8c | 1,789$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96e0…b648backed Mufasa | 8c | 1,629$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.1 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -72%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa855…b799backed Mufasa | 10c | 1,562$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe622…d61fbacked Mufasa | 6c | 1,500$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6de2…adcabacked Mufasa | 4c | 1,376$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -48%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8272…541dbacked Mufasa | 2c | 1,283$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfaff…7953backed Mufasa | 2c | 1,280$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.76 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f99…9b59backed Mufasa | 12c | 1,258$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151 | 69 | 18.8%13 W · 56 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac99…1380backed Mufasa | 9c | 1,200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.96 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1266…dc49backed Mufasa | 2c | 1,146$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7472…4febbacked Mufasa | 13c | 1,056$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.69 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 25cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05b4…6ecabacked Mufasa | 10c | 1,034$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.55 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55f1…c34dbacked Mufasa | 2c | 1,000$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf164…a2a1backed Mufasa | 3c | 1,000$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b75…787ebacked Mufasa | 3c | 1,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a5…2497backed Mufasa | 11c | 994.47$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ea9…e97ebacked Mufasa | 3c | 971.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeab7…99c7backed Mufasa | 11c | 908.91$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a0…f57dbacked Mufasa | 18c | 884.91$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13da…b58fbacked Mufasa | 13c | 815.56$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.74 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Mufasa | 9c | 800$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59ef…5191backed Mufasa | 12c | 793.33$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…c206backed Mufasa | 13c | 779.85$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.02 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a9…2948backed Sonic | 67c | 775.45$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.1 | 144 | 25.7%37 W · 107 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaed…5bb2backed Mufasa | 16c | 750.09$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae09…6a64backed Mufasa | 11c | 744.02$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffde…e531backed Mufasa | 2c | 719.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.74 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 12cpaid | +126.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ef…90eebacked Mufasa | 7c | 717.66$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa7…c9f4backed Mufasa | 10c | 700$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f76…3433backed Mufasa | 2c | 694.86$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc6…01a0backed Mufasa | 44c | 681.82$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76aa…58cebacked Mufasa | 15c | 667$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf71e…4c70backed Mufasa | 37c | 639.41$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.18 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8759…88d6backed Mufasa | 9c | 637.77$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd8…858ebacked Mufasa | 3c | 602.38$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.07 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf908…d9f3backed Mufasa | 2c | 600.2$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6478…548fbacked Mufasa | 15c | 600$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 35cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5967…1b34backed Mufasa | 7c | 584.02$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x745a…64e8backed Mufasa | 12c | 578$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.76 | 71 | 26.8%19 W · 52 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38f5…0050backed Mufasa | 10c | 559.62$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.52 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa256…fc1ebacked Mufasa | 10c | 549.92$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.99 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1f5…5b68backed Mufasa | 3c | 535.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 5cpaid | +198.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e00…4784backed Mufasa | 17c | 529.02$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bd5…d2a2backed Mufasa | 2c | 526.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe091…7621backed Mufasa | 24c | 514.43$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae69…bbcabacked Mufasa | 10c | 507.8$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.78 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 26cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d78…b323backed Mufasa | 2c | 500$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe25a…7dd5backed Mufasa | 7c | 500$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcaa…2f68backed Mufasa | 32c | 500$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfde…4006backed Mufasa | 25c | 486.54$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd94…88bcbacked Mufasa | 16c | 464.23$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.31 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.