Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
March Madness: Team from the ACC to win?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcb17fadf9db784d2bd1a128756fcd11c0c4150c0285cf61aa63795e9dad16263
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,029
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,429
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,029 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcc80…2bc1backed Yes | 11c | 3,500$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.25 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 24cpaid | +56%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…7ea4backed Yes | 28c | 2,556$713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$712.88 | 82 | 32.9%27 W · 55 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96c6…34a2backed Yes | 29c | 2,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e14…3003backed Yes | 24c | 1,781$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.01 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 26c | 673.02$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.8 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe87a…6d01backed Yes | 27c | 528.37$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.14 | 45 | 22.2%10 W · 35 L | -4.9wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed No | 71c | 520.57$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.37 | 136 | 9.6%13 W · 123 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Yes | 39c | 409.99$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.3 | 69 | 23.2%16 W · 53 L | -7.2wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes | 42c | 281.23$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.06 | 69 | 34.8%24 W · 45 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Yes | 46c | 240$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.4 | 820 | 48.2%395 W · 425 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cdd…3e97backed Yes | 32c | 175.19$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.41 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +27%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 70c | 149.23$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.44 | 79 | 36.7%29 W · 50 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -34%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed No | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +17%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c34…c8b8backed Yes | 22c | 120$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 143 | 39.9%57 W · 86 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Yes | 38c | 111.08$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.34 | 98 | 33.7%33 W · 65 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a3…cd82backed No | 74c | 101.96$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd29…a638backed No | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa291…d88dbacked Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -55%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde7c…c933backed No | 51c | 90.73$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.46 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28d3…e15fbacked Yes | 33c | 90$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Yes | 22c | 80$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.55 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32fd…bdcbbacked Yes | 39c | 77.04$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc50…df9bbacked Yes | 23c | 73.76$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.96 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 19cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0af8…9454backed Yes | 41c | 68.86$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 105 | 58.1%61 W · 44 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6fd…fdfebacked Yes | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a48…22e8backed No | 69c | 45$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.95 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x805a…0635backed No | 73c | 37.04$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- March Madness: Team from the ACC to win?this page
- March Madness: Team from other conference to win?No won
- March Madness: Team from the Big 12 to win?No won
- March Madness: Team from the Big East to win?No won
- March Madness: Team from the Big Ten to win?No won
- March Madness: Team from the SEC to win?Yes won
- March Madness: Team from the WCC to win?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.