Token Launches · resolved market
Will $MOODENG be listed first on Coinbase?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9120a6aed05b815423a9f121d1d18936fc2a482714b51b79999b3b478da289ce
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,098,835
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,087,040
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,098,835 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc613…662bbacked No | 0c | 68,649$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.98 | 57 | 1.8%1 W · 56 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 0cpaid | +116.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x260a…dbf6backed No | 0c | 51,903$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf9…e7bebacked No | 0c | 48,666$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02e4…235ebacked No | 0c | 40,511$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd336…f5e8backed No | 0c | 29,763$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd726…ec9ebacked No | 0c | 26,753$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e4f…28b6backed No | 1c | 22,828$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.79 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 20cpaid | +128.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…b3debacked No | 1c | 21,455$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.23 | 45 | 6.7%3 W · 42 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 3cpaid | +272.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d75…46d7backed No | 1c | 20,062$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6dd…5a85backed No | 0c | 15,676$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc1…b8dfbacked No | 3c | 13,371$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.86 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bab…1292backed Yes | 5c | 12,207$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,605.78 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +6.7wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +95.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xffd5…8e89backed No | 0c | 8,226$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb564…507abacked No | 0c | 6,724$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2a…a436backed No | 0c | 6,182$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.39 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a9…48b9backed No | 13c | 6,106$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.89 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.44per pick | 23cpaid | +424.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeafc…c66ebacked No | 0c | 5,416$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…a834backed Yes | 68c | 5,394$3,665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,728.87 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5706…44acbacked Yes | 3c | 4,036$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,921.94 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 2cpaid | +604.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed No | 5c | 3,418$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.85 | 105 | 21.9%23 W · 82 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95a3…046ebacked No | 18c | 3,314$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.83 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.37per pick | 13cpaid | +337.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x57f0…d33dbacked No | 0c | 3,024$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.38 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc540…a1b8backed No | 1c | 2,500$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 7c | 2,322$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.13 | 333 | 29.7%99 W · 234 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x421b…ac12backed Yes | 4c | 2,164$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,081.78 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 4cpaid | +163.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde5b…063fbacked Yes | 8c | 1,602$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,480.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.92per pick | 8cpaid | +1,218.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e6…50aebacked No | 28c | 1,422$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.58 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.28per pick | 17cpaid | +225.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0384…df9ebacked Yes | 32c | 1,394$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$943.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x551b…b6afbacked No | 1c | 1,164$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.3 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 9cpaid | +217.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd73d…a8dcbacked Yes | 79c | 1,092$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.1 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf8d…6bdfbacked No | 4c | 952.51$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.87 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d10…dca1backed No | 3c | 717.87$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 56c | 434.16$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.16 | 212 | 40.6%86 W · 126 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe23a…8518backed Yes | 73c | 427.22$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.27 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96a4…4d01backed No | 24c | 335.84$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.74 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 10cpaid | +190.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcbed…aa02backed No | 4c | 300$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa9…d41fbacked Yes | 5c | 281.97$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.97 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70ce…dd52backed No | 42c | 280$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x260d…9679backed Yes | 47c | 225.12$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.77 | 44 | 22.7%10 W · 34 L | -4.9wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcefa…bef8backed Yes | 6c | 200$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.2 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1856…1964backed Yes | 11c | 190.48$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.53 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +108.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd848…626fbacked Yes | 30c | 185.77$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.61 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7892…1ea2backed No | 27c | 140$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.07 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaef…6234backed No | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.25 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ceb…2bdfbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.90per pick | 10cpaid | +900%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1dc…5460backed Yes | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.35 | 83 | 38.6%32 W · 51 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe4…9769backed Yes | 76c | 46.64$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.08 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +94.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f62…38fcbacked Yes | 47c | 28.56$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will $MOODENG be listed first on Coinbase?this page
- Will $BITCOIN be listed first on Coinbase?No won
- Will $FWOG be listed first on Coinbase?No won
- Will $GOAT be listed first on Coinbase?No won
- Will $Mog be listed first on Coinbase?No won
- Will $NEIRO be listed first on Coinbase?No won
- Will $POPCAT be listed first on Coinbase?No won
- Will $Pnut be listed first on Coinbase?No won
- Will none of the named coins be listed on Coinbase in 2024?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.