World Politics · resolved market
Will Crin Antonescu advance to the Romanian Presidential Election Runoff?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x75747692c3e36d745b3d4e6d319a4f72046df3b46213b1e1b2af2801d12b9583
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $869,859
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $952,489
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $869,859 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 157 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf7c4…c5abbacked Yes | 2c | 142,841$3,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,183.75 | 35 | 2.9%1 W · 34 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -87.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5b…c3c0backed No | 66c | 54,588$36,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,559.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf2d…d280backed Yes | 34c | 54,588$18,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,559.92 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bf6…26bbbacked Yes | 52c | 38,514$20,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,027.28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x072e…054cbacked No | 48c | 38,514$18,487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,027.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8795…7544backed Yes | 13c | 29,407$3,787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,786.59 | 93 | 34.4%32 W · 61 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f96…1da6backed No | 68c | 29,177$19,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,336.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c4…b335backed Yes | 32c | 29,177$9,337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,336.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74cf…711ebacked No | 38c | 28,178$10,708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,470.36 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba5…7214backed Yes | 62c | 28,178$17,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,470.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x610b…eb00backed No | 40c | 26,054$10,422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,632.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6190…0e7abacked Yes | 60c | 26,054$15,632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,632.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…b572backed Yes | 10c | 12,727$1,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,335.27 | 167 | 44.3%74 W · 93 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87ed…a63bbacked Yes | 3c | 12,324$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.87 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dfa…c0e3backed Yes | 0c | 12,000$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 412 | 1%4 W · 408 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 0cpaid | +171.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x768f…d08cbacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.31 | 69 | 30.4%21 W · 48 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60b2…3ccebacked No | 79c | 8,750$6,919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,831 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed Yes | 59c | 7,987$4,724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,724.17 | 118 | 53.4%63 W · 55 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b3…87b8backed No | 71c | 5,145$3,658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,487.37 | 103 | 31.1%32 W · 71 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64f3…34b6backed Yes | 6c | 4,971$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.35 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5950…8c48backed No | 58c | 4,344$2,535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,808.62 | 61 | 19.7%12 W · 49 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67a7…86cebacked Yes | 29c | 4,165$1,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,219.7 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +252.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 1c | 3,974$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.22 | 688 | 3.6%25 W · 663 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28de…a1fdbacked Yes | 4c | 3,960$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.91 | 48 | 25%12 W · 36 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +108.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…23e1backed No | 56c | 3,661$2,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,618.91 | 232 | 25%58 W · 174 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629b…995abacked Yes | 48c | 3,525$1,705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,704.65 | 432 | 43.1%186 W · 246 L | +29.2wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x088f…c9e7backed Yes | 51c | 3,178$1,608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,608.25 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54db…0174backed Yes | 18c | 3,071$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.37 | 196 | 23%45 W · 151 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee6…6887backed Yes | 5c | 3,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Yes | 6c | 2,724$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.87 | 140 | 33.6%47 W · 93 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c30…4e81backed Yes | 9c | 2,664$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.35per pick | 32cpaid | +70.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb410…7736backed No | 47c | 2,431$1,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,283.99 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 58c | 2,119$1,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,230.27 | 278 | 28.1%78 W · 200 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3e…58c7backed Yes | 7c | 2,104$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.37 | 66 | 22.7%15 W · 51 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 39c | 2,099$828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$828.29 | 190 | 27.9%53 W · 137 L | +14.5wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | +53%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ced…c4a8backed Yes | 12c | 1,746$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6886…d8b8backed Yes | 3c | 1,666$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x363e…1426backed Yes | 21c | 1,657$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c08…3afcbacked Yes | 5c | 1,650$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.5 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4621…efccbacked Yes | 10c | 1,500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b11…003fbacked No | 43c | 1,467$637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$829.98 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3aad…4e00backed No | 72c | 1,322$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.6 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.16per pick | 61cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6074…965bbacked Yes | 9c | 1,145$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +61.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9cc…387abacked No | 57c | 1,099$628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.02 | 85 | 29.4%25 W · 60 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09e2…29debacked Yes | 51c | 1,062$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.31 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa727…8289backed Yes | 7c | 1,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4285…e5ddbacked Yes | 62c | 999.98$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.99 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadaf…f9f2backed No | 54c | 935.5$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.17 | 56 | 26.8%15 W · 41 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06dc…af59backed No | 45c | 898.51$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.4 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | +9.9wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…8e2dbacked No | 41c | 884.94$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.01 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd0…bc3dbacked No | 66c | 834.85$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.32 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…3d19backed Yes | 23c | 829.77$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.18 | 190 | 43.7%83 W · 107 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…af24backed Yes | 12c | 745.17$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.42 | 118 | 50.8%60 W · 58 L | +29.2wins | +0.25per pick | 26cpaid | +132.4%equal weight | 73+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 7c | 742.66$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.66 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 46c | 701.97$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.64 | 576 | 36.3%209 W · 367 L | -27.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed Yes | 5c | 626.94$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 172 | 27.9%48 W · 124 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8731…1181backed No | 64c | 625$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.95 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 18c | 600$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.5 | 513 | 2.9%15 W · 498 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b3…501cbacked Yes | 37c | 555$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.25 | 67 | 37.3%25 W · 42 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39a8…b537backed No | 50c | 550$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 37cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7629…b3c8backed No | 65c | 540$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.8 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe715…25b4backed Yes | 3c | 515.79$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…1fbfbacked No | 69c | 510.97$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.4 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79fa…8a55backed No | 69c | 508.13$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.52 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x071a…df8ebacked No | 44c | 505.34$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.24 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c71…fc92backed Yes | 40c | 505.14$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 29c | 462$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.15 | 563 | 14.6%82 W · 481 L | -39.3wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1283…08c7backed Yes | 17c | 438.59$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b6…342bbacked No | 39c | 420.47$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.47 | 89 | 32.6%29 W · 60 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a0…47c6backed No | 51c | 420$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.25 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4389…e8a7backed Yes | 49c | 411.23$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 31cpaid | -65.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0f…cd52backed No | 64c | 400$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x685d…b326backed Yes | 36c | 400$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a4a…171fbacked No | 61c | 377.59$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.91 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 48c | 351.78$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.51 | 884 | 48.5%429 W · 455 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d93…8cbebacked No | 67c | 322.44$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.9 | 169 | 40.2%68 W · 101 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8f…97bcbacked Yes | 3c | 320$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb99…8c33backed No | 50c | 314.27$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.63 | 96 | 59.4%57 W · 39 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba90…99b9backed Yes | 65c | 306.8$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e4…02a8backed Yes | 4c | 282.05$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 10cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8fd…6b3abacked No | 45c | 281.52$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.47 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcad2…9fc8backed Yes | 53c | 280.64$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8adf…9151backed Yes | 36c | 279.78$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87cd…6f2abacked No | 68c | 261.29$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.42 | 88 | 61.4%54 W · 34 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93c6…d9dbbacked Yes | 48c | 250$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.5 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -42%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a3…cd82backed No | 45c | 250$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.5 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad6…9c9bbacked Yes | 21c | 247.9$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53cf…7d67backed No | 64c | 244.88$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.09 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef8f…8660backed No | 76c | 236.84$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.84 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd9c…f0c8backed No | 44c | 228.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.58 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb1d…a871backed Yes | 56c | 228.09$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.73 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e7d…8fa0backed Yes | 44c | 226.65$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -32%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70fd…736abacked No | 55c | 224$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.8 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b0…0b2bbacked No | 45c | 223.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +123.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cee…b66dbacked Yes | 9c | 220$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.42 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 14cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb8b…81dabacked Yes | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x509a…8a43backed Yes | 53c | 210$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.38 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 33cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 62c | 205.14$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.81 | 1,022 | 28%286 W · 736 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca51backed Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.5 | 55 | 25.5%14 W · 41 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2069…c7cfbacked No | 55c | 198.98$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.54 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | +7.5wins | +0.15per pick | 15cpaid | +166.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Crin Antonescu advance to the Romanian Presidential Election Runoff?this page
- Will Anamaria Gavrilă advance to the Romanian Presidential Election Runoff?No won
- Will Călin Georgescu advance to the Romanian Presidential Election Runoff?No won
- Will Elena Lasconi advance to the Romanian Presidential Election Runoff?No won
- Will George Simion advance to the Romanian Presidential Election Runoff?Yes won
- Will John-Ion Banu-Muscel advance to the Romanian Presidential Election Runoff?No won
- Will Marcel Ciolacu advance to the Romanian Presidential Election Runoff?No won
- Will Marcela-Lavinia Șandru advance to the Romanian Presidential Election Runoff?No won
- Will Mircea Geoană advance to the Romanian Presidential Election Runoff?No won
- Will Nicolae Ciucă advance to the Romanian Presidential Election Runoff?No won
- Will Nicușor Dan advance to the Romanian Presidential Election Runoff?Yes won
- Will Silviu Predoiu advance to the Romanian Presidential Election Runoff?No won
- Will Victor Ponta advance to the Romanian Presidential Election Runoff?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.