Macro Indicators · resolved market
Will annual inflation increase by 2.5% in June?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8dfc9a57ae77ee9190635aeb82b53daad2ae6c1bfeeceabc0c4c1b0f77aabc7e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Macro Indicatorsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $97,664
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $81,000
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $97,664 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Macro Indicators is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Macro Indicators | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x65b5…a403backed Yes | 22c | 24,589$5,507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,507.04 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 22cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ffc…8236backed Yes | 27c | 5,322$1,445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,445.23 | 224 | 33.9%76 W · 148 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +69%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2f…0151backed Yes | 32c | 3,800$1,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,215.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04dc…2387backed No | 79c | 3,651$2,877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$774.04 | 233 | 30.5%71 W · 162 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98fa…d698backed Yes | 29c | 3,650$1,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,075.83 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65ab…070ebacked Yes | 37c | 3,156$1,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,158.22 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 25c | 3,000$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.99 | 199 | 31.7%63 W · 136 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x404f…561dbacked Yes | 41c | 2,920$1,212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,211.58 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | -54%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef60…d6c2backed Yes | 24c | 2,550$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.85 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80a4…22ccbacked Yes | 15c | 2,325$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.83 | 110 | 39.1%43 W · 67 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +115.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa927…878abacked Yes | 18c | 1,655$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 63c | 1,587$1,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.2 | 120 | 49.2%59 W · 61 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb46d…7093backed Yes | 24c | 1,341$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.56 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 21cpaid | -88.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x897a…b17ebacked Yes | 29c | 1,200$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd7…2c89backed Yes | 26c | 1,193$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.81 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b63…4b44backed Yes | 24c | 1,150$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.4 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…dea8backed Yes | 32c | 1,119$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.3 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +78.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x386d…9bb6backed Yes | 22c | 1,044$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.2 | 29 | 13.8%4 W · 25 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +67.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbab…2cd0backed No | 76c | 922.21$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.72 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -3.5wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7924…9364backed Yes | 44c | 912.91$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c6…d5c1backed Yes | 26c | 871.02$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd8…0fe9backed Yes | 23c | 828$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.08 | 104 | 33.7%35 W · 69 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed No | 77c | 815.58$631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.58 | 65 | 32.3%21 W · 44 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 78c | 767.93$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.43 | 151 | 48.3%73 W · 78 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6df7…afb0backed Yes | 34c | 700.52$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.56 | 90 | 24.4%22 W · 68 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04ea…d556backed Yes | 28c | 589.46$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.96 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked No | 76c | 460.11$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.75 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa84d…5d71backed Yes | 33c | 429.56$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.15 | 86 | 36%31 W · 55 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe65f…a749backed Yes | 21c | 427.29$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6147…d34ebacked Yes | 25c | 400$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.65 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b4…1cbabacked Yes | 19c | 337$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…9015backed Yes | 31c | 323.26$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41fe…79c1backed Yes | 25c | 315.53$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.88 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6df6…8458backed Yes | 19c | 300$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +98.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc79…1c2abacked Yes | 25c | 275.48$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.12 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcee…bda5backed Yes | 36c | 272.33$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.94 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 28c | 262.8$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.42 | 140 | 24.3%34 W · 106 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda78…e9c1backed No | 64c | 250$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd9…bccebacked No | 67c | 236$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.88 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe622…d080backed Yes | 20c | 230$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed No | 60c | 227.93$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.93 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d59…b22cbacked Yes | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…898fbacked Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca75…b071backed Yes | 38c | 200$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b24…d646backed Yes | 22c | 200$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c21…adafbacked Yes | 24c | 199.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a28…3a9abacked Yes | 12c | 189$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcced…9ffebacked No | 70c | 188.99$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.55 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79c3…3700backed Yes | 22c | 179.69$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.71 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3103…ea70backed Yes | 29c | 158.88$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.6 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.16per pick | 39cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc230…6192backed No | 59c | 146.45$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.64 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 24c | 134.49$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.76 | 299 | 13.7%41 W · 258 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x339c…3333backed Yes | 26c | 132.29$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47b7…c5babacked Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71dd…d61cbacked Yes | 20c | 123.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 22 | 4.5%1 W · 21 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 15cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9d…a540backed No | 79c | 123$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.42 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -31%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6864…294bbacked No | 76c | 115.01$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.18 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd0…eb9dbacked Yes | 17c | 113.3$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.03 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34a9…9e88backed Yes | 15c | 110.67$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.98 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 33cpaid | +715%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed No | 61c | 110$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.9 | 113 | 34.5%39 W · 74 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97df…3088backed Yes | 18c | 110$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ac…312dbacked Yes | 36c | 106.38$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.55 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x064c…2de1backed No | 58c | 101.09$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.55 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 24c | 100.58$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.32 | 91 | 44%40 W · 51 L | -8.3wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 175 | 28%49 W · 126 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4ba…68fabacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 63c | 99$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.63 | 202 | 42.1%85 W · 117 L | -13.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…4adabacked Yes | 28c | 98$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.58 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…f6b8backed Yes | 18c | 95.36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.53 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9cf…75d1backed Yes | 23c | 94$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e1…7c9fbacked No | 71c | 93.52$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.41 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed Yes | 16c | 91.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.71 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd703…b62ebacked No | 76c | 91.15$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed8…93d4backed Yes | 23c | 90.26$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.71 | 143 | 25.2%36 W · 107 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccff…e845backed Yes | 13c | 90$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x018a…4651backed Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -3.8wins | -0.18per pick | 42cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd242…ba4ebacked Yes | 25c | 77$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…3d19backed No | 63c | 69.52$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.72 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x616b…4070backed Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d7b…babcbacked Yes | 17c | 60.24$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…fd88backed Yes | 27c | 55.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a31…f2f0backed No | 77c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6fc…1f03backed Yes | 35c | 49.73$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa03…c6c4backed No | 77c | 47.83$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.79 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x554f…3e8abacked Yes | 23c | 47.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a9…2948backed Yes | 23c | 46.36$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24c3…adfbbacked Yes | 25c | 46.16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.54 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97cc…bbbfbacked Yes | 24c | 42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3aa…bddcbacked No | 57c | 21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.97 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39d1…5129backed No | 74c | 16.54$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.36 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Macro Indicators and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will annual inflation increase by 2.5% in June?this page
- Will annual inflation increase by 2.2% or less in June?No won
- Will annual inflation increase by 2.3% in June?No won
- Will annual inflation increase by 2.4% in June?No won
- Will annual inflation increase by 2.6% or more in June?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.