TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Token Launches · resolved market

Will none of the named coins be listed on Coinbase in 2024?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$145,679
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$111,525

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $145,679 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Token Launches
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4a52…cecebacked Yes0c15,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3020%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc613…662bbacked Yes0c13,606$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.29571.8%1 W · 56 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick0cpaid+116.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f9…b3debacked Yes1c9,886$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.35456.7%3 W · 42 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick3cpaid+272.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe647…63d5backed Yes75c7,164$5,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,40010%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2370…0e10backed Yes45c5,564$2,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,519.617919%15 W · 64 L-6.0wins-0.08per pick27cpaid-63.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7f69…9c7abacked Yes47c5,519$2,591 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,590.6810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2aa…463dbacked Yes0c5,009$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1070%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x96b5…f5e7backed Yes29c3,600$1,038 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,037.991844.4%8 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-13.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed No53c2,742$1,447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,294.9110521.9%23 W · 82 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick18cpaid-44.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b54…b7cbbacked Yes65c2,525$1,646 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,646.2710%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6c7f…a52cbacked No48c2,240$1,075 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,164.79333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick22cpaid-30.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x971b…ec79backed Yes1c2,222$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.1120%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x551b…b6afbacked Yes3c1,814$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55812.5%1 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick9cpaid+217.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0e6…50aebacked Yes16c1,548$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.681145.5%5 W · 6 L+3.1wins+0.28per pick17cpaid+225.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0537…5b0fbacked No19c1,500$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2152934.5%10 W · 19 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick30cpaid-16.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x285e…7643backed No67c1,498$999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$499.23450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-29.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9777…2a8dbacked Yes35c1,370$478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$478.5128.3%1 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick19cpaid-88.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xae81…c235backed Yes2c1,239$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.45333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-39.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab93…c40bbacked Yes1c1,216$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.16944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick36cpaid-14.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcceb…f030backed No62c1,107$687 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$419.366342.9%27 W · 36 L-4.6wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-24.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8bb4…8167backed No21c952$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$752.081376.9%10 W · 3 L+8.1wins+0.63per pick14cpaid+774.6%equal weight74+0.21 edge/pick
0x0515…b207backed Yes2c831.11$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick36cpaid-29.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb98…6119backed Yes43c797.85$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.0820%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b7b…f74ebacked Yes26c779.66$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.03977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.19per pick59cpaid+36.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8077…6f50backed Yes1c768$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.23450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick32cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1cfc…2111backed No62c643.67$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.7213424.6%33 W · 101 L-14.8wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-33.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed No62c577.14$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.921240.6%86 W · 126 L-9.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes23c565.03$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.4133329.7%99 W · 234 L+0.2wins0.00per pick30cpaid-42.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcefa…bef8backed No70c538.66$377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.711520%3 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick27cpaid+35.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d70…cd72backed Yes39c516.24$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20030%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d4a…5961backed Yes52c500$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.58250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-21.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8387…71e0backed No50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2501020%2 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-53%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3291…e502backed No59c424$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.84560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick44cpaid-0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8904…80a3backed No48c400$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2085650%28 W · 28 L+5.1wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+5.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1268…834bbacked No57c400$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1721030%3 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-53.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a8d…6a32backed Yes33c389.21$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.44475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+23.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc577…41d6backed Yes36c363.41$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x260d…9679backed No69c359.62$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.884422.7%10 W · 34 L-4.9wins-0.11per pick34cpaid-47.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd661…74fdbacked Yes28c358$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.24616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.16per pick32cpaid-40.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x95a3…046ebacked No14c349.75$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.79650%3 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.37per pick13cpaid+337.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x31d0…9d21backed Yes16c337.08$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.310%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe241…29febacked Yes36c315.53$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.7710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a26…8acbbacked Yes41c274.87$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1144738.3%18 W · 29 L+4.6wins+0.10per pick29cpaid+35.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd8cb…387cbacked Yes35c241.25$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae5a…5081backed Yes41c228.72$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.3210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7327…151abacked Yes38c223.55$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.9260%0 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x109b…8671backed No66c216.21$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.511100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb100…6461backed Yes29c199$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.715137.3%19 W · 32 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick34cpaid-15.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2741…0865backed Yes37c181.35$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.564316.3%7 W · 36 L-5.3wins-0.12per pick29cpaid-55.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf49b…add9backed Yes29c172.61$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0a2…a349backed No60c165$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.38052.5%42 W · 38 L+11.1wins+0.14per pick39cpaid+40.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x71f7…0fb5backed Yes31c160.66$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36e6…86aabacked Yes35c155$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.2520%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x576e…27a9backed Yes43c146$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.8210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf86c…ba99backed No77c139.36$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.534153.7%22 W · 19 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes23c130$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.95623.2%13 W · 43 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-46.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3dca…99c8backed Yes52c127.39$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.2410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbae4…e7e8backed No66c126.63$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.111100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2459…8d76backed Yes32c122.15$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.56616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick29cpaid-74.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f3d…b972backed Yes42c120.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x07dc…2643backed No65c111.62$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa74…6bcbbacked No66c111$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.21250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-23.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0dd0…bc3dbacked No58c100$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.54650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-25.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42a2…9bbabacked Yes31c100$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3120%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Yes44c99$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.562218.2%4 W · 18 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-58.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x125c…38f7backed No51c98.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.04771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick57cpaid+52.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x40a0…1aa2backed Yes36c95.15$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.6310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf16a…3c93backed No63c94.99$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.88825%2 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-63.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x02d3…e12bbacked Yes39c84.59$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc5d6…24aabacked Yes27c79.36$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.43540%2 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick30cpaid-8.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7892…1ea2backed No58c77.27$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.18250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a46…87cfbacked Yes36c76.08$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.3910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5049…d20cbacked Yes40c75$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30757.1%4 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.33per pick25cpaid+401.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x87fb…9ad0backed No62c73.89$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.081625%4 W · 12 L-2.3wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-58.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x804e…1b3ebacked Yes36c72.27$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0120…078dbacked Yes45c71$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.2910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x39e0…fcf5backed No64c70.23$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.981100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+55.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8512…a3d2backed Yes27c63$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.1450%0 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0851…a1e2backed No62c61.06$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.141100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x10e2…4679backed Yes38c60.12$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.8610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe85b…60e1backed Yes35c60$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-26%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x681e…afcdbacked Yes34c59.21$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfce0…4262backed No55c58.2$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.011100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+80.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae5d…3553backed Yes36c57.22$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x82eb…2d3fbacked Yes48c55.67$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe193…7b46backed No62c54.13$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.831100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+62.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf88f…43d3backed Yes29c51.72$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+22.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80fa…481cbacked Yes44c51$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.6910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec4b…f4a0backed No57c50.3$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+74.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbaef…6234backed No45c50$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.5666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+12.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x438e…9704backed Yes34c50$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd60e…7de6backed Yes31c48.39$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe3d…0b73backed No65c47.09$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.481100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x630c…ed81backed Yes36c46.42$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.7110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f31…97c7backed Yes58c43.1$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52e6…23f1backed No66c43.05$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.571100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a3a…ee52backed Yes31c41.04$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.7230%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4643…6896backed No66c40.68$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.011100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+52.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee82…f011backed Yes25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102646.2%12 W · 14 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+34.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf85b…5663backed Yes36c40$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+13.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.