Us Politics · resolved market
Elon out of Trump administration in 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcbdb7ed2d0c7aecea2c4b961e86ebd78347e2082211906a12e9b38d7d5a28bfb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $645,572
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $640,290
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $645,572 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 297 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc0b9…cbacbacked No | 29c | 51,505$14,936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,936.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb7…d83abacked Yes | 71c | 51,505$36,569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,936.45 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1200…6c6fbacked Yes | 76c | 50,897$38,682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,215.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfac8…4916backed No | 24c | 50,887$12,213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,212.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc658…6c1bbacked Yes | 76c | 50,804$38,611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,192.96 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84b2…620fbacked No | 24c | 50,804$12,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,192.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…6b40backed No | 28c | 48,715$13,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,640.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5b…c3c0backed Yes | 72c | 48,700$35,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,636 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa2…2c73backed No | 45c | 19,445$8,806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,805.68 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +4.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed No | 28c | 14,779$4,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,132.65 | 156 | 46.8%73 W · 83 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ba…9e00backed No | 43c | 12,196$5,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,199.08 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7678…e5f0backed No | 39c | 8,511$3,284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,283.68 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 51c | 8,008$4,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,102.01 | 696 | 34.9%243 W · 453 L | -48.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d9f…9790backed No | 56c | 7,886$4,414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,414 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45cc…6400backed Yes | 67c | 7,490$4,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,492 | 99 | 58.6%58 W · 41 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dfa…c0e3backed No | 0c | 7,399$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 58 | 0%0 W · 58 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 61c | 6,414$3,934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,479.98 | 996 | 29.5%294 W · 702 L | -73.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…b243backed Yes | 62c | 6,124$3,771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,352.83 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +5.4wins | +0.15per pick | 38cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x335d…c9c3backed No | 28c | 3,680$1,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,037.49 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 70c | 3,664$2,559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,104.32 | 375 | 33.3%125 W · 250 L | -17.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Yes | 67c | 3,612$2,422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,190.33 | 174 | 52.9%92 W · 82 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc900…4faebacked Yes | 71c | 3,455$2,458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$997.11 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0490…c81fbacked Yes | 37c | 3,170$1,164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,005.72 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -24%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x088f…c9e7backed Yes | 72c | 3,057$2,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$849.2 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8152…bfdabacked Yes | 60c | 3,000$1,805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,195 | 100 | 56%56 W · 44 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd189…06f4backed No | 2c | 2,621$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.21 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11f3…d859backed No | 45c | 2,585$1,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,154.65 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48d3…30babacked No | 37c | 2,512$937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$936.87 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf111…6be4backed No | 34c | 2,102$707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$706.57 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c16…df3abacked Yes | 55c | 2,069$1,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$930.98 | 86 | 40.7%35 W · 51 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8225…c4a8backed Yes | 68c | 2,006$1,359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$647.38 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…971fbacked Yes | 72c | 2,000$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 78c | 1,968$1,529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.09 | 412 | 38.8%160 W · 252 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5109…5e9cbacked Yes | 56c | 1,966$1,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$869.71 | 180 | 33.3%60 W · 120 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80da…4f6dbacked No | 36c | 1,701$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.78 | 194 | 36.1%70 W · 124 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8329…96c2backed Yes | 65c | 1,620$1,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06ec…f845backed Yes | 62c | 1,563$977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.52 | 219 | 35.2%77 W · 142 L | +8.8wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28de…a1fdbacked Yes | 36c | 1,561$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$999.2 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cbb…89abbacked Yes | 77c | 1,486$1,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.79 | 65 | 26.2%17 W · 48 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bbe…2cf3backed Yes | 71c | 1,445$1,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.6 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | -9.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Yes | 61c | 1,413$861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.42 | 176 | 33%58 W · 118 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8465…8e31backed No | 31c | 1,335$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.73 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Yes | 57c | 1,144$651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.17 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +7.8wins | +0.19per pick | 44cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2d45…c009backed Yes | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8741…fd77backed Yes | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4558…a2b3backed Yes | 68c | 1,000$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -17%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b42…f193backed Yes | 51c | 999.99$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4344…f90dbacked Yes | 69c | 987.46$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.84 | 187 | 46.5%87 W · 100 L | +16.5wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x26dc…4741backed No | 29c | 880$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1767…fd39backed Yes | 64c | 845.6$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.6 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x186c…5db1backed Yes | 64c | 823.64$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x066a…550dbacked No | 63c | 800$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e95…a0e4backed Yes | 40c | 757.5$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.5 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7124…70c1backed Yes | 68c | 750$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.5 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Yes | 71c | 725$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.25 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3e…e98fbacked Yes | 72c | 716.89$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.89 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.9wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2cde…5b98backed No | 14c | 714$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.96 | 111 | 21.6%24 W · 87 L | +11.4wins | +0.10per pick | 11cpaid | +179.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2d08…3defbacked No | 58c | 711.9$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.9 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd685…8be9backed Yes | 68c | 699.99$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +5.6wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd574…425dbacked Yes | 75c | 696.7$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.17 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb81…1cf3backed No | 15c | 666$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 111 | 20.7%23 W · 88 L | +10.9wins | +0.10per pick | 11cpaid | +212.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x86cb…2680backed No | 41c | 654.86$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 63c | 606.92$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.5 | 193 | 28.5%55 W · 138 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed No | 32c | 600$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 236 | 39.4%93 W · 143 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb46d…7093backed No | 10c | 585$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.75 | 56 | 16.1%9 W · 47 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed Yes | 50c | 567.2$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.58 | 395 | 22.8%90 W · 305 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbc7…8f89backed Yes | 79c | 562.54$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.54 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14f6…6e92backed Yes | 37c | 542.3$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.11 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc280…de71backed Yes | 36c | 527.64$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.19 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c97…1b68backed No | 57c | 516.15$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.56 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 24c | 514.52$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.78 | 963 | 19.8%191 W · 772 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed No | 24c | 500$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 378 | 44.4%168 W · 210 L | +33.3wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +64.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x60eb…a6d8backed No | 12c | 500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…a2b2backed Yes | 36c | 500$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.47 | 283 | 20.5%58 W · 225 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac1…154bbacked No | 63c | 500$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.7 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74c8…d1e9backed Yes | 42c | 499.59$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc6…62e0backed Yes | 54c | 472.52$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.25 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8e…6a53backed Yes | 77c | 452.51$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.11 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…9661backed Yes | 47c | 443.51$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.85 | 168 | 54.8%92 W · 76 L | +22.8wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +56%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…ce9fbacked No | 30c | 434.09$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.23 | 194 | 35.1%68 W · 126 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb67c…a2c3backed Yes | 71c | 420.63$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.19 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e6b…9390backed Yes | 60c | 419.98$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.99 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3e…58c7backed Yes | 70c | 414$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.23 | 88 | 20.5%18 W · 70 L | -7.1wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc160…ce0abacked No | 63c | 400$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x11f6…cce7backed Yes | 63c | 400$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +46%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fd…658cbacked No | 43c | 397.27$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe645…345abacked No | 39c | 388.25$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.8 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 43c | 385.74$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.19 | 556 | 18.5%103 W · 453 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24c5…923dbacked No | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.23per pick | 31cpaid | -89.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2588…dc27backed No | 57c | 354.51$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe75f…edafbacked Yes | 60c | 350$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.57 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc550…272dbacked Yes | 64c | 348.53$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.99 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +3.9wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf09c…383dbacked Yes | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.98 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x633f…3c8abacked No | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…dea8backed Yes | 39c | 321.79$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.68 | 167 | 25.1%42 W · 125 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…3d19backed Yes | 73c | 318.71$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.69 | 377 | 40.6%153 W · 224 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee7…37f0backed Yes | 38c | 317.5$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed0…92debacked No | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.22per pick | 40cpaid | -67.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbf…ec66backed Yes | 65c | 305.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.36 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Yes | 69c | 300$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 60 | 21.7%13 W · 47 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.