Macro Indicators · resolved market
Will annual inflation increase by 2.6% or more in June?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa9868cc96fc4f4a3754f1af1cd4210e7e43e8d3d8e75617dd1af1ca77b4e5e3b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Macro Indicatorsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $186,674
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $202,037
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $186,674 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 144 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Macro Indicators is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Macro Indicators | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0ffc…8236backed Yes | 68c | 15,105$10,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,861.71 | 224 | 33.9%76 W · 148 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +69%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd8…0fe9backed Yes | 72c | 12,890$9,283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,607.34 | 104 | 33.7%35 W · 69 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfc1…5fa3backed No | 29c | 11,527$3,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,333.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5235…c04abacked Yes | 72c | 5,226$3,749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,476.96 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +76.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37b4…d5e5backed Yes | 55c | 4,963$2,748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,215.24 | 128 | 20.3%26 W · 102 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa84d…5d71backed Yes | 70c | 4,550$3,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,355 | 86 | 36%31 W · 55 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 30c | 3,778$1,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,114.67 | 71 | 22.5%16 W · 55 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 71c | 3,564$2,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,024.16 | 199 | 31.7%63 W · 136 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed No | 31c | 2,889$898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$898.03 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +3.9wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed No | 26c | 2,868$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740.14 | 65 | 32.3%21 W · 44 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2684…d3d6backed Yes | 71c | 1,943$1,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.32 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ec…b724backed No | 31c | 1,800$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7304…0379backed Yes | 69c | 1,790$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcee…bda5backed Yes | 71c | 1,715$1,219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.32 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1537…c480backed Yes | 71c | 1,510$1,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.1 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +92.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04dc…2387backed Yes | 60c | 1,361$811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.88 | 233 | 30.5%71 W · 162 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc9b…b305backed Yes | 74c | 1,259$930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…dea8backed Yes | 72c | 1,230$889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.7 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +78.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a9…2948backed Yes | 67c | 920$619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.4 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a7b…782fbacked No | 20c | 889.3$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.17 | 61 | 26.2%16 W · 45 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a68…57c2backed No | 53c | 850$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd7…2c89backed No | 41c | 839.07$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.44 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcf9…8161backed No | 47c | 788.66$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbab…2cd0backed Yes | 69c | 749.99$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -3.5wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x80a4…22ccbacked Yes | 66c | 687.34$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.56 | 110 | 39.1%43 W · 67 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +115.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3b…1d77backed Yes | 75c | 681$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.58 | 60 | 23.3%14 W · 46 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | +80.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6147…d34ebacked Yes | 49c | 665$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.36 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c87…9bd4backed Yes | 71c | 634.29$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.94 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf0…712bbacked Yes | 74c | 631.17$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69e7…d3b0backed Yes | 68c | 625$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | +159%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea34…43dabacked No | 33c | 602.83$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked No | 30c | 583.58$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.92 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc230…6192backed No | 29c | 568.73$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.67 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c5b…e6fdbacked Yes | 73c | 553.16$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd3…2a3cbacked No | 30c | 535.55$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.97 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…fd88backed No | 35c | 535.14$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.47 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xffd2…d7aebacked Yes | 71c | 535$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.6 | 68 | 27.9%19 W · 49 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 28c | 521$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.71 | 140 | 24.3%34 W · 106 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked No | 31c | 500$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 58 | 19%11 W · 47 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98fa…d698backed Yes | 70c | 500$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.9 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda78…e9c1backed No | 40c | 480$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 70c | 467.45$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.47 | 91 | 44%40 W · 51 L | -8.3wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc018…018abacked Yes | 77c | 448.39$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed No | 30c | 419$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.67 | 50 | 22%11 W · 39 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e7…fc15backed Yes | 67c | 400$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb46d…7093backed Yes | 66c | 390.22$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.97 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 21cpaid | -88.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b4…1cbabacked Yes | 67c | 337$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.24 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x064c…2de1backed No | 24c | 325.75$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.61 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca75…b071backed Yes | 63c | 323.14$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.99 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a1…c98abacked Yes | 73c | 316.41$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.5 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Yes | 62c | 316$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.12 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e01…2c8abacked Yes | 74c | 300$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 31c | 279.32$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.9 | 151 | 48.3%73 W · 78 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa113…93f4backed Yes | 67c | 278.47$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.8 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf3b…bfb8backed No | 29c | 271.86$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a93…9e17backed Yes | 66c | 269.02$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.57 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +114.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x344d…dab2backed Yes | 74c | 253.89$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc80…2bc1backed No | 25c | 250$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9d…a540backed No | 27c | 238.11$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.79 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -31%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 33c | 231.25$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.27 | 299 | 13.7%41 W · 258 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd0…eb9dbacked No | 20c | 230$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe622…d080backed Yes | 74c | 230$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…aee5backed Yes | 69c | 230$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.4 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08ec…b5fcbacked No | 30c | 223.95$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.63 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b60…ddcabacked No | 27c | 216.24$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c90…f36cbacked Yes | 71c | 212.74$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.74 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a0a…db49backed Yes | 59c | 206.67$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.75 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb26e…3051backed Yes | 74c | 203.79$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…898fbacked No | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed No | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 113 | 34.5%39 W · 74 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd0…bc3dbacked No | 23c | 200$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a6…3133backed No | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b24…d646backed Yes | 71c | 200$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a28…3a9abacked Yes | 76c | 189$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba3c…3b2abacked No | 31c | 172$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65ab…070ebacked Yes | 43c | 166$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.62 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b24…01abbacked No | 29c | 164.73$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.52 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1088…b813backed No | 29c | 150$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf650…1c51backed Yes | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b63…4b44backed No | 29c | 145$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.05 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27c4…a6bebacked Yes | 73c | 143.03$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.62 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x616b…4070backed Yes | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6547…8043backed Yes | 74c | 140$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.4 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe65f…a749backed Yes | 74c | 134.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x264d…6f2bbacked Yes | 76c | 131.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.67 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3835…7f72backed No | 30c | 131.45$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86da…6795backed No | 30c | 116.67$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x555c…ee28backed Yes | 66c | 115$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.1 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed8…93d4backed Yes | 70c | 112$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 143 | 25.2%36 W · 107 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed No | 55c | 111$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.05 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97df…3088backed Yes | 73c | 110$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.7 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd737…71bbbacked Yes | 72c | 110$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.7 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb821…0fecbacked Yes | 74c | 108.11$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.11 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53f2…5343backed Yes | 70c | 103.84$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c68…9382backed No | 53c | 103.3$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…bf0bbacked Yes | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef60…d6c2backed No | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53cf…7d67backed Yes | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5607…fd15backed No | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…4adabacked Yes | 70c | 96.76$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.76 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Macro Indicators and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will annual inflation increase by 2.6% or more in June?this page
- Will annual inflation increase by 2.2% or less in June?No won
- Will annual inflation increase by 2.3% in June?No won
- Will annual inflation increase by 2.4% in June?No won
- Will annual inflation increase by 2.5% in June?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.