NFL · resolved market
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the NFC East?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb5821cc3005774b8c90222357ce6fcd2bb75e36bdc598f6d4817198dd4f35eb6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $187,189
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $274,176
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $187,189 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5fc8…39efbacked Yes | 55c | 11,153$6,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,070.83 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed Yes | 62c | 6,475$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,474.77 | 224 | 34.4%77 W · 147 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a7…e661backed Yes | 56c | 6,410$3,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,809.76 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96a4…4d01backed No | 0c | 3,755$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.02 | 27 | 11.1%3 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -80.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77cf…0e71backed Yes | 67c | 3,749$2,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,249.41 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c0…3f84backed Yes | 80c | 3,723$2,978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744.51 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c8…7407backed Yes | 53c | 3,054$1,618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,435.24 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +72.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2855…afffbacked No | 45c | 2,453$1,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,109.98 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd0…bc3dbacked No | 1c | 2,186$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.86 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Yes | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920 | 343 | 49.3%169 W · 174 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f2…7851backed No | 1c | 2,000$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a14…0762backed No | 46c | 1,920$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$884.79 | 102 | 39.2%40 W · 62 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 5c | 1,461$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.05 | 528 | 28.6%151 W · 377 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc66…47a9backed Yes | 80c | 1,250$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.4wins | +0.31per pick | 51cpaid | +69.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd2…7f1dbacked Yes | 57c | 1,218$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.59 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Yes | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.08 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x708f…f236backed Yes | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd16…a2cdbacked No | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -50%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5263…bad3backed No | 46c | 925.57$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.76 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69a4…bba9backed No | 36c | 814.11$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.62 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…af24backed No | 5c | 809.62$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.48 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +9.9wins | +0.22per pick | 29cpaid | +235.8%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x93d0…0c2ebacked Yes | 41c | 800$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472 | 132 | 55.3%73 W · 59 L | +10.5wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 4c | 792.98$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 415 | 40.2%167 W · 248 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked No | 2c | 779.23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 243 | 0.8%2 W · 241 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd95…99f2backed No | 46c | 622$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.12 | 157 | 22.3%35 W · 122 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…e17ebacked Yes | 53c | 500$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 92 | 40.2%37 W · 55 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe896…0b70backed No | 60c | 500$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…a78cbacked Yes | 38c | 400$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf1b…2b79backed No | 42c | 377.9$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.66 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5a5e…c869backed No | 49c | 345.98$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 117 | 38.5%45 W · 72 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Yes | 56c | 336$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.72 | 118 | 39%46 W · 72 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Yes | 55c | 299.99$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd46c…f641backed No | 56c | 270$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.2 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 61cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a12…01cebacked No | 46c | 270$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.2 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Yes | 65c | 194.74$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.16 | 247 | 38.1%94 W · 153 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Yes | 53c | 192.38$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.84 | 120 | 22.5%27 W · 93 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x394e…c26abacked Yes | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa049…0558backed Yes | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +3.0wins | +0.28per pick | 27cpaid | +171%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3f8b…0159backed No | 47c | 169.88$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.84 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2137…0677backed Yes | 48c | 150$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 204 | 40.7%83 W · 121 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -17%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc7…7ca8backed Yes | 54c | 150$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +67.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9292…2cd1backed Yes | 55c | 122.29$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.9 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f47…af93backed No | 45c | 109.09$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.09 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa69f…6874backed No | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8ba…a286backed No | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -20%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7941…c675backed Yes | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 209 | 50.7%106 W · 103 L | -15.7wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x86e3…ad70backed Yes | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +6.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +98.8%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x420e…bfe7backed Yes | 51c | 99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf34d…5d09backed No | 49c | 99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f41…83f5backed Yes | 70c | 98$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 153 | 32%49 W · 104 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafaa…9013backed Yes | 54c | 64.81$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.81 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd72e…0ae6backed Yes | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef0…0213backed No | 62c | 55$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.95 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…6ba1backed Yes | 55c | 45.15$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.32 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67fb…55cebacked Yes | 54c | 31.72$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.66 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb947…2a54backed Yes | 56c | 31.12$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x182b…f022backed Yes | 54c | 27.12$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.46 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | +8.8wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e58…99b8backed Yes | 58c | 25.98$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.98 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b55…02f8backed Yes | 56c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac2b…61eabacked Yes | 55c | 22.36$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.06 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.39per pick | 36cpaid | +191.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa955…e0e7backed No | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ad…7ed7backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the NFC East?this page
- Will the Dallas Cowboys win the NFC East?No won
- Will the New York Giants win the NFC East?No won
- Will the Washington Commanders win the NFC East?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.