Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
March Madness: Team from the SEC to win?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2590bd82a12afea8964eefb089a8b44324fe333b7537c4292da55a1ea8997e00
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $57,119
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $55,293
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,119 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 145 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x96c6…34a2backed Yes | 32c | 14,908$4,813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,095.56 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Yes | 36c | 4,105$1,483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,621.96 | 98 | 33.7%33 W · 65 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Yes | 39c | 3,266$1,285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,980.83 | 136 | 9.6%13 W · 123 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Yes | 36c | 2,343$843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,499.8 | 104 | 29.8%31 W · 73 L | -8.3wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed No | 53c | 2,004$1,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,062.16 | 429 | 48.5%208 W · 221 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Yes | 47c | 1,459$682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$776.65 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.18per pick | 25cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes | 40c | 1,036$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616.51 | 69 | 34.8%24 W · 45 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d10…5b22backed Yes | 46c | 973.54$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.35 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d0…b336backed Yes | 52c | 900$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf52b…ff3fbacked Yes | 52c | 900$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d06…d484backed Yes | 52c | 860$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1d…dc5ebacked Yes | 52c | 860$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.8 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…e8c0backed Yes | 52c | 790$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ad…7a9bbacked Yes | 52c | 790$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08d0…b768backed No | 48c | 730$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x050d…e9fabacked No | 48c | 730$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73e0…b1b4backed No | 48c | 730$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb160…812bbacked No | 48c | 720$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.6 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ccb…9d1bbacked No | 48c | 720$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ad…0b30backed No | 48c | 720$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa93b…7f3ebacked Yes | 52c | 700$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…d3a0backed Yes | 46c | 652.17$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.17 | 26 | 76.9%20 W · 6 L | +5.2wins | +0.20per pick | 57cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xec2c…959abacked No | 48c | 615$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked No | 3c | 610$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 399 | 3.3%13 W · 386 L | -21.0wins | -0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -89.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa14b…b944backed No | 54c | 541.6$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.32 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69e8…68a7backed No | 48c | 530$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7545…9132backed Yes | 52c | 440$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.78 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +17%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d97…f7c2backed No | 48c | 425$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3075…9143backed No | 48c | 425$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1268…b757backed Yes | 36c | 420$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.6 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +72.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41f9…84e6backed Yes | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 206 | 42.7%88 W · 118 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc00…d9e8backed No | 48c | 375$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92bd…019dbacked No | 48c | 375$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a6…a888backed No | 48c | 375$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa107…ec62backed Yes | 52c | 365$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf758…ab6abacked No | 48c | 350$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3af8…5b25backed No | 48c | 315$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf39…5bb4backed No | 48c | 310$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2563…f528backed No | 48c | 305$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62fc…6eb7backed No | 48c | 300$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca8a…dbf8backed No | 48c | 300$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f36…5dc0backed Yes | 52c | 285$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4690…b813backed No | 48c | 275$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x490a…a54bbacked No | 48c | 250$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a83…e78ebacked No | 48c | 250$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41c…7123backed Yes | 52c | 250$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 36c | 247.36$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.33 | 79 | 36.7%29 W · 50 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -34%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ec…d991backed Yes | 52c | 240$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa94e…c540backed Yes | 52c | 220$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe445…9b43backed Yes | 52c | 220$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3248…28b9backed Yes | 52c | 220$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde6…0338backed No | 48c | 210$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6424…16e0backed No | 48c | 210$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4839…43b5backed Yes | 52c | 205$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1225…3a54backed Yes | 52c | 205$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.4 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9118…e9dabacked No | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 30cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x440d…55e6backed Yes | 46c | 189.68$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.43 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2eca…01f2backed No | 48c | 180$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f3…8ae0backed No | 48c | 175$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b27…51f3backed No | 48c | 175$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0d…1bafbacked No | 48c | 165$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce99…42c1backed Yes | 49c | 163.67$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.67 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 29cpaid | -65.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb47…bfccbacked Yes | 52c | 160$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8952…08efbacked No | 48c | 160$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 46c | 154$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.16 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed No | 55c | 152.12$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.02 | 79 | 12.7%10 W · 69 L | -13.1wins | -0.17per pick | 29cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6b60…0e08backed No | 48c | 145$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a5…834bbacked Yes | 52c | 145$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.6 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 43cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa911…9f8abacked Yes | 52c | 145$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.6 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd0…bc3dbacked No | 55c | 134$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.7 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x555c…ee28backed Yes | 37c | 128$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.16 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0af8…9454backed Yes | 44c | 123.91$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.91 | 105 | 58.1%61 W · 44 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3356…11f3backed Yes | 52c | 120$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b05…396dbacked Yes | 52c | 115$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0535…fe8abacked Yes | 52c | 115$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.2 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa868…58dfbacked Yes | 52c | 115$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x567f…7a1dbacked Yes | 52c | 115$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe311…f555backed Yes | 52c | 115$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc3a…236cbacked No | 48c | 115$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe87a…6d01backed No | 53c | 105$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.65 | 45 | 22.2%10 W · 35 L | -4.9wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…f3b9backed Yes | 52c | 105$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0457…7f94backed Yes | 52c | 105$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 47c | 100.1$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.05 | 306 | 49%150 W · 156 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5874…05f7backed Yes | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.9 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c2…2c99backed No | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e35…8b4dbacked No | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcbe8…6fd2backed No | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa291…d88dbacked Yes | 44c | 99.5$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.32 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -55%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7953…c867backed No | 48c | 85$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03d0…9424backed Yes | 52c | 85$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0833…bee5backed No | 48c | 85$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3987…a82dbacked Yes | 52c | 80$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x026a…9ab9backed No | 48c | 75$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd439…4c80backed Yes | 52c | 65$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a48…22e8backed No | 39c | 62.39$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.58 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa995…debebacked No | 48c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cda…2ec9backed Yes | 52c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb8a…865bbacked No | 48c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc19a…b660backed No | 55c | 55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.25 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- March Madness: Team from the SEC to win?this page
- March Madness: Team from other conference to win?No won
- March Madness: Team from the ACC to win?No won
- March Madness: Team from the Big 12 to win?No won
- March Madness: Team from the Big East to win?No won
- March Madness: Team from the Big Ten to win?No won
- March Madness: Team from the WCC to win?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.