NFL · resolved market
Belichick next UNC head coach?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4e28d3543c88517551a134ee299ed6ef6ab5926116c7a03af3ed32a5029d6d5e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $55,857
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,855
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,857 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed No | 8c | 7,762$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.65 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked No | 0c | 6,037$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 243 | 0.8%2 W · 241 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88e8…d208backed Yes | 70c | 5,557$3,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,687.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x843a…1aa4backed No | 35c | 4,143$1,431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,431.43 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…b3debacked No | 4c | 3,273$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.49 | 45 | 4.4%2 W · 43 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -69.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a36…454bbacked No | 23c | 2,519$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.27 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +4.5wins | +0.21per pick | 31cpaid | +294.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked No | 30c | 1,986$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.4 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf259…7592backed No | 2c | 1,419$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.87 | 42 | 26.2%11 W · 31 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57d0…91f6backed Yes | 73c | 1,396$1,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70fa…196dbacked No | 69c | 1,254$871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$871.01 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe077…8ee3backed No | 2c | 1,053$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 74 | 9.5%7 W · 67 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e1…decdbacked No | 3c | 999.98$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc21d…4ed8backed Yes | 64c | 949.56$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.37 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47bc…abd2backed Yes | 40c | 826.17$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.7 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -36%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x040e…8edfbacked Yes | 54c | 728$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.48 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +62.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed No | 10c | 687.67$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.56 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf220…1341backed Yes | 71c | 508.39$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 3c | 500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 528 | 28.6%151 W · 377 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…9661backed No | 5c | 447.74$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.39 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b5…23e8backed Yes | 35c | 400$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x347f…7683backed No | 65c | 400$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Yes | 75c | 396.44$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.98 | 134 | 30.6%41 W · 93 L | -12.1wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -39%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe9…4fd9backed No | 45c | 381.13$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.38 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55b4…80eabacked No | 35c | 373.48$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.87 | 101 | 4%4 W · 97 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -87.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…bf70backed No | 7c | 267$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.36 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6175…34f0backed No | 75c | 214.59$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed No | 7c | 210.53$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.57 | 122 | 39.3%48 W · 74 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +87.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90e9…de83backed No | 58c | 191$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.4 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 32c | 170.04$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.08 | 268 | 30.6%82 W · 186 L | -29.2wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdba2…099cbacked Yes | 62c | 161.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31db…79a4backed No | 71c | 154.85$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 58 | 25.9%15 W · 43 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked No | 42c | 150$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 221 | 42.1%93 W · 128 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2741…0865backed No | 28c | 150$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.5 | 77 | 18.2%14 W · 63 L | -11.0wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x260d…9679backed Yes | 35c | 148.95$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.36 | 71 | 31%22 W · 49 L | -9.6wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x71b1…ac2cbacked No | 9c | 145$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 57 | 21.1%12 W · 45 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -54%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xebbc…ad30backed Yes | 58c | 132.74$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.17 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05b4…6ecabacked Yes | 73c | 111.59$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed Yes | 21c | 98.07$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.11 | 88 | 37.5%33 W · 55 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3978…2f24backed No | 31c | 75.02$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.62 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb189…35ebbacked No | 55c | 73.39$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -61%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe1…aa4abacked No | 67c | 50$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd0…bc3dbacked No | 63c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa256…fc1ebacked Yes | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b8…e965backed No | 59c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb293…cb90backed No | 32c | 42$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 69 | 13%9 W · 60 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd6f…56c9backed Yes | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x197a…4932backed Yes | 34c | 32.74$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +190.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68ca…68b0backed Yes | 36c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 57c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.18 | 314 | 39.8%125 W · 189 L | -16.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf123…7c8dbacked No | 69c | 16.26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8e9…b526backed No | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.