NFL · resolved market
Will Jared Verse win NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3da363945310b23e303b03ef89040c6dca5577edffb2962df3c5a1186aae109a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,811
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,366
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,811 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7e07…9720backed Yes | 46c | 1,300$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a69…89f2backed No | 54c | 1,300$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$702 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabcb…b094backed Yes | 50c | 1,300$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66aa…d8cebacked No | 54c | 1,300$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$702 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeca4…1bb0backed No | 50c | 1,300$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a6…da72backed Yes | 50c | 1,300$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf000…9531backed Yes | 46c | 1,300$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf78…e99bbacked No | 50c | 1,300$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea3e…b956backed Yes | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2277…5f76backed Yes | 41c | 910$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bee…6f70backed Yes | 41c | 910$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53d9…d2d9backed No | 59c | 910$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76ec…ae2bbacked No | 59c | 910$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6793…8de3backed No | 34c | 750$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00e7…c836backed Yes | 66c | 750$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe549…b17abacked No | 34c | 750$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0301…3505backed Yes | 66c | 750$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 15c | 686.85$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.45 | 268 | 30.6%82 W · 186 L | -29.2wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x18a7…d21abacked No | 2c | 595$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 50 | 8%4 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1290…5269backed No | 7c | 463.85$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.27 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd0…bc3dbacked No | 9c | 462.65$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.7 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce10…902bbacked Yes | 70c | 452.84$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.84 | 46 | 65.2%30 W · 16 L | +4.8wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 46c | 440.8$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.94 | 150 | 8%12 W · 138 L | -9.7wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -74%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb293…cb90backed No | 4c | 364.96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.62 | 69 | 13%9 W · 60 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b7a…4817backed No | 48c | 363.99$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.2 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed No | 11c | 303.94$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.39 | 122 | 39.3%48 W · 74 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +87.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed Yes | 46c | 298.99$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.13 | 224 | 34.4%77 W · 147 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 44c | 223.82$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.02 | 314 | 39.8%125 W · 189 L | -16.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f41…83f5backed No | 50c | 189.16$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.39 | 153 | 32%49 W · 104 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 11c | 169.61$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.92 | 528 | 28.6%151 W · 377 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed Yes | 66c | 169.6$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.11 | 180 | 9.4%17 W · 163 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf259…7592backed No | 11c | 157.84$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 42 | 26.2%11 W · 31 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe89…a0babacked No | 17c | 138$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.46 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd44…2a19backed Yes | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c54…cc1ebacked Yes | 50c | 125.25$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.04 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…77c7backed No | 28c | 111.55$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.23 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 415 | 40.2%167 W · 248 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcefa…bef8backed No | 44c | 99.98$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.99 | 162 | 59.9%97 W · 65 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cea…e0acbacked Yes | 55c | 90.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.79 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf007…10b4backed Yes | 46c | 69.41$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.6 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2741…0865backed No | 34c | 65.06$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.02 | 77 | 18.2%14 W · 63 L | -11.0wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3978…2f24backed No | 43c | 60.75$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.14 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x415c…3c94backed No | 32c | 51.75$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.43 | 49 | 26.5%13 W · 36 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a1…7bedbacked Yes | 52c | 47.32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.64 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +69.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed Yes | 46c | 45$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.3 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cd2…18a1backed No | 49c | 41.18$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac61…f5f7backed No | 43c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2351…f51dbacked No | 49c | 39.88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d40…7151backed Yes | 48c | 39$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.28 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 28cpaid | +113.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b4…770dbacked No | 53c | 37.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5366…baa7backed Yes | 53c | 33.83$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfab…3152backed Yes | 53c | 28.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.23 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98ca…70e6backed Yes | 61c | 26.41$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +65.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc22…ee03backed Yes | 79c | 25.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.44 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7862…8826backed Yes | 56c | 21.31$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +77.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bca…c1aabacked Yes | 73c | 21.03$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed No | 63c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | -10.4wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x38d5…063cbacked Yes | 70c | 14.93$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.41 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Jared Verse win NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year?this page
- Will Braden Fiske win NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year?No won
- Will Chop Robinson win NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year?No won
- Will Cooper DeJean win NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year?No won
- Will Laiatu Latu win NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year?No won
- Will Quinyon Mitchell win NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.